External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Housing demand continues to surprise positively: After a strong Q4FY24, we expect a sequentially flattish presale growth in Q1FY24 (on a high Q4FY23 base, driven by sustenance sales)</li><li>In the absence of major new launches, sustenance sales are likely to remain robust</li><li>We expect new project launches to come to market in H2FY24</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Housing demand continues to surprise positively: After a strong Q4FY24, we expect a sequentially flattish presale growth in Q1FY24 (on a high Q4FY23 base, driven by sustenance sales)In the absence of major new launches, sustenance sales are likely to remain robustWe expect new project launches to come to market in H2FY24Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Oil & Natural Gas Corporation / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>MSCI EM (EEM-US) has continued to hold above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand, meaning we are constructive from a price perspective.</li>
<li>We have maintained an underweight to emerging markets, and we are overweight developed international (MSCI EAFE, Europe, Japan) as discussed in in Int’l Compass and ETF Pathfinder reports throughout 2023.</li>
<li>Still, there are plenty of attractive countries and Sectors within the EM landscape, which is what we are focusing on today.</li>
</ul>


MSCI EM (EEM-US) has continued to hold above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand, meaning we are constructive from a price perspective.
We have maintained an underweight to emerging markets, and we are overweight developed international (MSCI EAFE, Europe, Japan) as discussed in in Int’l Compass and ETF Pathfinder reports throughout 2023.
Still, there are plenty of attractive countries and Sectors within the EM landscape, which is what we are focusing on today.


EM Strategy: MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving-Overweight; Overweights: Taiwan, India, Mexico

<ul><li>Avenue Supermarts: Revenue grew by 20.1% (four-year CAGR: 19.7%)</li><li>Sales density remained lower than the pre-pandemic level (~INR31.1k/sq ft in FY23 vs INR35.6k/sq ft in FY19 in-line)</li><li>Low discretionary purchases keep underlying profitability/unit economics subdued</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Avenue Supermarts: Revenue grew by 20.1% (four-year CAGR: 19.7%)Sales density remained lower than the pre-pandemic level (~INR31.1k/sq ft in FY23 vs INR35.6k/sq ft in FY19 in-line)Low discretionary purchases keep underlying profitability/unit economics subduedContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Avenue Supermarts, Tata Motors, DLF

<ul><li>Record FY23 presales expected for most of the players: Going by the numbers for FY23 reported to date by top developers, we expect annual presales for most of them to surpass their previous highs</li><li>Godrej, Macrotech and Sobha, all reported their lifetime high in residential sales with INR 122/120/52bn respectively</li><li>The annual growth also has been substantial with Godrej growing by 55%, Macrotech by 34% and Sobha by 34%</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Record FY23 presales expected for most of the players: Going by the numbers for FY23 reported to date by top developers, we expect annual presales for most of them to surpass their previous highsGodrej, Macrotech and Sobha, all reported their lifetime high in residential sales with INR 122/120/52bn respectivelyThe annual growth also has been substantial with Godrej growing by 55%, Macrotech by 34% and Sobha by 34%Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance (BAF) delivered a strong operating performance, with steady NIMs in a rising interest rate and strong AUM growth (+27% YoY) environment</li><li>The healthy AUM growth comes despite elevated competitive intensity in select segments such as home loans, B2B finance, etc</li><li>Asset quality improved further, with GS-II/GS-III at 1.3%/1.1% (FY22: 2%/1.6%) and normalised credit costs.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance (BAF) delivered a strong operating performance, with steady NIMs in a rising interest rate and strong AUM growth (+27% YoY) environmentThe healthy AUM growth comes despite elevated competitive intensity in select segments such as home loans, B2B finance, etcAsset quality improved further, with GS-II/GS-III at 1.3%/1.1% (FY22: 2%/1.6%) and normalised credit costs.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

DLF Limited is an Indian commercial real estate development company that develops residential, commercial, and retail properties, including luxury residential complexes, office spaces, and shopping malls. The company operates across various locations in India, with a significant presence in Gurugram, Delhi, Hyderabad, Noida, and Chennai. DLF Limited was founded by Chaudhary Raghvendra Singh in 1946 and is headquartered in Gurugram, Haryana, India.

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DLF (DLFU IN)

Real Estate: Presale momentum continues

After a strong Q4FY24, we expect a sequentially flattish presale growth in Q1FY24 (on a high Q4FY23 base, driven by sustenance sales)

HDFC Securities

EM Strategy: MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving-Overweight; Overweights: Taiwan, India, Mexico

MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving -- Upgrading to Overweight; MSCI EM Technology remains an Overweight. Top Country Overweights: Taiwan, India,...

Vermilion Research

HSIE Results Daily: Avenue Supermarts, Tata Motors, DLF

Avenue Supermarts: Revenue grew by 20.1% (four-year CAGR: 19.7%) Sales density remained lower than the pre-pandemic level (~INR31.1k/sq ft in FY23...

HDFC Securities

Real Estate - Stable Performance

Going by the numbers for FY23 reported to date by top developers, we expect annual presales for most of them to surpass their previous highs

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, DLF

Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance (BAF) delivered a strong operating performance, with steady NIMs in a rising interest rate and strong AUM growth (+27%...

HDFC Securities

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