Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>eBay has emerged as the center of fresh takeover speculation after reports indicated that GameStop is preparing a potential offer for the online marketplace as soon as later this month.</li><li>The development triggered an immediate market reaction, with eBay’s shares rising more than 10% to 15% in after-hours trading, reflecting investor focus on the possibility of a transformative transaction.</li><li>GameStop, led by Ryan Cohen, has reportedly been building a stake in eBay ahead of a possible bid, even though eBay’s market value of roughly $45 billion to $46 billion is several times larger than GameStop’s approximately $11 billion to $12 billion valuation.</li></ul>

eBay has emerged as the center of fresh takeover speculation after reports indicated that GameStop is preparing a potential offer for the online marketplace as soon as later this month.The development triggered an immediate market reaction, with eBay’s shares rising more than 10% to 15% in after-hours trading, reflecting investor focus on the possibility of a transformative transaction.GameStop, led by Ryan Cohen, has reportedly been building a stake in eBay ahead of a possible bid, even though eBay’s market value of roughly $45 billion to $46 billion is several times larger than GameStop’s approximately $11 billion to $12 billion valuation.

Can eBay Justify A $45 Billion Valuation If GameStop's Bid Falls Through?

<ul><li>The fourth quarter and full year performance of eBay Inc. reflected a notable acceleration in marketplace activity alongside expanding monetization, while also highlighting areas of geographic and category-level variability.</li><li>The company exited 2025 with gross merchandise volume growth of nearly 6% for the year and over 8% in the fourth quarter, supported primarily by its focus categories, consumer-to-consumer activity, and recommerce.</li><li>These segments together represented roughly two-thirds of total marketplace volume and grew at a materially faster pace than the broader platform, indicating that prior multi-year investments in friction reduction, trust, and category depth are translating into measurable scale benefits.</li></ul>

The fourth quarter and full year performance of eBay Inc. reflected a notable acceleration in marketplace activity alongside expanding monetization, while also highlighting areas of geographic and category-level variability.The company exited 2025 with gross merchandise volume growth of nearly 6% for the year and over 8% in the fourth quarter, supported primarily by its focus categories, consumer-to-consumer activity, and recommerce.These segments together represented roughly two-thirds of total marketplace volume and grew at a materially faster pace than the broader platform, indicating that prior multi-year investments in friction reduction, trust, and category depth are translating into measurable scale benefits.

eBay’s Depop Integration Expands Its Reach Into High-Value Younger Demographics!

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/walmart-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11134:1" rel="noopener">Walmart (WMT US)</a> is now eligible for Nasdaq100 following its listing change from NYSE to Nasdaq on 9 December 2025, marking the largest exchange transfer in history.</li>
<li>The listing transfer was completed after the December 2025 annual review cut-off, so Nasdaq100 inclusion is anticipated by December 2026.</li>
<li>Forecasted passive fund demand upon inclusion is ~600m shares, $70bn and 25 ADV.</li>
</ul>



Walmart (WMT US) is now eligible for Nasdaq100 following its listing change from NYSE to Nasdaq on 9 December 2025, marking the largest exchange transfer in history.
The listing transfer was completed after the December 2025 annual review cut-off, so Nasdaq100 inclusion is anticipated by December 2026.
Forecasted passive fund demand upon inclusion is ~600m shares, $70bn and 25 ADV.


Walmart (WMT US): Unwrapping Nasdaq100 Inclusion Following Listing Transfer

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alnylam-pharmaceuticals-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2191:1" rel="noopener">Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monolithic-power-systems-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2088:1" rel="noopener">Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seagate-technology-holdings-pl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9129:1" rel="noopener">Seagate Technology Holdings (STX US)</a> are the top 3 addition candidates with ALNY at the top.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/globalfoundries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34513:1" rel="noopener">GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cdw-corp-de" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2244:1" rel="noopener">CDW Corp (CDW US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/biogen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:972:1" rel="noopener">Biogen (BIIB US)</a> are the top 3 deletion candidates with GFS at the bottom.</li>
<li>Versant (VSNT) and Solstice Advanced Materials (SOLS) are estimated to be deleted following completion of their spinoffs with the earliest one expected on 30 October 2025.</li>
</ul>



Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY US), Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR US) and Seagate Technology Holdings (STX US) are the top 3 addition candidates with ALNY at the top.

GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS US), CDW Corp (CDW US) and Biogen (BIIB US) are the top 3 deletion candidates with GFS at the bottom.
Versant (VSNT) and Solstice Advanced Materials (SOLS) are estimated to be deleted following completion of their spinoffs with the earliest one expected on 30 October 2025.


Nasdaq100 Dec2025 Forecast (Part 2): ALNY at the Top; GFS at the Bottom; Spinoffs Pending

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mongodb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26655:1" rel="noopener">MongoDB (MDB US)</a> is forecasted to be deleted from Nasdaq100 on 16 May due to an index weighting of lower than 0.1% on the last day of March and April.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shopify-inc-de74469e-4678-489b-9b50-a80a5790c5ef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25906:1" rel="noopener">Shopify (SHOP US)</a> is the forecasted replacement. The company became eligible following its listing transfer from NYSE to Nasdaq on 31 March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alnylam-pharmaceuticals-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2191:1" rel="noopener">Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebay-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1291:1" rel="noopener">eBay Inc (EBAY US)</a> are the main addition candidates for the acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ansys-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15473:1" rel="noopener">Ansys Inc (ANSS US)</a> by mid-2025 and the December 2025 review.</li>
</ul>



MongoDB (MDB US) is forecasted to be deleted from Nasdaq100 on 16 May due to an index weighting of lower than 0.1% on the last day of March and April.

Shopify (SHOP US) is the forecasted replacement. The company became eligible following its listing transfer from NYSE to Nasdaq on 31 March.

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY US) and eBay Inc (EBAY US) are the main addition candidates for the acquisition of Ansys Inc (ANSS US) by mid-2025 and the December 2025 review.


MongoDB (MDB US): Fast-Exit from Nasdaq100 in May 2025

United States

eBay Inc. operates an online trading community.  The Company's service is used by buyers and sellers for the exchange of products and services such as coins, collectibles, computers, memorabilia, stamps and toys, as well as concert and sporting tickets.  eBay also offers, through a subsidiary, secure online payment services.

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Ebay Inc (EBAY US)

Can eBay Justify A $45 Billion Valuation If GameStop's Bid Falls Through?

eBay has emerged as the center of fresh takeover speculation after reports indicated that GameStop is preparing a potential offer for the online...

Baptista Research

eBay’s Depop Integration Expands Its Reach Into High-Value Younger Demographics!

The fourth quarter and full year performance of eBay Inc. reflected a notable acceleration in marketplace activity alongside expanding...

Baptista Research

Walmart (WMT US): Unwrapping Nasdaq100 Inclusion Following Listing Transfer

AstraZeneca (AZN) will delist its ADRs from Nasdaq and transition to a direct listing of its ordinary shares on the NYSE on 2 February. As a...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Nasdaq100 Dec2025 Forecast (Part 2): ALNY at the Top; GFS at the Bottom; Spinoffs Pending

SOLS was deleted from the index at the close of 6 Nov following Honeywell’s spinoff. VSNT is still expected to be removed but Comcast’s spinoff has...

Dimitris Ioannidis

MongoDB (MDB US): Fast-Exit from Nasdaq100 in May 2025

MDB is set to be removed from Nasdaq100 on 16 May due to its low index weighting, with SHOP expected to replace it. ALNY and EBAY are potential...

Dimitris Ioannidis

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