Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul><li>We believe the intraday low of 2,532.69 made by the S&amp;P 500 on 2/9/18 marked an important short-term bottom within the long-term advance. We continue to see this low and  the 200-day moving average as critical support levels should there be a retest. After a quick recovery from these lows, the S&amp;P 500 has paused near the 50-day moving average, a logical resting area as the market determines its next move. </li><li>In today’s report we highlight attractive and actionable groups within Technology, all relating to software and the attractiveness of dependable recurring revenues: Software; Enterprise Applications, E-Commerce, Education, and Customer Relationship Mgt. (CRM).</li></ul>

We believe the intraday low of 2,532.69 made by the S&amp;P 500 on 2/9/18 marked an important short-term bottom within the long-term advance. We continue to see this low and  the 200-day moving average as critical support levels should there be a retest. After a quick recovery from these lows, the S&amp;P 500 has paused near the 50-day moving average, a logical resting area as the market determines its next move. In today’s report we highlight attractive and actionable groups within Technology, all relating to software and the attractiveness of dependable recurring revenues: Software; Enterprise Applications, E-Commerce, Education, and Customer Relationship Mgt. (CRM).

Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

The International Financial Reporting Statements (IFRS) – the new accounting standards christened in India as Ind-AS have come into force from April 1, 2017. Ind-AS advent makes financials of the companies more complex. Any sort of comparison of the pre-Ind-AS financials with the Ind-AS financials is a non-starter. It won’t defy belief that many companies will or already have developed an innovative prototype of accounting ‘engineering’ for the new accounting regime.Many corporate accounting cupboards that never saw the light of the day and probably hid many vital details from public domain may soon be unlocking troves of undisclosed ‘disclosures’ under the Ind-AS accounting standards. Contingent Consideration (CC) is one such Ind-AS tool that on the one hand may unravel sensitive information that till now was not in public domain, though it ought to have been, or may also be deployed for acts of accounting 'engineering'.  Anyways, the promoters have ample to answer as the F17 financials are tested on the anvil of Contingent Consideration.  We in this report evaluate CC in relation to the financials of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/17910" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17910:1">Lupin Ltd (LPC IN)</a> (Lupin) apart from emphasizing the importance of CC.We have looked into the financial and various other disclosures given by Lupin with regards to the acquisition of Nanomi BV and Specialty product portfolio of Temmler Pharma GmbH &amp; Co. KG.We have sent a set of questions to Lupin Limited to understand the reasoning for the issues raised in this report. Lupin has not replied.

The International Financial Reporting Statements (IFRS) – the new accounting standards christened in India as Ind-AS have come into force from April 1, 2017. Ind-AS advent makes financials of the companies more complex. Any sort of comparison of the pre-Ind-AS financials with the Ind-AS financials is a non-starter. It won’t defy belief that many companies will or already have developed an innovative prototype of accounting ‘engineering’ for the new accounting regime.Many corporate accounting cupboards that never saw the light of the day and probably hid many vital details from public domain may soon be unlocking troves of undisclosed ‘disclosures’ under the Ind-AS accounting standards. Contingent Consideration (CC) is one such Ind-AS tool that on the one hand may unravel sensitive information that till now was not in public domain, though it ought to have been, or may also be deployed for acts of accounting 'engineering'.  Anyways, the promoters have ample to answer as the F17 financials are tested on the anvil of Contingent Consideration.  We in this report evaluate CC in relation to the financials of the Lupin Ltd (LPC IN) (Lupin) apart from emphasizing the importance of CC.We have looked into the financial and various other disclosures given by Lupin with regards to the acquisition of Nanomi BV and Specialty product portfolio of Temmler Pharma GmbH &amp; Co. KG.We have sent a set of questions to Lupin Limited to understand the reasoning for the issues raised in this report. Lupin has not replied.

CC Unlocks The Chambers Of Undisclosed Vitals – Curious Case Of Lupin Limited

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe the undertone in the market is bullish, Large Caps are "out of flavour" and hence an L/S (Long/Short) strategy with INDA/SMIN could be an interesting pair to track. </li>
<li>We visited a <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> showroom in Western India gathering hints of the defensive strategy in India. </li>
<li>Other names discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asian-paints-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6354:1" rel="noopener">Asian Paints (APNT IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ce-info-systems-mapmyindia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34215:1" rel="noopener">CE Info Systems (MapmyIndia) (1052633Z IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4022:1" rel="noopener">Ebix (EBIX US)</a>.  </li>
</ul>


We believe the undertone in the market is bullish, Large Caps are "out of flavour" and hence an L/S (Long/Short) strategy with INDA/SMIN could be an interesting pair to track. 
We visited a BYD (1211 HK) showroom in Western India gathering hints of the defensive strategy in India. 
Other names discussed include Asian Paints (APNT IN), CE Info Systems (MapmyIndia) (1052633Z IN) and Ebix (EBIX US).  


[Week 5] Namaste India 🙏 | BYD (1211 HK) | Playing Defence

<ul>
<li>Positive retail flows, HNI &amp; AIF inflows, along with global market trends, suggest that the uptrend for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> may continue.</li>
<li>Bullish stocks include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-brands" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35289:1" rel="noopener">Metro Brands (METROBRA IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-wellness-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4353:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Wellness (ZYWL IN)</a>, while the sentiment for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/whirlpool-of-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7270:1" rel="noopener">Whirlpool of India (WHIRL IN)</a> is Bearish.</li>
<li>Highlighted global stocks include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4022:1" rel="noopener">Ebix (EBIX US)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smith-a-o-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18645:1" rel="noopener">Smith (A.O.) (AOS US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> </li>
</ul>


Positive retail flows, HNI &amp; AIF inflows, along with global market trends, suggest that the uptrend for the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) may continue.
Bullish stocks include Metro Brands (METROBRA IN) and Zydus Wellness (ZYWL IN), while the sentiment for Whirlpool of India (WHIRL IN) is Bearish.
Highlighted global stocks include Ebix (EBIX US) , Smith (A.O.) (AOS US) and Apple (AAPL US) 


[Week 1] Namaste India 🙏 | Whirlpool Stock Performance Is Good, Earnings Are Not

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings (1822695D US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/integral-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40028:1" rel="noopener">Integral Corporation (5842 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boustead-plantations-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11418:1" rel="noopener">Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/umw-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1700:1" rel="noopener">UMW Holdings (UMWH MK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golden-eagle-retail-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:470:1" rel="noopener">Golden Eagle Retail (3308 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - ARM Holdings (1822695D US), Integral Corporation (5842 JP) and S.F. Holding (002352 CH) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK), UMW Holdings (UMWH MK), Eoflow (294090 KS), Golden Eagle Retail (3308 HK), Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU), Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM). 


Weekly Deals Digest (27 Aug) - Golden Eagle, Costa, Boustead, UMW, ARM, Integral, S.F. Holding

United States

Ebix, Inc. supplies software and electronic commerce solutions to the insurance industry. The Company provides a series of application software ranging from carrier systems, agency systems, and exchanges to custom software development for all entities involved in the insurance and financial industries. Ebix offers products, support, and consultancy to customers on several continents.

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Ebix (EBIX US)

U.S. Equity Strategy

We believe the intraday low of 2,532.69 made by the S&P 500 on 2/9/18 marked an important short-term bottom within the long-term advance. We...

Vermilion Research

CC Unlocks The Chambers Of Undisclosed Vitals – Curious Case Of Lupin Limited

The International Financial Reporting Statements (IFRS) – the new accounting standards christened in India as Ind-AS have come into force from...

Nitin Mangal

[Week 5] Namaste India 🙏 | BYD (1211 HK) | Playing Defence

Bullish market sentiment favours INDA/SMIN Long/Short strategy; BYD showroom visit reveals defensive strategy in India; other names include Asian...

Pranav Bhavsar

[Week 1] Namaste India 🙏 | Whirlpool Stock Performance Is Good, Earnings Are Not

The NIFTY Index could continue its uptrend. Bullish names include Metro, and Zydus Wellness, Global names to watch are Ebix, Smith (A.O.), and Apple.

Pranav Bhavsar

Weekly Deals Digest (27 Aug) - Golden Eagle, Costa, Boustead, UMW, ARM, Integral, S.F. Holding

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Boustead, UMW, Eoflow, MPI, Golden Eagle, Costa, Pacific Current, United Malt, Musgrave)...

Arun George

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

U.S. Equity Strategy

We believe the intraday low of 2,532.69 made by the S&P 500 on 2/9/18 marked an important short-term bottom within the long-term advance. We...

Vermilion Research

CC Unlocks The Chambers Of Undisclosed Vitals – Curious Case Of Lupin Limited

The International Financial Reporting Statements (IFRS) – the new accounting standards christened in India as Ind-AS have come into force from...

Nitin Mangal

[Week 5] Namaste India 🙏 | BYD (1211 HK) | Playing Defence

​Bullish market sentiment favours INDA/SMIN Long/Short strategy; BYD showroom visit reveals defensive strategy in India; other names include Asian...

Pranav Bhavsar

[Week 1] Namaste India 🙏 | Whirlpool Stock Performance Is Good, Earnings Are Not

The NIFTY Index could continue its uptrend. Bullish names include Metro, and Zydus Wellness, Global names to watch are Ebix, Smith (A.O.), and Apple.

Pranav Bhavsar

Weekly Deals Digest (27 Aug) - Golden Eagle, Costa, Boustead, UMW, ARM, Integral, S.F. Holding

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Boustead, UMW, Eoflow, MPI, Golden Eagle, Costa, Pacific Current, United Malt, Musgrave)...

Arun George

Bullish market sentiment favours INDA/SMIN Long/Short strategy; BYD showroom visit reveals defensive strategy in India; other names include Asian...