Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The finance stocks under our coverage reported a combined net profit of Bt4.27bn in 1Q24, growing 4.7% YoY and 11.2% QoQ.</li><li>We expect the operating performances for the remainder of 2024E to continue improving, thanks to a decrease in provisions resulting from effective asset quality control.</li><li>We maintain our Overweight rating for auto title loan providers, and a Neutral rating for truck hire purchase loan operators.</li></ul>

The finance stocks under our coverage reported a combined net profit of Bt4.27bn in 1Q24, growing 4.7% YoY and 11.2% QoQ.We expect the operating performances for the remainder of 2024E to continue improving, thanks to a decrease in provisions resulting from effective asset quality control.We maintain our Overweight rating for auto title loan providers, and a Neutral rating for truck hire purchase loan operators.

Road to Recovery During the Remainder of the Year

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The changes to the CSI All Share Investment Banking &amp; Brokerage Index were announced after market close on 31 May and will be implemented at the close on 14 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guosen-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27486:1" rel="noopener">Guosen Securities (002736 CH)</a> will be added to the index while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northeast-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6022:1" rel="noopener">Northeast Securities (000686 CH)</a> will be deleted from the index.</li>
<li>There is a lot of flow and impact for both stocks and the stocks could outperform/underperform their peers over the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the CSI All Share Investment Banking &amp; Brokerage Index were announced after market close on 31 May and will be implemented at the close on 14 June.

Guosen Securities (002736 CH) will be added to the index while Northeast Securities (000686 CH) will be deleted from the index.
There is a lot of flow and impact for both stocks and the stocks could outperform/underperform their peers over the next couple of weeks.


CSI All Share IB & Brokerage Index Rebalance: Couple of Large Flow & Impact Names

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Industrials, Consumer Staples, Financials led the inflows while Health Care led the outflows.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Zijin Mining, Will Semi, Wuxi Apptec, Foxconn, Mindray.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Industrials, Consumer Staples, Financials led the inflows while Health Care led the outflows.
We highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Zijin Mining, Will Semi, Wuxi Apptec, Foxconn, Mindray.


Northbound Flows (Mar): $3.7bn of Inflows

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 28th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$835.0 million, led by financials, consumer staples, information technology sectors, and offset by health care, communication services, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for stocks including Wuliangye, China Merchants Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 28th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$835.0 million, led by financials, consumer staples, information technology sectors, and offset by health care, communication services, materials.
We highlight flows for stocks including Wuliangye, China Merchants Bank.


Northbound Flows (Mar 28th): Wuliangye, CMB

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 23.5bn of A-shares on strong average activity after RMB +49bn the previous four trading weeks. More efforts by authorities to eliminate selling.</li>
<li>No finance names of any kind in the top ten this week after 5/10 the week before. Slight tendencies to trade on reversion.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 23.5bn of A-shares on strong average activity after RMB +49bn the previous four trading weeks. More efforts by authorities to eliminate selling.
No finance names of any kind in the top ten this week after 5/10 the week before. Slight tendencies to trade on reversion.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 1 Mar 2024): Foreigners Buy a New Set of Names

China

East Money Information Co., Ltd. operates online financial information platform.  The Company's products include internet advertising and financial data.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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East Money Information (300059 CH)

Road to Recovery During the Remainder of the Year

The finance stocks under our coverage reported a combined net profit of Bt4.27bn in 1Q24, growing 4.7% YoY and 11.2% QoQ. We expect the operating...

Krungthai XSpring

Northbound Flows (Mar): $3.7bn of Inflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for March and highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Zijin Mining, Will Semi, Wuxi Apptec,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Mar 28th): Wuliangye, CMB

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Wuliangye, China Merchants Bank.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 1 Mar 2024): Foreigners Buy a New Set of Names

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND net flows were again heavily to the buy side. This is the fifth week of trading in a row of net buying. Almost every...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Road to Recovery During the Remainder of the Year

The finance stocks under our coverage reported a combined net profit of Bt4.27bn in 1Q24, growing 4.7% YoY and 11.2% QoQ. We expect the operating...

Krungthai XSpring

CSI All Share IB & Brokerage Index Rebalance: Couple of Large Flow & Impact Names

Guosen Securities will be added to the index while Northeast Securities will be deleted. There is decent flow on both stocks and 4x ADV to trade...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Mar): $3.7bn of Inflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for March and highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Zijin Mining, Will Semi, Wuxi Apptec,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Mar 28th): Wuliangye, CMB

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Wuliangye, China Merchants Bank.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 1 Mar 2024): Foreigners Buy a New Set of Names

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND net flows were again heavily to the buy side. This is the fifth week of trading in a row of net buying. Almost every...

Travis Lundy