Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>If stocks close above the appraisal prices on the 10th, NPS will support the merger; otherwise, they’ll abstain to secure their appraisal rights.</li>
<li>Due to cancellation risk hitting the ceiling, NPS will likely exercise half its position and start buybacks after the results.</li>
<li>With both stocks heavily weighted in KOSPI 200, NPS is likely to opt for a tight buyback window, boosting chances for upward price action on Doosan's shares in that period.</li>
</ul>


If stocks close above the appraisal prices on the 10th, NPS will support the merger; otherwise, they’ll abstain to secure their appraisal rights.
Due to cancellation risk hitting the ceiling, NPS will likely exercise half its position and start buybacks after the results.
With both stocks heavily weighted in KOSPI 200, NPS is likely to opt for a tight buyback window, boosting chances for upward price action on Doosan's shares in that period.


Flow Dynamics from NPS Exercising Appraisal Rights on Doosan Merger

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Shenzhen Yuejiang Technology, more commonly known as just Dobot, updated its PHIP and plans to raise fresh capital for technology development for intelligent cobots.</li>
<li>The company did not disclose the proposed size and price range for the offering. Guotai Junan international and ABC International are leading the IPO.</li>
<li>I believe cobot industry can grow faster than third-party forecasts while the integration of AI into cobots will drive the development of smart cobots.</li>
</ul>


Shenzhen Yuejiang Technology, more commonly known as just Dobot, updated its PHIP and plans to raise fresh capital for technology development for intelligent cobots.
The company did not disclose the proposed size and price range for the offering. Guotai Junan international and ABC International are leading the IPO.
I believe cobot industry can grow faster than third-party forecasts while the integration of AI into cobots will drive the development of smart cobots.


Shenzhen Yuejiang Technology IPO: PHIP and Valuation Updates, High Valuations and A Higher TAM

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>We look at Korea's leading KOSPI200 Index every month and publish ADDs and DELETEs expected for the next rebalance.</li>
<li>Our final rankings are now set (assuming no strange disasters in the data). We see 5 ADDs and 6 DELETEs in the upcoming December rebalance. </li>
<li>For the third insight in a row, I am sticking with the same single trade. So far in 5 weeks it is +11.6% vs KOSPI200. There are others. </li>
</ul>


We look at Korea's leading KOSPI200 Index every month and publish ADDs and DELETEs expected for the next rebalance.
Our final rankings are now set (assuming no strange disasters in the data). We see 5 ADDs and 6 DELETEs in the upcoming December rebalance. 
For the third insight in a row, I am sticking with the same single trade. So far in 5 weeks it is +11.6% vs KOSPI200. There are others. 


Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Dec 24 Rebal: Final Rankings - Multiple Trades To Do

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>Our overall assessment of the new reorganization plan by the Doosan Group continues to be Negative, because Doosan has not given up trying to eventually merge Bobcat and Robotics.</li>
<li>Doosan Group's new reorganization plan is the opposite of KISS strategy, involving several moving parts and complicated deal structure.</li>
<li>We have also provided three main recommendations on how to raise the valuation of Doosan Bobcat without rushing to merge Bobcat and Robotics.</li>
</ul>


Our overall assessment of the new reorganization plan by the Doosan Group continues to be Negative, because Doosan has not given up trying to eventually merge Bobcat and Robotics.
Doosan Group's new reorganization plan is the opposite of KISS strategy, involving several moving parts and complicated deal structure.
We have also provided three main recommendations on how to raise the valuation of Doosan Bobcat without rushing to merge Bobcat and Robotics.


New Reorganization Plan Increases Overhang Risk for Doosan Bobcat

<ul>
<li>The big question is how to cash in on the dissenters' rights spread for Robotics. The main concern is cancellation risk, but the FSS doesn’t seem too negative on approval.</li>
<li>To sustain nuclear momentum, Enerbility needs heavy borrowing for facility investments, requiring a lower debt ratio. Offloading debt-heavy Bobcat is a move shareholders might support.</li>
<li>With NPS unlikely to ignore the government's nuclear push, Robotics' spread could narrow quickly. Despite cancellation risk and no hedge, the remaining juice makes an outright position worth considering.</li>
</ul>


The big question is how to cash in on the dissenters' rights spread for Robotics. The main concern is cancellation risk, but the FSS doesn’t seem too negative on approval.
To sustain nuclear momentum, Enerbility needs heavy borrowing for facility investments, requiring a lower debt ratio. Offloading debt-heavy Bobcat is a move shareholders might support.
With NPS unlikely to ignore the government's nuclear push, Robotics' spread could narrow quickly. Despite cancellation risk and no hedge, the remaining juice makes an outright position worth considering.


Doosan’s Tweaked Restructuring Play: My Take on Hitting Robotics' 13% Spread

South Korea

Doosan Robotics Inc. develops and manufactures industrial equipment. The Company manufactures robots, linear actuation devices, automated production equipment, and other products. Doosan Robotics conducts businesses in South Korea.

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Doosan Robotics (454910 KS)

Flow Dynamics from NPS Exercising Appraisal Rights on Doosan Merger

This post dives into the flow dynamics triggered by NPS's conditional exercise of appraisal rights in the Doosan merger.

Sanghyun Park

Shenzhen Yuejiang Technology IPO: PHIP and Valuation Updates, High Valuations and A Higher TAM

In my insight, I set a target valuation for Dobot, discuss a last updated PHIP, valuation comps and outline long-term revenue growth scenario under...

Andrei Zakharov

Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Dec 24 Rebal: Final Rankings - Multiple Trades To Do

The KOSPI200 December 2024 rebal has its reference data. Unless there are dramatic changes, the rebal should be set. We expect 5 ADDs 6 DELETEs. I...

Travis Lundy

New Reorganization Plan Increases Overhang Risk for Doosan Bobcat

Doosan Group's new reorganization plan is the opposite of KISS strategy, involving several moving parts and complicated deal structure.

Douglas Kim

Doosan’s Tweaked Restructuring Play: My Take on Hitting Robotics' 13% Spread

This post breaks down Doosan’s revamped restructuring plan with Enerbility and Robotics, and shares my take on how to play Robotics' 13% spread on...

Sanghyun Park

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