External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Per Bloomberg Synopsys, one of the big three Electronic Design Automation (EDA) names, is in advanced talks to acquire Ansys for around US$35bn or ~US$400 per share in a stock-and-cash deal.</li><li>The transaction could be announced as soon as this week.</li><li>Ansys is currently trading at US$348.63 per share (as of market close on 8 Jan), representing ~15% premium if the deal gets closed at US$400 per share. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Per Bloomberg Synopsys, one of the big three Electronic Design Automation (EDA) names, is in advanced talks to acquire Ansys for around US$35bn or ~US$400 per share in a stock-and-cash deal.The transaction could be announced as soon as this week.Ansys is currently trading at US$348.63 per share (as of market close on 8 Jan), representing ~15% premium if the deal gets closed at US$400 per share. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semiconductor – Synopsys Eyes on Ansys: A Potential Software Giant in the Making

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 300 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on ABC, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, PING AN INSURANCE, SUZHOU DONGSHAN PRECISION MANUFACTURING, GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE, Xinjiang Daqo, JIANGSU ZHONGTIAN TECHNOLOGY, NATIONAL SILICON INDUSTRY.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 300 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on ABC, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, PING AN INSURANCE, SUZHOU DONGSHAN PRECISION MANUFACTURING, GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE, Xinjiang Daqo, JIANGSU ZHONGTIAN TECHNOLOGY, NATIONAL SILICON INDUSTRY.


CSI 300 Index Earning Revision (Dec): ABC, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, PING AN INSURANCE

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia H20 sales to China were barred last month. Nvidia first mentioned designing a new China-specific chip. Maybe not: it looks very difficult to work around the updated US limits</li>
<li>Semiconductor design software was barred last week. Synopsys suspended its guidance. My industry checks suggests that the ban applies to Xiaomi (ie the new smartphone chip) and to Lenovo. </li>
<li>Hanmi Semi stopped shipping TC Bonder to Chinese clients. This is critical to make HBM memory that goes into AI processors.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia H20 sales to China were barred last month. Nvidia first mentioned designing a new China-specific chip. Maybe not: it looks very difficult to work around the updated US limits
Semiconductor design software was barred last week. Synopsys suspended its guidance. My industry checks suggests that the ban applies to Xiaomi (ie the new smartphone chip) and to Lenovo. 
Hanmi Semi stopped shipping TC Bonder to Chinese clients. This is critical to make HBM memory that goes into AI processors.


US – China: Restrictions on Semiconductors Are Getting Worse

<ul>
<li>China represents ~11% of revenues for Cadence and Synopsys. The weight of China has been declining. </li>
<li>China has a number of startup working on replacement software, the leader is Empyrean – good but some years behind Cadence and Synopsys and focused on legacy chip design. </li>
<li>Between this news today and more restrictions on Nvidia’s sales to China, it looks like more US restrictions will come.</li>
</ul>


China represents ~11% of revenues for Cadence and Synopsys. The weight of China has been declining. 
China has a number of startup working on replacement software, the leader is Empyrean – good but some years behind Cadence and Synopsys and focused on legacy chip design. 
Between this news today and more restrictions on Nvidia’s sales to China, it looks like more US restrictions will come.


President Trump “orders US Chip Software Suppliers to Stop Selling to China”

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology / Index Rebalance

Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology (002595 CH)

Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology

<ul>
<li>There could be 18 changes for the CSI A500 Index at the June rebalance. Turnover is estimated at 1.7% and the round-trip trade is around US$1bn.</li>
<li>The index was launched in September 2024, and the passive trackers have taken in a chunk of money since then. The flows to the stocks add to other index flows.</li>
<li>A long add/short deletes trade has been stable over the last few months. The forecast adds could outperform following announcement of the index changes on Friday.</li>
</ul>


There could be 18 changes for the CSI A500 Index at the June rebalance. Turnover is estimated at 1.7% and the round-trip trade is around US$1bn.
The index was launched in September 2024, and the passive trackers have taken in a chunk of money since then. The flows to the stocks add to other index flows.
A long add/short deletes trade has been stable over the last few months. The forecast adds could outperform following announcement of the index changes on Friday.


CSI A500 Index Rebalance Preview: Many Changes Expected; US$1bn Trade

China

Empyrean Technology Co., Ltd. operates as an EDA developer and solutions provider. The Company develops analog circuit design electronic design automation (EDA) tool systems, digital circuit design electronic design automation tools, flat panel display circuit design electronic design automation tools, and others. Empyrean Technology conducts businesses in China.

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Empyrean Technology (301269 CH)

Semiconductor – Synopsys Eyes on Ansys: A Potential Software Giant in the Making

Per Bloomberg Synopsys, one of the big three Electronic Design Automation (EDA) names, is in advanced talks to acquire Ansys for around US$35bn or...

CMB International

CSI 300 Index Earning Revision (Dec): ABC, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, PING AN INSURANCE

We analyzed CSI 300's consensus for Dec 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in ABC (601288 CH), ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT (300308 CH), PING AN INSURANCE...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

US – China: Restrictions on Semiconductors Are Getting Worse

Nvidia might not have a workaround for a new China-specific chip. EDA software ban also for consumer electronics Xiaomi, Lenovo. Hanmi Semi halted...

Nicolas Baratte

President Trump “orders US Chip Software Suppliers to Stop Selling to China”

US could restrict US chip design software vendors to sell to China. China represents 11% of Cadence and Synopsys revenues. Leading Chinese...

Nicolas Baratte

CSI A500 Index Rebalance Preview: Many Changes Expected; US$1bn Trade

We identify 18 potential changes for the CSI A500 Index. The index was launched in Sep 24 and has taken in a lot of AUM very quickly. The flows to...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Semiconductor – Synopsys Eyes on Ansys: A Potential Software Giant in the Making

Per Bloomberg Synopsys, one of the big three Electronic Design Automation (EDA) names, is in advanced talks to acquire Ansys for around US$35bn or...

CMB International

CSI 300 Index Earning Revision (Dec): ABC, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, PING AN INSURANCE

We analyzed CSI 300's consensus for Dec 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in ABC (601288 CH), ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT (300308 CH), PING AN INSURANCE...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

US – China: Restrictions on Semiconductors Are Getting Worse

​Nvidia might not have a workaround for a new China-specific chip. EDA software ban also for consumer electronics Xiaomi, Lenovo. Hanmi Semi halted...

Nicolas Baratte

President Trump “orders US Chip Software Suppliers to Stop Selling to China”

US could restrict US chip design software vendors to sell to China. ​China represents 11% of Cadence and Synopsys revenues. Leading Chinese...

Nicolas Baratte

CSI A500 Index Rebalance Preview: Many Changes Expected; US$1bn Trade

We identify 18 potential changes for the CSI A500 Index. The index was launched in Sep 24 and has taken in a lot of AUM very quickly. The flows to...

Brian Freitas

Nvidia might not have a workaround for a new China-specific chip. EDA software ban also for consumer electronics Xiaomi, Lenovo. Hanmi Semi halted...

US could restrict US chip design software vendors to sell to China. China represents 11% of Cadence and Synopsys revenues. Leading Chinese...