Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 29 August, the Doosan Group announced that it is cancelling the merger between Doosan Robotics (454910 KS) and Doosan Bobcat Inc (241560 KS).</li>
<li>However, the plan to split Doosan Enerbility into a newco and then merge Doosan Bobcat with the newco will remain in place.</li>
<li>Doosan Group is still trying to complete the first two portions of reorganization (Split of Doosan Enerbility and Merger Swap Between Doosan Enerbility and Doosan Robotics), resulting in continued uncertainty.  </li>
</ul>


On 29 August, the Doosan Group announced that it is cancelling the merger between Doosan Robotics (454910 KS) and Doosan Bobcat Inc (241560 KS).
However, the plan to split Doosan Enerbility into a newco and then merge Doosan Bobcat with the newco will remain in place.
Doosan Group is still trying to complete the first two portions of reorganization (Split of Doosan Enerbility and Merger Swap Between Doosan Enerbility and Doosan Robotics), resulting in continued uncertainty.  


Doosan Group Cancels Plans to Merge Doosan Robotics and Doosan Bobcat

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Hyundai Rotem is right on the edge for Small Cap→Standard, so it is the only one having a real chance of being included in the November review.</li>
<li>Doosan Robotics’ float rate will rise to 40% after issuing 20,219,376 new shares, making it a top candidate for inclusion among Outside IMI and comfortably surpassing the cutoff.</li>
<li>With high trading volume volatility, it’s early to predict passive impact. Watch for momentum buildup like LS Electric and monitor the trading volume of Hyundai Rotem and Robotics closely.</li>
</ul>


Hyundai Rotem is right on the edge for Small Cap→Standard, so it is the only one having a real chance of being included in the November review.
Doosan Robotics’ float rate will rise to 40% after issuing 20,219,376 new shares, making it a top candidate for inclusion among Outside IMI and comfortably surpassing the cutoff.
With high trading volume volatility, it’s early to predict passive impact. Watch for momentum buildup like LS Electric and monitor the trading volume of Hyundai Rotem and Robotics closely.


Notable Developments in the November Review of the Global Index Korea Standard

<ul>
<li>Maekyung reported that Doosan Robotics and Bobcat will cancel their merger, but the merger between Robotics and Enerbility's spun-off company will proceed.</li>
<li>The merger's risks have been overblown in Robotics' stock, which might rebound. Bobcat's stock outlook is uncertain, with fading merger hopes potentially hurting short-term sentiment.</li>
<li>The Robotics-Enerbility merger might also be canceled under regulatory pressure, but this could hurt Enerbility's stock due to debt concerns; forcing the merger may increase costs.</li>
</ul>


Maekyung reported that Doosan Robotics and Bobcat will cancel their merger, but the merger between Robotics and Enerbility's spun-off company will proceed.
The merger's risks have been overblown in Robotics' stock, which might rebound. Bobcat's stock outlook is uncertain, with fading merger hopes potentially hurting short-term sentiment.
The Robotics-Enerbility merger might also be canceled under regulatory pressure, but this could hurt Enerbility's stock due to debt concerns; forcing the merger may increase costs.


Doosan Mergers: One Canceled, One Still Moving Forward

<ul>
<li>On 6 August, the Doosan Group announced a revised merger report. Despite some changes in the merger report, there was no change the merger ratios. </li>
<li>Many minority shareholders of Doosan Enerbility and Doosan Bobcat are likely to oppose this merger. The net result is an increasing probability that this merger gets cancelled, in our view.</li>
<li>Doosan Enerbility has set aside about 600 billion won for exercise of appraisal rights and if it exceeds this amount, the merger may be cancelled. </li>
</ul>


On 6 August, the Doosan Group announced a revised merger report. Despite some changes in the merger report, there was no change the merger ratios. 
Many minority shareholders of Doosan Enerbility and Doosan Bobcat are likely to oppose this merger. The net result is an increasing probability that this merger gets cancelled, in our view.
Doosan Enerbility has set aside about 600 billion won for exercise of appraisal rights and if it exceeds this amount, the merger may be cancelled. 


Doosan Group Revises Merger Report and Increasing Probability of Merger Getting Cancelled

<ul>
<li>FSS Governor Lee challenged the legality of the Robotics-Bobcat merger ratio, citing Article 176-5 of the Capital Markets Act, allowing a 10% premium or discount.</li>
<li>Following the FSS Governor's statements, Doosan must likely apply a 10% premium/discount to the Robotics-Bobcat merger, creating a 30% spread based on current stock prices.</li>
<li>Doosan may still revise or cancel the merger, but the FSS Governor's comments might boost Bobcat short-term. Given the uncertainty, aggressive trading is risky.</li>
</ul>


FSS Governor Lee challenged the legality of the Robotics-Bobcat merger ratio, citing Article 176-5 of the Capital Markets Act, allowing a 10% premium or discount.
Following the FSS Governor's statements, Doosan must likely apply a 10% premium/discount to the Robotics-Bobcat merger, creating a 30% spread based on current stock prices.
Doosan may still revise or cancel the merger, but the FSS Governor's comments might boost Bobcat short-term. Given the uncertainty, aggressive trading is risky.


Korea FSS Chief Calls for 10% Premium/Discount on Doosan Merger, Boosting Swap Spread to 30%

South Korea

Doosan Robotics Inc. develops and manufactures industrial equipment. The Company manufactures robots, linear actuation devices, automated production equipment, and other products. Doosan Robotics conducts businesses in South Korea.

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Doosan Robotics (454910 KS)

Doosan Group Cancels Plans to Merge Doosan Robotics and Doosan Bobcat

Most minority investors have a Negative view of this entire Doosan Group reorganization. We would stay away from Doosan Robotics, Doosan...

Douglas Kim

Notable Developments in the November Review of the Global Index Korea Standard

This post highlights key developments regarding Hyundai Rotem and Doosan Robotics in the Global Index Korea Standard's November review.

Sanghyun Park

Doosan Mergers: One Canceled, One Still Moving Forward

This post explores the report from Maekyung that the merger between Doosan Robotics and Doosan Bobcat has been canceled, and examines the trading...

Sanghyun Park

Doosan Group Revises Merger Report and Increasing Probability of Merger Getting Cancelled

Lee Bok-Hyun (FSS head) stated today that "In reality, the market prices [of Doosan Bobcat and Doosan Robotics] may not properly reflect their fair...

Douglas Kim

Korea FSS Chief Calls for 10% Premium/Discount on Doosan Merger, Boosting Swap Spread to 30%

The FSS Governor made a shocking statement on TV today, saying that a 10% premium and discount should be applied to the Doosan merger ratio. This...

Sanghyun Park

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