SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Industry Associations see ongoing transformation of Singapore’s F&amp;B industry as manufacturers look towards innovation, growth, and internationalisation.</li>
<li>The 10 biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks in Singapore have averaged a 12.6% total return in the year thus far. This compared to 10.1% for Asia Pacific’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks and 8.9% for the world’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/19714" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19714:1">Delfi Ltd (DELFI SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/15597" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15597:1">Japfa Ltd (JAP SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/20972" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20972:1">Super Group Ltd (SUPER SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/9051" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9051:1">Yeo Hiap Seng Ltd</a>…</li>
</ul>


Industry Associations see ongoing transformation of Singapore’s F&amp;B industry as manufacturers look towards innovation, growth, and internationalisation.
The 10 biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks in Singapore have averaged a 12.6% total return in the year thus far. This compared to 10.1% for Asia Pacific’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks and 8.9% for the world’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks.

Delfi Ltd (DELFI SP), Japfa Ltd (JAP SP), Super Group Ltd (SUPER SP), Yeo Hiap Seng Ltd…


Key Drivers of the Packaged Food Industry

Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

Philippines imports came in stronger than expected rising 11.7% y-o-y in March compared to a 5.6% y-o-y decline in February. Exports data which had been released a few weeks ago had seen a decline of 15.1% y-o-y in March compared to a fall of 4.5% y-o-y in February. The trade balance in March recorded a wider deficit of USD 1.746bn compared to a deficit of USD 1.104bn in February.On a 3-month moving average basis, non-oil imports increased around 10.8% y-o-y compared to an increase of 11.4%…

Philippines imports came in stronger than expected rising 11.7% y-o-y in March compared to a 5.6% y-o-y decline in February. Exports data which had been released a few weeks ago had seen a decline of 15.1% y-o-y in March compared to a fall of 4.5% y-o-y in February. The trade balance in March recorded a wider deficit of USD 1.746bn compared to a deficit of USD 1.104bn in February.On a 3-month moving average basis, non-oil imports increased around 10.8% y-o-y compared to an increase of 11.4%…

Philippines: Strong Domestic Demand Reflected in Rising Imports Data

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Zijin Gold International / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of this global index ended 31 December, the changes should be announced on 20 February and implemented at the close on 20 March.</li>
<li>For Asia Pac ex Japan, we forecast 266 changes (adds, deletes, migrations) for the index. Of those, 63 stocks could have over US$20m to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>The forecast passive buys have outperformed the headlines indices in all major markets and there could be some profit-taking following announcement of the changes.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of this global index ended 31 December, the changes should be announced on 20 February and implemented at the close on 20 March.
For Asia Pac ex Japan, we forecast 266 changes (adds, deletes, migrations) for the index. Of those, 63 stocks could have over US$20m to trade from passive trackers.
The forecast passive buys have outperformed the headlines indices in all major markets and there could be some profit-taking following announcement of the changes.


Asia Pac: (Forecast) Global Index Changes in March as Adds Outperform Bigly

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We are gradually building a high-conviction coverage of ideas for the mid and small-caps in the Philippines.</li>
<li>We set criteria for high ROCE, reasonable growth (10-15% YoY), strong balance sheets, and reasonable capital allocation (dividend yields), all ingredients for being multi-baggers.</li>
<li>We also offer updates on several companies we met at the PSE conference in Manila, which took place from March 19 to 21.</li>
</ul>


We are gradually building a high-conviction coverage of ideas for the mid and small-caps in the Philippines.
We set criteria for high ROCE, reasonable growth (10-15% YoY), strong balance sheets, and reasonable capital allocation (dividend yields), all ingredients for being multi-baggers.
We also offer updates on several companies we met at the PSE conference in Manila, which took place from March 19 to 21.


Shortlist of High Conviction Philippines Equity Ideas and Updates from PSE Conference - March 2025

<ul>
<li>Emperador's acquisition of Los Danzantes aligns with its "Contemporise, Premiumise, Internationalise" strategy, enhancing its premium Mezcal offerings.</li>
<li>The Dalmore Distillery expansion, doubling capacity, will impact Emperador's revenue mix 12 years post-completion.</li>
<li>Whyte &amp; Mackay's sustainability initiatives include a Jura Biomass Boiler and carbon capture, targeting carbon neutrality by 2030.</li>
</ul>


Emperador's acquisition of Los Danzantes aligns with its "Contemporise, Premiumise, Internationalise" strategy, enhancing its premium Mezcal offerings.
The Dalmore Distillery expansion, doubling capacity, will impact Emperador's revenue mix 12 years post-completion.
Whyte &amp; Mackay's sustainability initiatives include a Jura Biomass Boiler and carbon capture, targeting carbon neutrality by 2030.


10 in 10 with Emperador – Embracing Premiumisation for Global Expansion

Philippines

Emperador Inc. is a global spirits company that manufactures, bottles, and distributes distilled spirits and other alcoholic beverages. The company's portfolio includes award-winning brandy and whisky brands, such as Emperador Brandy, The Dalmore, Jura, and Fundador. Emperador Inc. is headquartered in Quezon City, Philippines, and was founded in 1979.

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Emperador (EMI PM)

Key Drivers of the Packaged Food Industry

Industry Associations see ongoing transformation of Singapore’s F&B industry as manufacturers look towards innovation, growth, and...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Philippines: Strong Domestic Demand Reflected in Rising Imports Data

Philippines imports came in stronger than expected rising 11.7% y-o-y in March compared to a 5.6% y-o-y decline in February. Exports data which had...

Rajan Govil

Asia Pac: (Forecast) Global Index Changes in March as Adds Outperform Bigly

There will be over 250 changes in AP for a global index in March. The large adds have outperformed their country indices over the last few months...

Brian Freitas

Shortlist of High Conviction Philippines Equity Ideas and Updates from PSE Conference - March 2025

We provide pertinent summaries of all our meetings at the PSE conference held on 19-21 March, in addition to our screen of high-quality companies...

Sameer Taneja

10 in 10 with Emperador – Embracing Premiumisation for Global Expansion

Emperador's acquisition of Los Danzantes aligns with its "Contemporise, Premiumise, Internationalise" strategy, enhancing its premium Mezcal...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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