Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>ดัชนี CSI 300 และ HSI ปรับตัวในกรอบแคบก่อนปิดลดลง โดยหุ้นปรับขึ้นลงตามปัจจัยเฉพาะตัว</li><li>เรามองผลประกอบการ 2025 มีแนวโน้มเติบโตตามกระแสการลงทุน Data center ในจีน ซึ่งสอดคล้องกับแผนการลงทุนของ Alibaba และ ByteDance</li><li>คาดตลาดปรับตัว sideway เพื่อติดตามผลประกอบการ NVDA (26 ก.พ.) และรายงานเงินเฟ้อ PCE (28 ก.พ.) ทั้งนี้กลุ่ม Al อาจได้รับจิตวิทยาลบจากการยกเลิกสัญญาเช่า Datacenter ของ MSFT ตามรายงานของ TD Cowen</li></ul>

ดัชนี CSI 300 และ HSI ปรับตัวในกรอบแคบก่อนปิดลดลง โดยหุ้นปรับขึ้นลงตามปัจจัยเฉพาะตัวเรามองผลประกอบการ 2025 มีแนวโน้มเติบโตตามกระแสการลงทุน Data center ในจีน ซึ่งสอดคล้องกับแผนการลงทุนของ Alibaba และ ByteDanceคาดตลาดปรับตัว sideway เพื่อติดตามผลประกอบการ NVDA (26 ก.พ.) และรายงานเงินเฟ้อ PCE (28 ก.พ.) ทั้งนี้กลุ่ม Al อาจได้รับจิตวิทยาลบจากการยกเลิกสัญญาเช่า Datacenter ของ MSFT ตามรายงานของ TD Cowen

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/east-buy-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27796:1" rel="noopener">East Buy Holding (1797 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in March.</li>
<li>In a surprise, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-music-entertainment-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36601:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK)</a> will be added and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongan-online-p-c-insurance-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23681:1" rel="noopener">ZhongAn Online P&amp;C Insurance C (6060 HK)</a> will be deleted.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)</a> is also an inclusion to the HSIII Index and HSCI Index and will be added to Southbound Stock Connect in May.</li>
</ul>


As expected, Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) replaces East Buy Holding (1797 HK) in the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in March.
In a surprise, Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK) will be added and ZhongAn Online P&amp;C Insurance C (6060 HK) will be deleted.

Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) is also an inclusion to the HSIII Index and HSCI Index and will be added to Southbound Stock Connect in May.


HSTECH Index Rebalance: Horizon Robotics, Tencent Music Replace East Buy, ZA Online; US$2.3bn Trade

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This past week saw SOUTHBOUND Connect clear HK$800bn of gross value traded, and net value was near recent highs at +HK$51bn. Consumer and finance names continue to be the rage.</li>
<li>Notable is the HUGE back-and-forth. If HK$800bn traded and SOUTHBOUND only bought HK$51bn, HK$375bn was round-tripped for short-term purposes.</li>
<li>That is twice the "excess" traded seen for the past year. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> saw US$14bn traded but net buying was US$121mm. </li>
</ul>


This past week saw SOUTHBOUND Connect clear HK$800bn of gross value traded, and net value was near recent highs at +HK$51bn. Consumer and finance names continue to be the rage.
Notable is the HUGE back-and-forth. If HK$800bn traded and SOUTHBOUND only bought HK$51bn, HK$375bn was round-tripped for short-term purposes.
That is twice the "excess" traded seen for the past year. Tencent (700 HK) saw US$14bn traded but net buying was US$121mm. 


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 21 Feb 2025); Another HUGE Jump in Value Traded, Consumer Still Bid

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> ended on 31 December.</li>
<li>There could be one constituent change in March. With capping changes, that could lead to a one-way turnover of 2.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$6.88bn (US$884m).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)</a> is also a potential inclusion to the HSCI Index in March, though inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect will only come through in May.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) ended on 31 December.
There could be one constituent change in March. With capping changes, that could lead to a one-way turnover of 2.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$6.88bn (US$884m).

Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) is also a potential inclusion to the HSCI Index in March, though inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect will only come through in May.


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: One Constituent Change & US$884m Trade

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes. </li>
<li>The official index changes and indicative weights for the March 2025 index rebal event will be announced on Friday 21st February 2025.</li>
<li>We continue to expect <em>one</em> change for the HSTECH index in March 2025, combined with capping flows of US$716mn.</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes. 
The official index changes and indicative weights for the March 2025 index rebal event will be announced on Friday 21st February 2025.
We continue to expect one change for the HSTECH index in March 2025, combined with capping flows of US$716mn.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Mar 25: US$716mn One-Way; Large Outflow for Xiaomi

China

East Buy is an investment holding company primarily engaged in livestreaming e-commerce, selling private label products and providing commission services. The company offers agricultural products, including fresh foods, juice, coffee, tea, and bedding, under its "East Buy" brand. Headquartered in Beijing, China, the company was founded in 2018.

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East Buy (1797 HK)

Global Market Update: February 24, 2025

Krungthai XSpring

HSTECH Index Rebalance: Horizon Robotics, Tencent Music Replace East Buy, ZA Online; US$2.3bn Trade

Horizon Robotics and TME replace East Buy and Za Online. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 5.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of...

Brian Freitas

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 21 Feb 2025); Another HUGE Jump in Value Traded, Consumer Still Bid

SOUTHBOUND volumes have popped significantly. Lots of day-trading. Still-strong net buying. Tech/Consumer and Finance are still the big net buys.

Travis Lundy

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: One Constituent Change & US$884m Trade

One week to go to the announcement of the index changes. Horizon Robotics is up 63% over the last 5 week and East Buy is down 17%. Time to take...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Mar 25: US$716mn One-Way; Large Outflow for Xiaomi

We expect Horizon Robotics to be added and East Buy Holdings to be deleted. Horizon Robotics has steeply outperformed East Buy Holdings during the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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