Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

UnionBank of the Philippines / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As forecast, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dmci-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8026:1" rel="noopener">DMCI Holdings (DMC)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unionbank-of-the-philippines" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23192:1" rel="noopener">UnionBank of the Philippines (UBP)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/megaworld-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8746:1" rel="noopener">Megaworld Corp (MEG)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robinsons-land-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8831:1" rel="noopener">Robinsons Land Co (RLC)</a> at the close on 3 February.</li>
<li>The PSE is using float higher than 20% for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/san-miguel-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22728:1" rel="noopener">San Miguel (SMC PM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3485:1" rel="noopener">Emperador (EMP PM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ac-energy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23188:1" rel="noopener">AC Energy Corp (ACEN)</a> - there will be passive buying on the stocks.</li>
<li>Historically, the inclusions have outperformed the exclusions and there has been a big move in the stocks the day after announcement. Square off existing pre-positions by mid-week.</li>
</ul>


As forecast, DMCI Holdings (DMC) and UnionBank of the Philippines (UBP) will replace Megaworld Corp (MEG) and Robinsons Land Co (RLC) at the close on 3 February.
The PSE is using float higher than 20% for San Miguel (SMC PM), Emperador (EMP PM) and AC Energy Corp (ACEN) - there will be passive buying on the stocks.
Historically, the inclusions have outperformed the exclusions and there has been a big move in the stocks the day after announcement. Square off existing pre-positions by mid-week.


PCOMP Index Rebalance: DMC, UBP to Replace MEG, RLC

<ul>
<li>End December was the end of the review cutoff for a lot of indices that will rebalance within the next couple of months.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pexa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34716:1" rel="noopener">PEXA Group (PXA AU)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the close on 12 January.</li>
<li>There were big outflows from Hong Kong and China focused ETFs led by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


End December was the end of the review cutoff for a lot of indices that will rebalance within the next couple of months.

PEXA Group (PXA AU) replaces Pendal Group (PDL AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on 12 January.
There were big outflows from Hong Kong and China focused ETFs led by Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK) and Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK).


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSTECH, HSI, HSCI, KS200, KQ150, CSI300, SENSEX, LQ45, PSEi

<ul>
<li>Some creative float increases for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ac-energy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23188:1" rel="noopener">AC Energy Corp (ACEN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/san-miguel-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22728:1" rel="noopener">San Miguel (SMC PM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3485:1" rel="noopener">Emperador (EMP PM)</a> should result in the stocks remaining in the index and getting passive inflows.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dmci-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8026:1" rel="noopener">DMCI Holdings (DMC PM)</a> should replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/megaworld-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8746:1" rel="noopener">Megaworld Corp (MEG PM)</a>, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unionbank-of-the-philippines" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23192:1" rel="noopener">UnionBank of the Philippines (UBP PM)</a>'s inclusion should result in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robinsons-land-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8831:1" rel="noopener">Robinsons Land Co (RLC PM)</a>'s deletion from the index. </li>
<li>There will be a big impact on the additions, deletions and stocks with float changes. The stocks have already started to move ahead of the passive flows.</li>
</ul>


Some creative float increases for AC Energy Corp (ACEN), San Miguel (SMC PM) and Emperador (EMP PM) should result in the stocks remaining in the index and getting passive inflows.

DMCI Holdings (DMC PM) should replace Megaworld Corp (MEG PM), while UnionBank of the Philippines (UBP PM)'s inclusion should result in Robinsons Land Co (RLC PM)'s deletion from the index. 
There will be a big impact on the additions, deletions and stocks with float changes. The stocks have already started to move ahead of the passive flows.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Feb 23: Float Increases to Drive Changes & Flow

<ul>
<li>From December 2022, the minimum free float requirement to be a part of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> increases from 15% to 20%.</li>
<li>We see a high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dmci-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8026:1" rel="noopener">DMCI Holdings (DMC PM)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3485:1" rel="noopener">Emperador (EMP PM)</a> in the index at the upcoming rebalance.</li>
<li>There are a few other potential changes to the index and the passive flow on the stocks will be material.</li>
</ul>


From December 2022, the minimum free float requirement to be a part of the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) increases from 15% to 20%.
We see a high probability of DMCI Holdings (DMC PM) replacing Emperador (EMP PM) in the index at the upcoming rebalance.
There are a few other potential changes to the index and the passive flow on the stocks will be material.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Feb 23: Higher Free Float Means Fewer Changes

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Last Wednesday, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> announced 8 Dec as the EGM date for shareholders to approve the AssetCo Transfer, the Keppel O&amp;M/SMM combo, and the distribution of SMM shares.</li>
<li>This should probably sail through. Investors who want to submit questions in advance can email <a href="mailto:investor.relations@kepcorp.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> investor.relations@kepcorp.com</a> by 3pm 30 Nov.</li>
<li>I still like Keppel. I think investors will find it attractive post-spin.</li>
</ul>


Last Wednesday, Keppel Corp (KEP SP) announced 8 Dec as the EGM date for shareholders to approve the AssetCo Transfer, the Keppel O&amp;M/SMM combo, and the distribution of SMM shares.
This should probably sail through. Investors who want to submit questions in advance can email  investor.relations@kepcorp.com by 3pm 30 Nov.
I still like Keppel. I think investors will find it attractive post-spin.


Sembcorp Marine Takeover of Keppel O&M - Almost There

Philippines

Emperador, Inc. operates in the beverage industry. The Company, through  its subsidiary, produces and markets brandy.

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Emperador (EMP PM)

PCOMP Index Rebalance: DMC, UBP to Replace MEG, RLC

As forecast, DMC & UBP will replace MEG & RLC in the PCOMP at the close on 3 February. There are only 5 days to implementation and there is a large...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSTECH, HSI, HSCI, KS200, KQ150, CSI300, SENSEX, LQ45, PSEi

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Feb 23: Float Increases to Drive Changes & Flow

There could be 1 or 2 changes in Feb with high impact of passive trading. Creative increases in float will result in high impact passive buying....

Brian Freitas

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Feb 23: Higher Free Float Means Fewer Changes

We see DMCI replacing Emperador at the Feb rebalance. There could be other changes due to the minimum free float threshold change. Passive trackers...

Brian Freitas

Sembcorp Marine Takeover of Keppel O&M - Almost There

Keppel shareholders vote next week on AssetCo sale, the sale of Keppel O&M to Sembcorp Marine, and the distribution of SMM shares to shareholders....

Travis Lundy

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