Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The Dow Chemical Company has reported its first-quarter financial results for 2025, presenting a mixed picture of operational achievements and ongoing challenges.</li><li>The company generated $10.4 billion in net sales, down 3% from the prior year due to persistent margin pressures across all operating segments.</li><li>While sequential sales remained flat, highlighting pricing challenges in Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure and Performance Materials & Coatings, these were somewhat counterbalanced by improvements in downstream silicone markets tied to home, personal care, and electronics.</li></ul>

The Dow Chemical Company has reported its first-quarter financial results for 2025, presenting a mixed picture of operational achievements and ongoing challenges.The company generated $10.4 billion in net sales, down 3% from the prior year due to persistent margin pressures across all operating segments.While sequential sales remained flat, highlighting pricing challenges in Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure and Performance Materials & Coatings, these were somewhat counterbalanced by improvements in downstream silicone markets tied to home, personal care, and electronics.

Dow Inc.: Dealing With The Impact Of Broad-Based Tariffs on End Market Demand and Near-Term Profitability!

<ul><li>Dow Inc. reported its Q4 2024 and full-year financial results under challenging macroeconomic conditions, highlighting both positive strides and ongoing challenges.</li><li>In Q4, Dow achieved its fifth consecutive quarter of year-over-year volume growth despite a weak economic backdrop.</li><li>The company reported net sales of $10.4 billion, down 2% from the same period last year, reflecting pricing pressures across all operating segments.</li></ul>

Dow Inc. reported its Q4 2024 and full-year financial results under challenging macroeconomic conditions, highlighting both positive strides and ongoing challenges.In Q4, Dow achieved its fifth consecutive quarter of year-over-year volume growth despite a weak economic backdrop.The company reported net sales of $10.4 billion, down 2% from the same period last year, reflecting pricing pressures across all operating segments.

Dow Inc.: Global Expansion & Product Launches Driving Our Optimism! - Major Drivers

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)</a> selling <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16063:1" rel="noopener">Seven Bank (8410 JP)</a> is obvious. It has been obvious. It is non-core. It's always been non-core. It was made  clear in previous Strategy announcements,</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pccw-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:873:1" rel="noopener">PCCW Ltd (8 HK)</a>'s premium to NAV is unjustified. However reversing the stub has not been going to plan of late, as the NAV premium continues to widen.</li>
<li>Mavcom HAS approved the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)</a> deal. But still welcomes public consultation. So, approved or not?</li>
</ul>



Seven &amp; I (3382 JP) selling Seven Bank (8410 JP) is obvious. It has been obvious. It is non-core. It's always been non-core. It was made  clear in previous Strategy announcements,

PCCW Ltd (8 HK)'s premium to NAV is unjustified. However reversing the stub has not been going to plan of late, as the NAV premium continues to widen.
Mavcom HAS approved the Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK) deal. But still welcomes public consultation. So, approved or not?


Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I/Seven Bank, PCCW, Malaysia Airports, I'rom Group

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA (NVDA US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sherwin-williams-co-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15539:1" rel="noopener">Sherwin Williams (SHW US)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel (INTC US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dow-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19107:1" rel="noopener">Dow (DOW US)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dow-jones-industrial-average" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22887:1" rel="noopener">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a> at the close on 7 November.</li>
<li>The impact of passive trading is highest in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sherwin-williams-co-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15539:1" rel="noopener">Sherwin Williams Co (SHW US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dow-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19107:1" rel="noopener">Dow (DOW US)</a> in terms of days of ADV and free float. Round-trip trade is US$16.5bn.</li>
<li>Given the ad hoc nature of the rebalances and the short timeline between announcement and implementation, the stocks could move over the rest of the week.</li>
</ul>



NVIDIA (NVDA US) and Sherwin Williams (SHW US) will replace Intel (INTC US) and Dow (DOW US) in the Dow Jones Industrial Average at the close on 7 November.
The impact of passive trading is highest in Sherwin Williams Co (SHW US) and Dow (DOW US) in terms of days of ADV and free float. Round-trip trade is US$16.5bn.
Given the ad hoc nature of the rebalances and the short timeline between announcement and implementation, the stocks could move over the rest of the week.


Dow Jones Industrials (INDU) Index Rebalance: NVIDIA, Sherwin-Williams Replace Intel, Dow

<ul><li>During Dow Inc.'s most recent quarterly earnings call, the company presented a mixed financial performance alongside an optimistic outlook on several fronts, illustrating both the challenges and opportunities it faces in the current economic landscape.</li><li>Dow Inc. reported a decrease in net sales with $10.9 billion, reflecting a 4% decline year-over-year but achieving a 1% sequential improvement.</li><li>This mixed result underscores the fluctuating demands in different market segments due to the slower-than-anticipated global economic recovery, specifically impacting areas like building and construction and consumer durables.</li></ul>

During Dow Inc.'s most recent quarterly earnings call, the company presented a mixed financial performance alongside an optimistic outlook on several fronts, illustrating both the challenges and opportunities it faces in the current economic landscape.Dow Inc. reported a decrease in net sales with $10.9 billion, reflecting a 4% decline year-over-year but achieving a 1% sequential improvement.This mixed result underscores the fluctuating demands in different market segments due to the slower-than-anticipated global economic recovery, specifically impacting areas like building and construction and consumer durables.

Dow Inc.: Expansion in Sustainability and Circular Plastics & Dealing With Innovation Challenges! - Major Drivers

United States

Dow Inc. produces and distributes chemical products. The Company manufactures and supplies chemicals for liquid injection molding, architecture fabrication, leather, textiles, automobiles, rubber consumer goods, and food industries. Dow serves customers worldwide.

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Dow (DOW US)

Dow Inc.: Dealing With The Impact Of Broad-Based Tariffs on End Market Demand and Near-Term Profitability!

The Dow Chemical Company has reported its first-quarter financial results for 2025, presenting a mixed picture of operational achievements and...

Baptista Research

Dow Inc.: Global Expansion & Product Launches Driving Our Optimism! - Major Drivers

Dow Inc. reported its Q4 2024 and full-year financial results under challenging macroeconomic conditions, highlighting both positive strides and...

Baptista Research

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I/Seven Bank, PCCW, Malaysia Airports, I'rom Group

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Dow Jones Industrials (INDU) Index Rebalance: NVIDIA, Sherwin-Williams Replace Intel, Dow

NVIDIA and Sherwin-Williams will replace Dow and Intel in the index. Round-trip trade is US$16.5bn. There is a lot to buy in Sherwin-Williams both...

Brian Freitas

Dow Inc.: Expansion in Sustainability and Circular Plastics & Dealing With Innovation Challenges! - Major Drivers

During Dow Inc.'s most recent quarterly earnings call, the company presented a mixed financial performance alongside an optimistic outlook on...

Baptista Research

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