Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Oil & Natural Gas Corp / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>MSCI EM (EEM-US) has continued to hold above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand, meaning we are constructive from a price perspective.</li>
<li>We have maintained an underweight to emerging markets, and we are overweight developed international (MSCI EAFE, Europe, Japan) as discussed in in Int’l Compass and ETF Pathfinder reports throughout 2023.</li>
<li>Still, there are plenty of attractive countries and Sectors within the EM landscape, which is what we are focusing on today.</li>
</ul>


MSCI EM (EEM-US) has continued to hold above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand, meaning we are constructive from a price perspective.
We have maintained an underweight to emerging markets, and we are overweight developed international (MSCI EAFE, Europe, Japan) as discussed in in Int’l Compass and ETF Pathfinder reports throughout 2023.
Still, there are plenty of attractive countries and Sectors within the EM landscape, which is what we are focusing on today.


EM Strategy: MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving-Overweight; Overweights: Taiwan, India, Mexico

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Nexus Select Trust / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexus-select-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36566:1" rel="noopener">Nexus Select Trust (NST IN)</a> raised around US$391m in its India IPO. The market value of its assets stood at INR234bn (US$2.9bn), of which INR211bn (US$2.6bn) was from its retail assets.</li>
<li>NST is a REIT with a portfolio of 17 Grade A urban consumption centers. It is backed by Blackstone.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous note, in this note, we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Nexus Select Trust (NST IN) raised around US$391m in its India IPO. The market value of its assets stood at INR234bn (US$2.9bn), of which INR211bn (US$2.6bn) was from its retail assets.
NST is a REIT with a portfolio of 17 Grade A urban consumption centers. It is backed by Blackstone.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous note, in this note, we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Nexus Select Trust IPO Trading - Decent but Mostly Domestic Demand

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Avenue Supermarts: Revenue grew by 20.1% (four-year CAGR: 19.7%)</li><li>Sales density remained lower than the pre-pandemic level (~INR31.1k/sq ft in FY23 vs INR35.6k/sq ft in FY19 in-line)</li><li>Low discretionary purchases keep underlying profitability/unit economics subdued</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Avenue Supermarts: Revenue grew by 20.1% (four-year CAGR: 19.7%)Sales density remained lower than the pre-pandemic level (~INR31.1k/sq ft in FY23 vs INR35.6k/sq ft in FY19 in-line)Low discretionary purchases keep underlying profitability/unit economics subduedContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Avenue Supermarts, Tata Motors, DLF

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexus-select-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36566:1" rel="noopener">Nexus Select Trust (NST IN)</a> is looking to raise around US$391m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>NST is a REIT with a portfolio of 17 Grade A urban consumption centers. It is backed by Blackstone.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about implied valuations in the IPO price range.</li>
</ul>



Nexus Select Trust (NST IN) is looking to raise around US$391m in its upcoming India IPO.
NST is a REIT with a portfolio of 17 Grade A urban consumption centers. It is backed by Blackstone.
In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about implied valuations in the IPO price range.


Nexus Select Trust IPO - Strong 9M23, Just About Digestible Pricing

<ul><li>Record FY23 presales expected for most of the players: Going by the numbers for FY23 reported to date by top developers, we expect annual presales for most of them to surpass their previous highs</li><li>Godrej, Macrotech and Sobha, all reported their lifetime high in residential sales with INR 122/120/52bn respectively</li><li>The annual growth also has been substantial with Godrej growing by 55%, Macrotech by 34% and Sobha by 34%</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Record FY23 presales expected for most of the players: Going by the numbers for FY23 reported to date by top developers, we expect annual presales for most of them to surpass their previous highsGodrej, Macrotech and Sobha, all reported their lifetime high in residential sales with INR 122/120/52bn respectivelyThe annual growth also has been substantial with Godrej growing by 55%, Macrotech by 34% and Sobha by 34%Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

DLF Ltd. is a real estate development company. The Company develops residential, commercial, and retail properties.

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DLF Ltd (DLFU IN)

EM Strategy: MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving-Overweight; Overweights: Taiwan, India, Mexico

MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving -- Upgrading to Overweight; MSCI EM Technology remains an Overweight. Top Country Overweights: Taiwan, India,...

Vermilion Research

Nexus Select Trust IPO Trading - Decent but Mostly Domestic Demand

Nexus Select Trust (NST IN) raised around US$391m in its India IPO. The market value of its assets stood at INR234bn (US$2.9bn), of which INR211bn...

Sumeet Singh

HSIE Results Daily: Avenue Supermarts, Tata Motors, DLF

Avenue Supermarts: Revenue grew by 20.1% (four-year CAGR: 19.7%) Sales density remained lower than the pre-pandemic level (~INR31.1k/sq ft in FY23...

HDFC Securities

Nexus Select Trust IPO - Strong 9M23, Just About Digestible Pricing

Nexus Select Trust (NST IN) is looking to raise around US$391m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the recent updates and the...

Sumeet Singh

Real Estate - Stable Performance

Going by the numbers for FY23 reported to date by top developers, we expect annual presales for most of them to surpass their previous highs

HDFC Securities

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