Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Kokusai Elec and Micronics may see upside as CXMT's blockbuster IPO nears, with its retail tranche reportedly 212x oversubscribed.</li>
<li>TDK, Minebea Misumi and Nitto Denko may face pressure after Qualcomm's price hike points to lower sales of cheaper handsets across Asia.</li>
<li>Ibiden and TEL look unfairly sold on Friday and worth revisiting today.</li>
</ul>


Kokusai Elec and Micronics may see upside as CXMT's blockbuster IPO nears, with its retail tranche reportedly 212x oversubscribed.
TDK, Minebea Misumi and Nitto Denko may face pressure after Qualcomm's price hike points to lower sales of cheaper handsets across Asia.
Ibiden and TEL look unfairly sold on Friday and worth revisiting today.


Japan Morning Connection: Risk-On Mood May Return as Red Sea Tensions Ease

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>Earnings season may accelerate the rotation from AI momentum into quality compounders with earnings visibility.</li>
<li>Macro headwinds with oil above $100, yen at 40-year lows, BOJ tightening on the horizon</li>
<li>We expect this dynamic to persist through August reporting season.</li>
</ul>


Earnings season may accelerate the rotation from AI momentum into quality compounders with earnings visibility.
Macro headwinds with oil above $100, yen at 40-year lows, BOJ tightening on the horizon
We expect this dynamic to persist through August reporting season.


Japan Strategy Weekly | Bifurcation Season

<ul>
<li>Lasertec, TEL, Screen and TOK to benefit from Intel's strong earnings.</li>
<li>Disco's guidance miss may present a chance to buy the dip.</li>
<li>Power-Semi’s may be under the pump after STMicro tanked -17.7% in EU and -18.7% in US trading from earnings disappointment. </li>
</ul>


Lasertec, TEL, Screen and TOK to benefit from Intel's strong earnings.
Disco's guidance miss may present a chance to buy the dip.
Power-Semi’s may be under the pump after STMicro tanked -17.7% in EU and -18.7% in US trading from earnings disappointment. 


Japan Morning Connection: Intel's Big Beat and Capex Guidance Raise Set to Lift JP Suppliers and SPE

<ul>
<li>MTD laggards may draw continued dip buying. Kioxia remains -32% since the start of the quarter despite yesterday's rebound.</li>
<li>Optical/Photonics caught a bid overnight, so expect interest in the likes of QD Laser, Santec, Samco and Seiko Giken.</li>
<li>Expect moves up for JP Space names after Sidus +17.1%, AST +10.3%, though SpaceX's August 6 lock-up expiry could weigh on sentiment into next month.</li>
</ul>


MTD laggards may draw continued dip buying. Kioxia remains -32% since the start of the quarter despite yesterday's rebound.
Optical/Photonics caught a bid overnight, so expect interest in the likes of QD Laser, Santec, Samco and Seiko Giken.
Expect moves up for JP Space names after Sidus +17.1%, AST +10.3%, though SpaceX's August 6 lock-up expiry could weigh on sentiment into next month.


Japan Morning Connection: SPE and Memory Rebound Set to Build After Strong US Follow Through

<ul>
<li>SEI and other optical/cable makers set to recover from recent underperformance on Meta news.</li>
<li>Memory plays and SPE laggards should get a lift on the news that Micron is planning to increase its US capex to $250bn (from $200bn).</li>
<li>SUMCO Corp and Shin Etsu Chemical likely to get a boost after Siltronic upgraded to outperform by BNP.</li>
</ul>


SEI and other optical/cable makers set to recover from recent underperformance on Meta news.
Memory plays and SPE laggards should get a lift on the news that Micron is planning to increase its US capex to $250bn (from $200bn).
SUMCO Corp and Shin Etsu Chemical likely to get a boost after Siltronic upgraded to outperform by BNP.


Japan Morning Connection: SEI Well Placed as META Names It a Direct Supplier for Iris AI Chips

Japan

DISCO CORPORATION manufactures abrasive and precision industrial machinery for cutting and grinding purposes.  The Company's products are applied in the semiconductor, electronics, and construction industries to produce consumer goods such as personal computers, digital cameras, video game systems, and Digital Video Disc (DVD) players.

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DISCO Corp (6146 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Risk-On Mood May Return as Red Sea Tensions Ease

Ibiden and TEL may be worth revisiting after Friday's overreaction, while memory SPE names Kokusai and Micronics could see support from CXMT's...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Strategy Weekly | Bifurcation Season

Investors may shift from AI momentum to quality compounders amid macro headwinds, with this trend likely continuing through August earnings season.

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Intel's Big Beat and Capex Guidance Raise Set to Lift JP Suppliers and SPE

Intel's strong earnings will benefit Lasertec, TEL, Screen, and TOK. Disco's guidance miss could be a buying opportunity. Power-Semi's may face...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: SPE and Memory Rebound Set to Build After Strong US Follow Through

SPE and memory rebound set to kick up a notch in Japan after the strong US follow through overnight, with MTD laggards like Kioxia still down 32%...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: SEI Well Placed as META Names It a Direct Supplier for Iris AI Chips

Optical/cable makers set to recover on Meta news, Micron's increased capex to benefit memory plays, Sumco and Shin Etsu set to follow European...

Andrew Jackson

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Market Cap (USDm)

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Japan Morning Connection: Risk-On Mood May Return as Red Sea Tensions Ease

Ibiden and TEL may be worth revisiting after Friday's overreaction, while memory SPE names Kokusai and Micronics could see support from CXMT's...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Strategy Weekly | Bifurcation Season

​Investors may shift from AI momentum to quality compounders amid macro headwinds, with this trend likely continuing through August earnings season.

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Intel's Big Beat and Capex Guidance Raise Set to Lift JP Suppliers and SPE

​Intel's strong earnings will benefit Lasertec, TEL, Screen, and TOK. Disco's guidance miss could be a buying opportunity. Power-Semi's may face...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: SPE and Memory Rebound Set to Build After Strong US Follow Through

SPE and memory rebound set to kick up a notch in Japan after the strong US follow through overnight, with MTD laggards like Kioxia still down 32%...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: SEI Well Placed as META Names It a Direct Supplier for Iris AI Chips

​Optical/cable makers set to recover on Meta news, Micron's increased capex to benefit memory plays, Sumco and Shin Etsu set to follow European...

Andrew Jackson

Investors may shift from AI momentum to quality compounders amid macro headwinds, with this trend likely continuing through August earnings season.

Intel's strong earnings will benefit Lasertec, TEL, Screen, and TOK. Disco's guidance miss could be a buying opportunity. Power-Semi's may face...

Optical/cable makers set to recover on Meta news, Micron's increased capex to benefit memory plays, Sumco and Shin Etsu set to follow European...