Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Monthly high frequency data from Taiwan's banks shows strong profit acceleration through May YTD, which will include insurance investment gains for some</li>
<li>This can be driven by accelerating loan growth to technology companies, to related companies, indirectly and may explain in part, Taiwan's leading loan growth rate vs other countries</li>
<li>Credit metrics and net profit growth can be supported for Taiwan's banks by a sector focus that differs from many others in the region and the world</li>
</ul>


Monthly high frequency data from Taiwan's banks shows strong profit acceleration through May YTD, which will include insurance investment gains for some
This can be driven by accelerating loan growth to technology companies, to related companies, indirectly and may explain in part, Taiwan's leading loan growth rate vs other countries
Credit metrics and net profit growth can be supported for Taiwan's banks by a sector focus that differs from many others in the region and the world


Taiwan Banks - HFD Profit Figures Good, Tech Exposure Can Support Credit Metrics, Loan Growth

<ul>
<li>Thailand, Macau and Hong Kong report negative loan growth in monthly HFD data.</li>
<li>Japan may be the most surprising with relatively high growth and relative to last year. </li>
<li>Indonesia moves from strength to strength, where India loan growth is high, but less so.</li>
</ul>


Thailand, Macau and Hong Kong report negative loan growth in monthly HFD data.
Japan may be the most surprising with relatively high growth and relative to last year. 
Indonesia moves from strength to strength, where India loan growth is high, but less so.


Global Credit Growth - Thailand, Macau, HK Report Negative Loan Growth, Japan, Indonesia Shine

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 28th. The aggregated holding was USD2,277.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,814mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, E.SUN Financial, Nanya Technology, Unimicron Technology, MediaTek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 28th. The aggregated holding was USD2,277.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,814mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, E.SUN Financial, Nanya Technology, Unimicron Technology, MediaTek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 28th): TSMC, E.SUN Financial, Nanya Technology, MediaTek

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

<ul>
<li>Exposure to the Taiwanese Banks sector has been in near constant decline for the best part of the last decade.</li>
<li>Just 4.5% of Asia Ex-Japan funds hold a position, with active managers running near record underweights of -1.06%, on average.</li>
<li>Investors should consider potential catalysts that could improve the investment outlook for banks in Taiwan, given the broad consensus on positioning.</li>
</ul>


Exposure to the Taiwanese Banks sector has been in near constant decline for the best part of the last decade.
Just 4.5% of Asia Ex-Japan funds hold a position, with active managers running near record underweights of -1.06%, on average.
Investors should consider potential catalysts that could improve the investment outlook for banks in Taiwan, given the broad consensus on positioning.


<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 31st. The aggregated holding was USD2,114.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD2,089mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, MediaTek, Delta Electronics, Chroma ATE, PharmaEssentia.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 31st. The aggregated holding was USD2,114.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD2,089mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, MediaTek, Delta Electronics, Chroma ATE, PharmaEssentia.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 31st): TSMC, MediaTek, Delta Electronics, Chroma ATE

Taiwan

E.Sun Financial Holding Company Ltd. is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides banking, brokerage and dealer services.

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E.Sun Financial Holding Co (2884 TT)

Taiwan Banks - HFD Profit Figures Good, Tech Exposure Can Support Credit Metrics, Loan Growth

Taiwan's banks may be unique with reasonable tech exposure, a possible driver for some of the best loan volume anywhere, with strong credit...

Daniel Tabbush

Global Credit Growth - Thailand, Macau, HK Report Negative Loan Growth, Japan, Indonesia Shine

Global credit growth data on a monthly basis, shows a vast range of cycles, with Thailand, Macau and HK the worse off. Japan, Taiwan, Indonesia...

Daniel Tabbush

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 28th): TSMC, E.SUN Financial, Nanya Technology, MediaTek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, E.SUN Financial, Nanya Technology,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Banks: Uninvestible?

Exposure to the Taiwanese Banking sector has been in near constant decline for the last decade. Just 4.5% of Asia Ex-Japan investors have...

Steven Holden

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 31st): TSMC, MediaTek, Delta Electronics, Chroma ATE

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, MediaTek, Delta Electronics, Chroma ATE,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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