Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there could be 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in June.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 1.6-22 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 3.6-16.5 days of ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/han-kuk-carbon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17241:1" rel="noopener">Han Kuk Carbon (017960 KS)</a> appeared as a forecast add in the week starting 22 March and the stock is up 38% since then.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there could be 7 changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) in June.
The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 1.6-22 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 3.6-16.5 days of ADV.

Han Kuk Carbon (017960 KS) appeared as a forecast add in the week starting 22 March and the stock is up 38% since then.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side for June

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Short selling returns March 31, after 85% of the KOSPI 200’s rebalancing. Stocks set for removal will be prime short targets.</li>
<li>Stocks removed have solid liquidity, tight passive impact gaps between them, and with short selling restarting March 31, we could see intensified volume in the short basket.</li>
<li>With rebalance ahead, price action may start early. Market exposure means aggressive moves could happen before the end of March, so consider building futures positions before short selling resumes.</li>
</ul>


Short selling returns March 31, after 85% of the KOSPI 200’s rebalancing. Stocks set for removal will be prime short targets.
Stocks removed have solid liquidity, tight passive impact gaps between them, and with short selling restarting March 31, we could see intensified volume in the short basket.
With rebalance ahead, price action may start early. Market exposure means aggressive moves could happen before the end of March, so consider building futures positions before short selling resumes.


Play the Timing Sweet Spot Between KOSPI 200 Rebal and Short Selling Coming Back into Play

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Halfway through the review period, there could be 6 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in June. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-cns-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35945:1" rel="noopener">LG CNS (LGCNSZ KS)</a> listing could increase that number.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 2.1-26 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 5-11 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months and the performance gap is near its widest point.</li>
</ul>


Halfway through the review period, there could be 6 changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) in June. The LG CNS (LGCNSZ KS) listing could increase that number.
The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 2.1-26 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 5-11 days of ADV.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months and the performance gap is near its widest point.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 6 Potential Changes in June; LG CNS Listing Could Increase That

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The December 2024 index review results for the KOSPI Indices were announced after the close on Thursday 21st November 2024.</li>
<li>There will be four ADDs and five DELs for KOSPI 200 during the December 2024 index rebal event. </li>
<li>We predicted 8 out of 9 changes correctly. We missed one of the DELs and we expected a couple extra changes which did not materialize.</li>
</ul>


The December 2024 index review results for the KOSPI Indices were announced after the close on Thursday 21st November 2024.
There will be four ADDs and five DELs for KOSPI 200 during the December 2024 index rebal event. 
We predicted 8 out of 9 changes correctly. We missed one of the DELs and we expected a couple extra changes which did not materialize.


KOSPI200 Dec24 Rebal: 4 ADDs, 5 DELs, Big ADV on Small Stocks

Hyosung Heavy Industries Corp / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> December rebalance complete, there should be 4 adds and 5 deletes at the review.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 2.3-23 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 5-16 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes early in the review period but there has been little to see over the last few months.</li>
</ul>


With the review period for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) December rebalance complete, there should be 4 adds and 5 deletes at the review.
The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 2.3-23 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 5-16 days of ADV.
The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes early in the review period but there has been little to see over the last few months.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes as Review Period Ends

South Korea

Dongwon Industries Co., Ltd. is a deep-sea fishing company.  The Company produces and distributes fish can goods and processed seafood products including tuna sashimi.

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Dongwon Industries (006040 KS)

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side for June

There could be 7 changes for the KOSPI200 in June. Potential impact ranges from 1.6-22 days of ADV. HDC Holdings has jumped the most while Hankuk...

Brian Freitas

Play the Timing Sweet Spot Between KOSPI 200 Rebal and Short Selling Coming Back into Play

The KOSPI 200 June rebalance screening is almost done. The adds and deletes are mostly as expected from my Jan screen, with the same names likely...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 6 Potential Changes in June; LG CNS Listing Could Increase That

There could be 6 changes for the KOSPI200 in June. The LG CNS listing tomorrow could increase that number. The forecast adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI200 Dec24 Rebal: 4 ADDs, 5 DELs, Big ADV on Small Stocks

The KOSPI 200 December 2024 rebal has been announced. We got 8/9 right. One was borderline. One false positive is an issue we are checking, but the...

Travis Lundy

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes as Review Period Ends

Review period complete. We forecast 4 adds, 5 deletes with some close names. Passive trading impact is 2.3-16x ADV. Adds outperformed deletes early...

Brian Freitas

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