HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Everest Medicines / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The drug list of 11th national VBP varieties has been released. Innovative drugs will not be included in VBP. Results of this VBP is expected to be implemented by 2025.</li>
<li>The performance improvement of CRO may not be reflected until 25Q3 or 25Q4 at the earliest, but the market may reflect this expectation in advance. Tigermed’s turning point is coming.</li>
<li>Everest Medicines’ Placing Price is expensive.The reduction of holdings by major shareholder CBC and Founder Fu Wei indicates that the Company has been overvalued. Valuation should be lower than BeiGene.</li>
</ul>


The drug list of 11th national VBP varieties has been released. Innovative drugs will not be included in VBP. Results of this VBP is expected to be implemented by 2025.
The performance improvement of CRO may not be reflected until 25Q3 or 25Q4 at the earliest, but the market may reflect this expectation in advance. Tigermed’s turning point is coming.
Everest Medicines’ Placing Price is expensive.The reduction of holdings by major shareholder CBC and Founder Fu Wei indicates that the Company has been overvalued. Valuation should be lower than BeiGene.


China Healthcare Weekly (Jul.27)-The Turning Point of Tigermed and CRO, Everest Medicines’ Placement

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We see 28 potential and close adds and 34 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.</li>
<li>A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


We see 28 potential and close adds and 34 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.
A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

<ul>
<li>Leads Biolabs raised HKD 1290m (USD 166m) from its global offering and will list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Friday, July 24th.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we looked at the company's operation, management track records and discussed the IPO valuation.</li>
<li>In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before trading debut.</li>
</ul>


Leads Biolabs raised HKD 1290m (USD 166m) from its global offering and will list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Friday, July 24th.
In our previous note, we looked at the company's operation, management track records and discussed the IPO valuation.
In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before trading debut.


Leads Biolabs (维立志生物) Trading Update

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/everest-medicines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29224:1" rel="noopener">Everest Medicines (1952 HK)</a> aims to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement.</li>
<li>This will be the third placement this year for the stock, the previous two deals didn’t do well. Although the stock has bounced back a lot since.</li>
<li>In this note, we comment on the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Everest Medicines (1952 HK) aims to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement.
This will be the third placement this year for the stock, the previous two deals didn’t do well. Although the stock has bounced back a lot since.
In this note, we comment on the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Everest Medicine Placement - Third Deal in the Year, Previous Ones Didn’t Do Well

<ul>
<li>Leads Biolabs, a China-based clinical-stage biotechnology company, launched its IPO to raise up to US$144m via a Hong Kong listing.</li>
<li>We look at the deal dynamics and compare the listing with the Duality listing.</li>
<li>The deal values the companies fairly but we see strong sentiment towards quality biotech names.</li>
</ul>


Leads Biolabs, a China-based clinical-stage biotechnology company, launched its IPO to raise up to US$144m via a Hong Kong listing.
We look at the deal dynamics and compare the listing with the Duality listing.
The deal values the companies fairly but we see strong sentiment towards quality biotech names.


Leads Biolabs (维立志生物) IPO: A Duality Repeat?

China

Duality Biotherapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company dedicated to the discovery and development of next-generation antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) to treat cancer and autoimmune diseases. The company develops a pipeline of ADC candidates, including DB-1303/BNT323 (HER2 ADC), DB-1311/BNT324 (B7-H3 ADC), DB-1310 (HER3 ADC), and DB-1305/BNT325 (TROP2 ADC), for various cancers. Duality Biotherapeutics is headquartered in Shanghai, China, and was founded in 2019.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Duality Biotherapeutics (9606 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (Jul.27)-The Turning Point of Tigermed and CRO, Everest Medicines’ Placement

11th national VBP starts.Tigermed's fundamental turning point may occur this year due to investment income pickup.Everest Medicines' Placing Price...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added

The forecast adds to the index and Stock Connect are up 9.7% on average this month while the forecast deletes from the index and Stock Connect are...

Brian Freitas

Leads Biolabs (维立志生物) Trading Update

Leads Biolabs raises $166m in global offering, set to list on Hong Kong Stock Exchange on July 26th with updated IPO details.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Everest Medicine Placement - Third Deal in the Year, Previous Ones Didn’t Do Well

Everest Medicines (1952 HK) aims to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement. In this note, we run the deal through our framework and talk about...

Sumeet Singh

Leads Biolabs (维立志生物) IPO: A Duality Repeat?

China's biotech company Leads Biolabs launches IPO in Hong Kong to raise up to US$144m. We are seeing strong sentiment towards quality biotech...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Healthcare Weekly (Jul.27)-The Turning Point of Tigermed and CRO, Everest Medicines’ Placement

11th national VBP starts.Tigermed's fundamental turning point may occur this year due to investment income pickup.Everest Medicines' Placing Price...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added

The forecast adds to the index and Stock Connect are up 9.7% on average this month while the forecast deletes from the index and Stock Connect are...

Brian Freitas

Leads Biolabs (维立志生物) Trading Update

​Leads Biolabs raises $166m in global offering, set to list on Hong Kong Stock Exchange on July 26th with updated IPO details.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Everest Medicine Placement - Third Deal in the Year, Previous Ones Didn’t Do Well

Everest Medicines (1952 HK) aims to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement. In this note, we run the deal through our framework and talk about...

Sumeet Singh

Leads Biolabs (维立志生物) IPO: A Duality Repeat?

​China's biotech company Leads Biolabs launches IPO in Hong Kong to raise up to US$144m. We are seeing strong sentiment towards quality biotech...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Leads Biolabs raises $166m in global offering, set to list on Hong Kong Stock Exchange on July 26th with updated IPO details.

China's biotech company Leads Biolabs launches IPO in Hong Kong to raise up to US$144m. We are seeing strong sentiment towards quality biotech...