Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>During Kim Byung-hwan's hearing, he acknowledged market concerns about the Doosan merger, increasing skepticism about Doosan's ability to maintain the original merger ratio.</li>
<li>Calculating Bobcat's net asset value using the net asset value method yields approximately ₩6.1T, derived from ₩5.95T in year-end equity plus ₩0.13T in adjustments.</li>
<li>Reassess arb trading opportunities; with no short hedge for Robotics, consider an outright long position in Bobcat if its swap price is revised and the spread widens.</li>
</ul>


During Kim Byung-hwan's hearing, he acknowledged market concerns about the Doosan merger, increasing skepticism about Doosan's ability to maintain the original merger ratio.
Calculating Bobcat's net asset value using the net asset value method yields approximately ₩6.1T, derived from ₩5.95T in year-end equity plus ₩0.13T in adjustments.
Reassess arb trading opportunities; with no short hedge for Robotics, consider an outright long position in Bobcat if its swap price is revised and the spread widens.


Robotics+Bobcat Merger: Merger Ratio Revision Possibility & Arb Spread Recalculations

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>On 11 July, the Doosan Group announced a major business structure reorganization, including the delisting of Doosan Bobcat Inc (241560 KS).</li>
<li>In our view (over the next 3-6 months), these transactions appear to be value-destroying for Doosan Bobcat and Doosan Enerbility minority shareholders but positive for Doosan Robotics shareholders.</li>
<li>Doosan Robotics plans to acquire the remaining 54% stake in Doosan Bobcat through a tender offer. Once Doosan Robotics fully owns Doosan Bobcat, its shares will be delisted.</li>
</ul>


On 11 July, the Doosan Group announced a major business structure reorganization, including the delisting of Doosan Bobcat Inc (241560 KS).
In our view (over the next 3-6 months), these transactions appear to be value-destroying for Doosan Bobcat and Doosan Enerbility minority shareholders but positive for Doosan Robotics shareholders.
Doosan Robotics plans to acquire the remaining 54% stake in Doosan Bobcat through a tender offer. Once Doosan Robotics fully owns Doosan Bobcat, its shares will be delisted.


Reorganization of the Doosan Group: Why Delist Doosan Bobcat (Jewel of Doosan Group)?

<ul>
<li>Korea's majority party plans to amend the Capital Markets Act to base listed companies' merger ratios on intrinsic rather than market value, dubbed the "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law."</li>
<li>Other conglomerates, like Hanwha and Hyundai Motor Group, may execute mergers just before this amendment.</li>
<li>We should expect shareholder-favorable merger ratios. So, we should position in such companies before announcements, ideally just before the new amendment's enforcement.</li>
</ul>


Korea's majority party plans to amend the Capital Markets Act to base listed companies' merger ratios on intrinsic rather than market value, dubbed the "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law."
Other conglomerates, like Hanwha and Hyundai Motor Group, may execute mergers just before this amendment.
We should expect shareholder-favorable merger ratios. So, we should position in such companies before announcements, ideally just before the new amendment's enforcement.


Trading Opportunities Arising from the Enactment of The "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law"

<ul>
<li>The restructuring plan of Doosan Group announced today primarily consists of two merger events aimed at transferring the stake in Doosan Bobcat held by Doosan Enerbility to Doosan Robotics.</li>
<li>The 50% price cut on Doosan Enerbility's share price for merging with Doosan Robotics boosts Robotics' advantage. This resulted in a swap spread opening with Doosan Bobcat.</li>
<li>Considering an arbitrage strategy in the Doosan Robotics and Doosan Bobcat swap needs caution due to shareholder approval risks, especially with Doosan Enerbility's low controlling stake potentially complicating the process.</li>
</ul>


The restructuring plan of Doosan Group announced today primarily consists of two merger events aimed at transferring the stake in Doosan Bobcat held by Doosan Enerbility to Doosan Robotics.
The 50% price cut on Doosan Enerbility's share price for merging with Doosan Robotics boosts Robotics' advantage. This resulted in a swap spread opening with Doosan Bobcat.
Considering an arbitrage strategy in the Doosan Robotics and Doosan Bobcat swap needs caution due to shareholder approval risks, especially with Doosan Enerbility's low controlling stake potentially complicating the process.


Details of Two Doosan Mergers Involving Enerbility, Robotics, & Bobcat

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Shenzhen Yuejiang Technology (Dobot), a Shenzhen-based cobot company with a diversified customer base globally, filed publicly for Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>The terms of the IPO were not disclosed. The robotics company plans to increase production capacity due to high demand in the coming years.</li>
<li>Dobot may be trading above the last round valuation of ~RMB3.5b, but I believe investors should focus on the company’s long-term growth prospects and rapidly growing TAM.</li>
</ul>


Shenzhen Yuejiang Technology (Dobot), a Shenzhen-based cobot company with a diversified customer base globally, filed publicly for Hong Kong IPO.
The terms of the IPO were not disclosed. The robotics company plans to increase production capacity due to high demand in the coming years.
Dobot may be trading above the last round valuation of ~RMB3.5b, but I believe investors should focus on the company’s long-term growth prospects and rapidly growing TAM.


Shenzhen Yuejiang Technology IPO: What’s The IPO Valuation? Long-Term Growth Prospects

South Korea

Doosan Robotics Inc. develops and manufactures industrial equipment. The Company manufactures robots, linear actuation devices, automated production equipment, and other products. Doosan Robotics conducts businesses in South Korea.

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Doosan Robotics (454910 KS)

Robotics+Bobcat Merger: Merger Ratio Revision Possibility & Arb Spread Recalculations

On July 11, Bobcat announced an EGM on September 25 to address the merger approval and capital reduction. Initially, details about the capital...

Sanghyun Park

Reorganization of the Doosan Group: Why Delist Doosan Bobcat (Jewel of Doosan Group)?

There has been a major backlash among both domestic and overseas investors on the split of Doosan Enerbility, merger swap between Doosan Enerbility...

Douglas Kim

Trading Opportunities Arising from the Enactment of The "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law"

This post explores trading opportunities expected from the upcoming "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law," as labeled by the local market.

Sanghyun Park

Details of Two Doosan Mergers Involving Enerbility, Robotics, & Bobcat

This post provides an in-depth look at two mergers within Doosan Group, involving Enerbility, Robotics, and Bobcat. The mergers are designed to...

Sanghyun Park

Shenzhen Yuejiang Technology IPO: What’s The IPO Valuation? Long-Term Growth Prospects

China’s Shenzhen Yuejiang Technology (Dobot) is set to raise fresh capital in an IPO in Hong Kong, and I expect the cobot company will price its...

Andrei Zakharov

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