Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Q1FY25 results of the leading Indian pharmaceutical companies showed healthy and broad-based growth of the Indian pharmaceutical market, which grew 8.7% in Q1FY25.</li>
<li>Most of the top listed players registered double-digit revenue growth from their respective India formulation segments. Focus on chronic therapies remained major growth driver.</li>
<li>The Nifty Pharma Index has outperformed the benchmark Nifty 50, rising 32% YTD. The benchmark index has gained just 13% over the same period.</li>
</ul>


Q1FY25 results of the leading Indian pharmaceutical companies showed healthy and broad-based growth of the Indian pharmaceutical market, which grew 8.7% in Q1FY25.
Most of the top listed players registered double-digit revenue growth from their respective India formulation segments. Focus on chronic therapies remained major growth driver.
The Nifty Pharma Index has outperformed the benchmark Nifty 50, rising 32% YTD. The benchmark index has gained just 13% over the same period.


Indian Pharmaceutical Market: On A Healthy Growth Path; Momentum to Continue in Rest of the Year

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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<ul><li>ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked a mild beat on the back of steady margins (-4bps QoQ) and better operating efficiency (higher non-core income), partly offset by elevated credit costs</li><li>Loan growth (+15 YoY) was in line, largely driven by SME, business banking and credit card businesses</li><li>ICICIBC witnessed lower recoveries in the corporate and SME portfolios alongside a marginal uptick in retail slippages; however, the bank continued to maintain a healthy PCR (80%)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked a mild beat on the back of steady margins (-4bps QoQ) and better operating efficiency (higher non-core income), partly offset by elevated credit costsLoan growth (+15 YoY) was in line, largely driven by SME, business banking and credit card businessesICICIBC witnessed lower recoveries in the corporate and SME portfolios alongside a marginal uptick in retail slippages; however, the bank continued to maintain a healthy PCR (80%)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Dr Reddy’s Laboratories, Ashok Leyland

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our long-term bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. With that said, we believe a 1-3-month pullback has likely begun.</li>
<li>Supports to watch are at $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41-42 on MSCI EM (EEM-US), and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.</li>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 is violating its 20-day MA, Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking below 4884, and Japan's TOPIX appears to be staging a false breakout at the 2800-2815 level</li>
</ul>


Our long-term bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. With that said, we believe a 1-3-month pullback has likely begun.
Supports to watch are at $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41-42 on MSCI EM (EEM-US), and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.
The S&amp;P 500 is violating its 20-day MA, Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking below 4884, and Japan's TOPIX appears to be staging a false breakout at the 2800-2815 level


Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution

<ul><li>The India Pharma &amp; Healthcare sector is expected to maintain the growth momentum in Q1FY25E.</li><li>We expect our coverage universe to see 11%/13% YoY sales/EBITDA growth.</li><li>Our assumptions – (1) Pharma coverage to see 10% YoY sales growth, largely led by 12% YoY growth in India business and ~6% QoQ growth in the US business, which will be driven by moderate price erosion, steady traction in gRevlimid/gSpiriva, new launches (gMyrbetriq), and steady traction in specialty business</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The India Pharma &amp; Healthcare sector is expected to maintain the growth momentum in Q1FY25E.We expect our coverage universe to see 11%/13% YoY sales/EBITDA growth.Our assumptions – (1) Pharma coverage to see 10% YoY sales growth, largely led by 12% YoY growth in India business and ~6% QoQ growth in the US business, which will be driven by moderate price erosion, steady traction in gRevlimid/gSpiriva, new launches (gMyrbetriq), and steady traction in specialty businessContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pharma and Healthcare (Q1FY25E Results Preview): Start the Year on a Strong Nod

<ul><li>Dr Reddy’s Laboratories: EBITDA grew (14% YoY) as +13% YoY sales growth (-3% QoQ US, +5% YoY in EU, +9% YoY EMs, and +34% YoY in RoW, India declined 12% YoY, adjusted growth was at 11%), steady gross margin (+65 bps YoY) and muted staff cost were offset by higher R&amp;D/SG&amp;A (+28/+22% YoY)</li><li>DRRD expects to sustain growth in the US over the next few years with steady traction in gRevlimid and new launches (20+ launches p.a for the next few years)</li><li>The company expects India to see steady growth in FY25, led by new launches, scale-up in key therapies, and in-licensing opportunities</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Dr Reddy’s Laboratories: EBITDA grew (14% YoY) as +13% YoY sales growth (-3% QoQ US, +5% YoY in EU, +9% YoY EMs, and +34% YoY in RoW, India declined 12% YoY, adjusted growth was at 11%), steady gross margin (+65 bps YoY) and muted staff cost were offset by higher R&amp;D/SG&amp;A (+28/+22% YoY)DRRD expects to sustain growth in the US over the next few years with steady traction in gRevlimid and new launches (20+ launches p.a for the next few years)The company expects India to see steady growth in FY25, led by new launches, scale-up in key therapies, and in-licensing opportunitiesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Dr Reddy’s Laboratories, Lupin, IRB Infra, Max Financial

India

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories is an Indian multinational pharmaceutical company that researches, develops, manufactures, and markets a wide array of pharmaceutical products and services. The company produces over 190 medications, 60 active pharmaceutical ingredients, diagnostic kits, critical care, and biotechnology products. It operates globally across multiple regions, offering generic drugs, active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs), differentiated formulations, biosimilars, and proprietary products. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, Telangana, India.

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Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)

Indian Pharmaceutical Market: On A Healthy Growth Path; Momentum to Continue in Rest of the Year

Indian pharmaceutical market grew 8.7% in Q1FY25. Most of the top players reported double-digit revenue growth in domestic market. Nifty Pharma...

Tina Banerjee

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Dr Reddy’s Laboratories, Ashok Leyland

ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked a mild beat on the back of steady margins (-4bps QoQ) and better operating efficiency (higher non-core...

HDFC Securities

Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution

Pullback Underway $ACWI $SPX; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensive Sectors is a Reason for Caution. Buys in Health Care,...

Vermilion Research

Pharma and Healthcare (Q1FY25E Results Preview): Start the Year on a Strong Nod

The India Pharma & Healthcare sector is expected to maintain the growth momentum in Q1FY25E. We expect our coverage universe to see 11%/13% YoY...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Dr Reddy’s Laboratories, Lupin, IRB Infra, Max Financial

DRRD expects to sustain growth in the US over the next few years with steady traction in gRevlimid and new launches (20+ launches p.a for the next...

HDFC Securities

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Indian Pharmaceutical Market: On A Healthy Growth Path; Momentum to Continue in Rest of the Year

​Indian pharmaceutical market grew 8.7% in Q1FY25. Most of the top players reported double-digit revenue growth in domestic market. Nifty Pharma...

Tina Banerjee

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Dr Reddy’s Laboratories, Ashok Leyland

ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked a mild beat on the back of steady margins (-4bps QoQ) and better operating efficiency (higher non-core...

HDFC Securities

Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution

Pullback Underway $ACWI $SPX; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensive Sectors is a Reason for Caution. Buys in Health Care,...

Vermilion Research

Pharma and Healthcare (Q1FY25E Results Preview): Start the Year on a Strong Nod

The India Pharma & Healthcare sector is expected to maintain the growth momentum in Q1FY25E. We expect our coverage universe to see 11%/13% YoY...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Dr Reddy’s Laboratories, Lupin, IRB Infra, Max Financial

DRRD expects to sustain growth in the US over the next few years with steady traction in gRevlimid and new launches (20+ launches p.a for the next...

HDFC Securities

Indian pharmaceutical market grew 8.7% in Q1FY25. Most of the top players reported double-digit revenue growth in domestic market. Nifty Pharma...