Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The market should like the news that Tokyo Electron can now deliver chip gear manufacturing equipment to customers in half the time.</li>
<li>Ibiden as well as SPE majors should get a lift from NVDA's +3.7% move.</li>
<li>Kioxia may catch a bid now that Bain Capital has fully exited their stake. </li>
</ul>


The market should like the news that Tokyo Electron can now deliver chip gear manufacturing equipment to customers in half the time.
Ibiden as well as SPE majors should get a lift from NVDA's +3.7% move.
Kioxia may catch a bid now that Bain Capital has fully exited their stake. 


Japan Morning Connection: Softbank in Focus Ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Release Tomorrow

<ul>
<li>Can expect more from the likes of Rakus Co Ltd, Shift Inc, NEC Corp and Fujitsu Ltd which all traded well yesterday on the rotation away from frontline AI plays.</li>
<li>It would make sense to see interest in physical AI FA plays such as Yaskawa Electric, Mitsubishi Electric, Keyence Corp and Fanuc Corp as alternative exposure to the AI theme.</li>
<li>The power semis such as Fuji Electric, ROHM Co Ltd and Renesas Electronics should hold up after a strong day for the sector in the US.</li>
</ul>


Can expect more from the likes of Rakus Co Ltd, Shift Inc, NEC Corp and Fujitsu Ltd which all traded well yesterday on the rotation away from frontline AI plays.
It would make sense to see interest in physical AI FA plays such as Yaskawa Electric, Mitsubishi Electric, Keyence Corp and Fanuc Corp as alternative exposure to the AI theme.
The power semis such as Fuji Electric, ROHM Co Ltd and Renesas Electronics should hold up after a strong day for the sector in the US.


Japan Morning Connection: Physical AI FA Plays May Draw Fresh Interest as Alternative AI Exposure

<ul>
<li>May see rebounds for biggest SPE losers over the week - Lasertec -14%, Softy -19%, Rigaku -12% and JX Advanced Metals -16%.</li>
<li>Expect a strong day for the Japanese optical peers, especially Furukawa Electric and Sumitomo Electric Industries.</li>
<li>Japanese telcos may face selling pressure as SpaceX talks with Charter about a consumer mobile offering and Rocket Lab looks to build out its own telecom network.</li>
</ul>


May see rebounds for biggest SPE losers over the week - Lasertec -14%, Softy -19%, Rigaku -12% and JX Advanced Metals -16%.
Expect a strong day for the Japanese optical peers, especially Furukawa Electric and Sumitomo Electric Industries.
Japanese telcos may face selling pressure as SpaceX talks with Charter about a consumer mobile offering and Rocket Lab looks to build out its own telecom network.


Japan Morning Connection: Memory-Exposed SPEs Primed to Rally on South Korean Semi Investment

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD30,228m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Fujikura, Lasertec, Simplex, Furukawa Electric, Tokyo Electron, Nagoya Railroad, Taiyo Yuden, Toyota Motor.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD30,228m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Fujikura, Lasertec, Simplex, Furukawa Electric, Tokyo Electron, Nagoya Railroad, Taiyo Yuden, Toyota Motor.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 2nd): Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Fujikura, Lasertec

<ul>
<li>Even a slight disappointment from NVDA could trigger a big correction in Japanese SPE names who have already started to waver in the last few days post-earnings. </li>
<li>Lasertec, Disco and Advantest retreating but merely a blip on their 1-year charts with room for more profit taking.</li>
<li>Space names Synspective and Axelspace still look attractive ahead of SpaceX pricing in 3 weeks.</li>
</ul>


Even a slight disappointment from NVDA could trigger a big correction in Japanese SPE names who have already started to waver in the last few days post-earnings. 
Lasertec, Disco and Advantest retreating but merely a blip on their 1-year charts with room for more profit taking.
Space names Synspective and Axelspace still look attractive ahead of SpaceX pricing in 3 weeks.


Japan Morning Connection: NVDA Numbers Tomorrow Loom Over Already Wavering SPE Names

Japan

DISCO CORPORATION manufactures abrasive and precision industrial machinery for cutting and grinding purposes.  The Company's products are applied in the semiconductor, electronics, and construction industries to produce consumer goods such as personal computers, digital cameras, video game systems, and Digital Video Disc (DVD) players.

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DISCO Corp (6146 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Softbank in Focus Ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Release Tomorrow

Softbank Group may see interest today ahead of the news that OpenAI is set to release its latest version of GPT-5.6 tomorrow while news of faster...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Physical AI FA Plays May Draw Fresh Interest as Alternative AI Exposure

Expect a continuation of the shift away from frontline AI plays. Interest in physical AI FA plays may see an increase as alternative exposure to...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Memory-Exposed SPEs Primed to Rally on South Korean Semi Investment

Japanese SPEs with memory exposure set for a quarter-end rally. Furukawa and SEI in focus after Corning's breakout. Telcos face headwinds from new...

Andrew Jackson

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 2nd): Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Fujikura, Lasertec

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (8306 JP), Advantest (6857 JP), Fujikura...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan Morning Connection: NVDA Numbers Tomorrow Loom Over Already Wavering SPE Names

SPE names brace for NVDA numbers tomorrow after already wavering post earnings. Market remains gun-shy on mainstay AI plays making it likely for...

Andrew Jackson

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