Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Equity Bottom-Up

Kolte Patil Developers / Equity Bottom-Up

<div>
<p>Residential real estate sector in India presents a decadal opportunity led by the shift to Organized from Unorganized. Our top pick in the space is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kolte-patil-developers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6819:1" rel="noopener">Kolte Patil Developers (KPDL IN)</a>, a branded developer based out of Pune.</p>
<div id="annotable-executive_summary-1"><em>For detailed thematic insights into the changing landscape of residential real estate development in India, please refer to our insight: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/a-fat-theme-organized-real-estate-developers-in-india-a-decadal-opportunity" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:56658" rel="noopener">A Fat Theme | Organized Real Estate Developers in India - A Decadal Opportunity</a>.</em></div>
</div>


Residential real estate sector in India presents a decadal opportunity led by the shift to Organized from Unorganized. Our top pick in the space is Kolte Patil Developers (KPDL IN), a branded developer based out of Pune.
For detailed thematic insights into the changing landscape of residential real estate development in India, please refer to our insight: A Fat Theme | Organized Real Estate Developers in India - A Decadal Opportunity.


Kolte Patil: A Fat Bet on Booming Residential Real Estate in India

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/concord-biotech-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36267:1" rel="noopener">Concord Biotech Ltd (658823Z IN)</a> and  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbfc-finance-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36713:1" rel="noopener">SBFC Finance Limited (1547353D IN)</a> opened their respective IPO bookbuilds this week.</li>
<li>On the Placements front, India began picking up steam post-earnings seasons.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, Concord Biotech Ltd (658823Z IN) and  SBFC Finance Limited (1547353D IN) opened their respective IPO bookbuilds this week.
On the Placements front, India began picking up steam post-earnings seasons.


ECM Weekly (6th August 2023) - Concord Biotech, SBFC Fin, Fadu, Mitsui Fudosan, Capitaland Ascott

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>DLF: DLF recorded decent presales of INR 20.4bn (+0/-76% YoY/QoQ), given there were no new launches during the quarter</li><li>It announced its re-entry into the MMR market with a slum rehabilitation project in Andheri</li><li>The total project size is expected to be around 3.5msf with DLF executing the first phase with a saleable area of 0.9msf and GDV of around INR 20bn+</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

DLF: DLF recorded decent presales of INR 20.4bn (+0/-76% YoY/QoQ), given there were no new launches during the quarterIt announced its re-entry into the MMR market with a slum rehabilitation project in AndheriThe total project size is expected to be around 3.5msf with DLF executing the first phase with a saleable area of 0.9msf and GDV of around INR 20bn+Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: DLF, TVS Motor, Ashok Leyland, PNB Housing Finance

<ul><li>Housing demand continues to surprise positively: After a strong Q4FY24, we expect a sequentially flattish presale growth in Q1FY24 (on a high Q4FY23 base, driven by sustenance sales)</li><li>In the absence of major new launches, sustenance sales are likely to remain robust</li><li>We expect new project launches to come to market in H2FY24</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Housing demand continues to surprise positively: After a strong Q4FY24, we expect a sequentially flattish presale growth in Q1FY24 (on a high Q4FY23 base, driven by sustenance sales)In the absence of major new launches, sustenance sales are likely to remain robustWe expect new project launches to come to market in H2FY24Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Oil & Natural Gas Corp / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>MSCI EM (EEM-US) has continued to hold above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand, meaning we are constructive from a price perspective.</li>
<li>We have maintained an underweight to emerging markets, and we are overweight developed international (MSCI EAFE, Europe, Japan) as discussed in in <em>Int’l Compass</em> and <em>ETF Pathfinder</em> reports throughout 2023.</li>
<li>Still, there are plenty of attractive countries and Sectors within the EM landscape, which is what we are focusing on today.</li>
</ul>


MSCI EM (EEM-US) has continued to hold above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand, meaning we are constructive from a price perspective.
We have maintained an underweight to emerging markets, and we are overweight developed international (MSCI EAFE, Europe, Japan) as discussed in in Int’l Compass and ETF Pathfinder reports throughout 2023.
Still, there are plenty of attractive countries and Sectors within the EM landscape, which is what we are focusing on today.


EM Strategy: MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving-Overweight; Overweights: Taiwan, India, Mexico

India

DLF Ltd. is a real estate development company. The Company develops residential, commercial, and retail properties.

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DLF Ltd (DLFU IN)

Kolte Patil: A Fat Bet on Booming Residential Real Estate in India

Business development activity, pace of execution and new launches are at all time high, leading to all-time high sales velocity. The stock has...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

ECM Weekly (6th August 2023) - Concord Biotech, SBFC Fin, Fadu, Mitsui Fudosan, Capitaland Ascott

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Clarence Chu

HSIE Results Daily: DLF, TVS Motor, Ashok Leyland, PNB Housing Finance

The total project size is expected to be around 3.5msf with DLF executing the first phase with a saleable area of 0.9msf and GDV of around INR 20bn+

HDFC Securities

Real Estate: Presale momentum continues

After a strong Q4FY24, we expect a sequentially flattish presale growth in Q1FY24 (on a high Q4FY23 base, driven by sustenance sales)

HDFC Securities

EM Strategy: MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving-Overweight; Overweights: Taiwan, India, Mexico

MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving -- Upgrading to Overweight; MSCI EM Technology remains an Overweight. Top Country Overweights: Taiwan, India,...

Vermilion Research

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