Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the averaging period for the April rebalance almost complete, we forecast 1 change for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the upcoming rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mirae-asset-tiger-fn-semiconductor-top-10-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36845:1" rel="noopener">Mirae Asset TIGER Fn Semiconductor Top 10 (396500 KS)</a>'s AUM has topped US$5.5bn and the ETF will need to trade a VERY significant portion of float for the add/delete.</li>
<li>The forecast add has outperformed the forecast delete by 50% over the last month but positioning does not appear to be stretched in the stocks.</li>
</ul>


With the averaging period for the April rebalance almost complete, we forecast 1 change for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the upcoming rebalance.

Mirae Asset TIGER Fn Semiconductor Top 10 (396500 KS)'s AUM has topped US$5.5bn and the ETF will need to trade a VERY significant portion of float for the add/delete.
The forecast add has outperformed the forecast delete by 50% over the last month but positioning does not appear to be stretched in the stocks.


FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: VERY Significant Impact for the Changes

<ul>
<li>With the averaging period for the April rebalance starting in one week, we forecast 1 change for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the upcoming rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mirae-asset-tiger-fn-semiconductor-top-10-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36845:1" rel="noopener">Mirae Asset TIGER Fn Semiconductor Top 10 ETF (396500 KS)</a>'s AUM has soared over the last few months to top US$4bn and that increases the flow and impact. </li>
<li>Based on the passive assets tracking the index, there will be between 3.4-4x ADV to trade in the forecast changes. Plus, a big impact due to the funding trade.</li>
</ul>


With the averaging period for the April rebalance starting in one week, we forecast 1 change for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the upcoming rebalance.

Mirae Asset TIGER Fn Semiconductor Top 10 ETF (396500 KS)'s AUM has soared over the last few months to top US$4bn and that increases the flow and impact. 
Based on the passive assets tracking the index, there will be between 3.4-4x ADV to trade in the forecast changes. Plus, a big impact due to the funding trade.


FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Soaring AUM Increases Flow & Impact

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>MTD screening results with 5 trading days left point to 2 names going out and 2 names coming in: Gemvax and Wonik IPS replace Dongjin Semichem and Jusung Engineering.</li>
<li>Unlike last April’s tariff-distorted +1.3% rebalance, this time we expect cleaner, more meaningful price action.</li>
<li>No pre-positioning seen, so I’ll target ETF rebalance day (Oct 10) and maybe take an anticipatory position a day earlier.</li>
</ul>


MTD screening results with 5 trading days left point to 2 names going out and 2 names coming in: Gemvax and Wonik IPS replace Dongjin Semichem and Jusung Engineering.
Unlike last April’s tariff-distorted +1.3% rebalance, this time we expect cleaner, more meaningful price action.
No pre-positioning seen, so I’ll target ETF rebalance day (Oct 10) and maybe take an anticipatory position a day earlier.


Korea Semicon ETF Rebal October Play: 2 In, 2 Out Long-Short Setup

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Sep 12th. The aggregated short interest was USD11.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Doosan Fuel Cell, HMM, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor, SK Hynix.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Sep 12th. The aggregated short interest was USD11.2bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Doosan Fuel Cell, HMM, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor, SK Hynix.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 12th): Doosan Fuel Cell, HMM, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor

<ul>
<li>With the averaging period for the October rebalance starting in two weeks, we forecast 2 changes for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the upcoming rebalance.</li>
<li>Based on the passive assets tracking the index, there will be between 1.5-4.7x ADV to trade in the forecast changes.</li>
<li>On average, the forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes by a wide margin over the last 3 months and could reverse some of the changes from the April rebalance.</li>
</ul>


With the averaging period for the October rebalance starting in two weeks, we forecast 2 changes for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the upcoming rebalance.
Based on the passive assets tracking the index, there will be between 1.5-4.7x ADV to trade in the forecast changes.
On average, the forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes by a wide margin over the last 3 months and could reverse some of the changes from the April rebalance.


FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in September

South Korea

Dongjin Semichem Co., Ltd. produces fine chemicals for semiconductor and liquid crystal display (LCD) manufacturing.  The Company's products include photoresist materials and epoxy molding compounds.  In addition, Dongjin Semichem also produces chemical foaming agents for plastic and rubber applications.

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Dongjin Semichem (005290 KS)

FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: VERY Significant Impact for the Changes

ISC could replace Dongjin Semi in the FnGuide Semi Top10 Index. AUM exceeds US$5.6bn and the ETF will need to trade a VERY significant % of float...

Brian Freitas

FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Soaring AUM Increases Flow & Impact

ETF AUM has crossed US$4bn and that increases flow and impact for the one set of forecast changes in April. Capping outflows for Hynix and Sammy...

Brian Freitas

Korea Semicon ETF Rebal October Play: 2 In, 2 Out Long-Short Setup

This post walks through Korea’s October semicon ETF rebalance play, highlighting a 2 In, 2 Out rotation that sets up a compelling long-short trade.

Sanghyun Park

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 12th): Doosan Fuel Cell, HMM, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Doosan Fuel Cell, HMM, Samsung Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in September

There could be 2 changes in Oct. The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes by a wide margin over the last 3 months and could reverse...

Brian Freitas

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