Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 2nd June, critical metals play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cygnus-metals-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30504:1" rel="noopener">Cygnus Metals (CY5 AU)</a> entered into a Scheme with AIM-listed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/central-asia-metals-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23521:1" rel="noopener">Central Asia Metals (CAML LN)</a>.</li>
<li>CAML is offering 0.06 new CAML shares for each Cygnus share, backing out a A$0.176/share indicative Offer price, or a 60% premium to last close. Clean Scheme.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20260813/pdf/072qs486r0bn93.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">The Scheme Booklet is now out</a>, with a Scheme Meeting on the 18th September, and expected implementation on the 5th October. The IE (Grant Thornton) says "fair &amp; reasonable". </li>
</ul>


Back on the 2nd June, critical metals play Cygnus Metals (CY5 AU) entered into a Scheme with AIM-listed Central Asia Metals (CAML LN).
CAML is offering 0.06 new CAML shares for each Cygnus share, backing out a A$0.176/share indicative Offer price, or a 60% premium to last close. Clean Scheme.

The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a Scheme Meeting on the 18th September, and expected implementation on the 5th October. The IE (Grant Thornton) says "fair &amp; reasonable". 


Cygnus Metals (CY5 AU): 18th Sept Vote On Central Asia Metals' Scheme

<ul>
<li>I tally 29 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>One new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dentsu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12434:1" rel="noopener">Dentsu Inc (4324 JP)</a> had finalised plans to take its system integrator subsidiary <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dentsu-soken-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20535:1" rel="noopener">Dentsu Soken (4812 JP)</a> private.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perpetual-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:599:1" rel="noopener">Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atlas-arteria-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14430:1" rel="noopener">Atlas Arteria (ALX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qube-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:958:1" rel="noopener">Qube Holdings (QUB AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-dry-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13528:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Dry Chemical (1909 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 29 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
One new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: that Dentsu Inc (4324 JP) had finalised plans to take its system integrator subsidiary Dentsu Soken (4812 JP) private.
Key updates/news also took place on: Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU), Atlas Arteria (ALX AU), Qube Holdings (QUB AU), and Nippon Dry Chemical (1909 JP).


Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Info Services Intl Dentsu, Perpetual, Atlas Arteria, Qube, Nippon Dry Chem

<ul>
<li>For June 2026, just six new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$6bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in June was ~38.5%, and a year-to-date average of 47%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For June 2026, just six new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$6bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in June was ~38.5%, and a year-to-date average of 47%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


Asia-Pac M&A [June 2026 Wrap]: Steadfast, Con Aero Tech, Accent, Cygnus, Ajinomoto Malaysia

<ul>
<li>Back on the 5th November 2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16415:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice (64 HK)</a> (GNH) announced a scrip Offer, by way of a Scheme, for 72.99%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29667:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Financial (1469 HK)</a> (GNF).</li>
<li>It was an uninspiring Offer; although a HK$0.50/share dividend helped the deal got up. At the time, my bet was GNH, at 0.21x P/B, was next to be privatised.</li>
<li>On Friday (26th June), GNH was suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code. Expect Hung Hon Man (chairman/founder), with 51.67% of shares out, to seek GNH's delisting via a Scheme.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 5th November 2024, Get Nice (64 HK) (GNH) announced a scrip Offer, by way of a Scheme, for 72.99%-held Get Nice Financial (1469 HK) (GNF).
It was an uninspiring Offer; although a HK$0.50/share dividend helped the deal got up. At the time, my bet was GNH, at 0.21x P/B, was next to be privatised.
On Friday (26th June), GNH was suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code. Expect Hung Hon Man (chairman/founder), with 51.67% of shares out, to seek GNH's delisting via a Scheme.


Get Nice (64 HK): Expect A Founder's Scheme

<ul>
<li>I tally 32 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>One new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ajinomoto-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12499:1" rel="noopener">Ajinomoto Malaysia (AJI MK)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ajinomoto-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12499:1" rel="noopener"></a>'s Offer from parent, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ajinomoto-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8911:1" rel="noopener">Ajinomoto Co (2802 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atlas-arteria-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14430:1" rel="noopener">Atlas Arteria (ALX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-strategic-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30815:1" rel="noopener">Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/clearview-wealth-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19733:1" rel="noopener">Clearview Wealth (CVW AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tourism-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2787:1" rel="noopener">Tourism Holdings (THL NZ)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/changhong-jiahua-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5849:1" rel="noopener">Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 32 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
One new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Ajinomoto Malaysia (AJI MK)'s Offer from parent, Ajinomoto Co (2802 JP).
Key updates/news also took place on: Atlas Arteria (ALX AU), Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU), Clearview Wealth (CVW AU), Tourism Holdings (THL NZ), and Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK).


Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Atlas Arteria, ASM Clearview Wealth, Tourism Holdings, Ajinomoto Malaysia

Australia

Emmerson Resources Limited is a mineral exploration and mining company. The Company explores for gold and copper/gold deposits in Australia's Tennent creek mineral field.

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Emmerson Resources (ERM AU)

Cygnus Metals (CY5 AU): 18th Sept Vote On Central Asia Metals' Scheme

Trading wide given the cross border nature of the transaction & Cygnus' illiquidity. You can hedge CAML's stock; and the position will auto close...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Info Services Intl Dentsu, Perpetual, Atlas Arteria, Qube, Nippon Dry Chem

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac M&A [June 2026 Wrap]: Steadfast, Con Aero Tech, Accent, Cygnus, Ajinomoto Malaysia

The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in June was ~38.5%, and a year-to-date average of 47%.

David Blennerhassett

Get Nice (64 HK): Expect A Founder's Scheme

My best guess (blue sky) is a 40% discount to book - or ~HK6/share Offer. Optically this could be done at HK$4.50 or 32% premium to undisturbed;...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Atlas Arteria, ASM Clearview Wealth, Tourism Holdings, Ajinomoto Malaysia

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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