New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm

We are proud to be a New Zealand owned firm, with 21 offices throughout the country and over 300 employees. We assist personal, institutional and corporate clients providing a full range of investment services.

Forsyth Barr is a foundation New Zealand Exchange firm (NZX) and accredited market participant. We have been confirmed by the Financial Markets Authority as a Qualifying Financial Entity (QFE).

Research is the cornerstone of our advice. We have one of New Zealand's leading teams of analysts. Our global affiliations ensure comprehensive research coverage of all major investment markets.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Government policy changes have led to significant volatility in the types and volumes of vehicles imported recently.</li><li>New car registrations in NZ have remained subdued, falling by -20% in 1Q24, as high interest rates, more conservative lending policies, changes to EV subsidies, and increased household costs have dampened consumer demand.</li><li>However, 1Q24 saw total used car transactions begin to recover, showing a +1% increase compared to the same period in the previous year. </li></ul>

Government policy changes have led to significant volatility in the types and volumes of vehicles imported recently.New car registrations in NZ have remained subdued, falling by -20% in 1Q24, as high interest rates, more conservative lending policies, changes to EV subsidies, and increased household costs have dampened consumer demand.However, 1Q24 saw total used car transactions begin to recover, showing a +1% increase compared to the same period in the previous year. 

<ul><li>The Forsyth Barr EV and Vehicle Digest delves into the automotive landscape in NZ and the accelerating electric vehicle (EV) revolution.</li><li>We aim to provide regular insights into crucial industry aspects, such as government policies, vehicle loan financing, and transaction analysis.</li><li>Further, we will periodically detail developments in consumer preferences, charging infrastructure, battery technology, and other influencing factors in the industry.</li></ul>

The Forsyth Barr EV and Vehicle Digest delves into the automotive landscape in NZ and the accelerating electric vehicle (EV) revolution.We aim to provide regular insights into crucial industry aspects, such as government policies, vehicle loan financing, and transaction analysis.Further, we will periodically detail developments in consumer preferences, charging infrastructure, battery technology, and other influencing factors in the industry.

Forsyth Barr EV and Vehicle Digest - Edition 3 — Clean Car Discount Ends

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There were a lot of rebalance implementations in China on Friday, plus a few upcoming index changes that were announced during the week.</li>
<li>There are a lot of implementations this week, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> on Thursday and then others across a bunch of countries on Friday.</li>
<li>There were big inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a> during the week taking units outstanding to a new high. ETF inflows continue even as the market drops.</li>
</ul>


There were a lot of rebalance implementations in China on Friday, plus a few upcoming index changes that were announced during the week.
There are a lot of implementations this week, with KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 on Thursday and then others across a bunch of countries on Friday.
There were big inflows to Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK) during the week taking units outstanding to a new high. ETF inflows continue even as the market drops.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, TW Div+, ASX200, NZX50, Mom30, Top10EW, MVW, Rakuten Bank

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gentrack-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2752:1" rel="noopener">Gentrack (GTK NZ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dorchester-pacific-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1854:1" rel="noopener">Turners Automotive (TRA NZ)</a> will be added to the S&amp;P/NZX 50 Index while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/synlait-milk-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16298:1" rel="noopener">Synlait Milk (SML NZ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-edge-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20261:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Edge (PEB NZ)</a> will be deleted.</li>
<li>There is a lot to trade on the stocks. The impact in terms of days of ADV appears high but historically there has been volume on implementation date.</li>
<li>The adds have jumped recently and there will be pre-positioning on the stocks. Not so much on the deletes.</li>
</ul>



Gentrack (GTK NZ) and Turners Automotive (TRA NZ) will be added to the S&amp;P/NZX 50 Index while Synlait Milk (SML NZ) and Pacific Edge (PEB NZ) will be deleted.
There is a lot to trade on the stocks. The impact in terms of days of ADV appears high but historically there has been volume on implementation date.
The adds have jumped recently and there will be pre-positioning on the stocks. Not so much on the deletes.


S&P/NZX 50 Index Rebalance: Two High Impact Changes Coming Up

<ul><li>The Forsyth Barr EV and Vehicle Digest delves into the automotive landscape in NZ and the accelerating electric vehicle (EV) revolution.</li><li>We aim to provide regular insights into crucial industry aspects, such as government policies, vehicle loan financing and transaction analysis.</li><li>Further, we will periodically detail developments in consumer preferences, charging infrastructure, battery technology and other influencing factors in the industry.</li></ul>

The Forsyth Barr EV and Vehicle Digest delves into the automotive landscape in NZ and the accelerating electric vehicle (EV) revolution.We aim to provide regular insights into crucial industry aspects, such as government policies, vehicle loan financing and transaction analysis.Further, we will periodically detail developments in consumer preferences, charging infrastructure, battery technology and other influencing factors in the industry.

Forsyth Barr EV and Vehicle Digest - Edition 2 — Global Auto Volatility Continues

New Zealand

Turners Limited specialized personal insurance. The Company provides motor vehicle and personal financial services, and hire purchase services and investment advisory services to businesses.  Dorchester also provides immigration consultancy services assisting business migrants and families.

Turners Automotive (TRA NZ)

Forsyth Barr EV and Vehicle Digest

Government policy changes have led to significant volatility in the types and volumes of vehicles imported recently. New car registrations in NZ...

Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr EV and Vehicle Digest - Edition 3 — Clean Car Discount Ends

The Forsyth Barr EV and Vehicle Digest delves into the automotive landscape in NZ and the accelerating electric vehicle (EV) revolution.

Forsyth Barr

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, TW Div+, ASX200, NZX50, Mom30, Top10EW, MVW, Rakuten Bank

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

S&P/NZX 50 Index Rebalance: Two High Impact Changes Coming Up

As expected, Gentrack and Turners Auto will replace Synlait Milk and Pacific Edge in the NZX50 Index. The adds have jumped recently and there...

Brian Freitas

Forsyth Barr EV and Vehicle Digest - Edition 2 — Global Auto Volatility Continues

The Forsyth Barr EV and Vehicle Digest delves into the automotive landscape in NZ and the accelerating electric vehicle (EV) revolution.

Forsyth Barr