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Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

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News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Relending / Share cancellation key to ensuring PBOC’s relending tool stabilizes stock market, insiders say</li><li>Chips /In Depth: Chasing chip talent to keep the boom alive</li><li>Preview /Commentary: CEWC will endorse stronger policy support to counter headwinds</li></ul>

Relending / Share cancellation key to ensuring PBOC’s relending tool stabilizes stock market, insiders sayChips /In Depth: Chasing chip talent to keep the boom alivePreview /Commentary: CEWC will endorse stronger policy support to counter headwinds

CX Daily: Share Cancellation Key to Ensuring PBOC’s Relending Tool Stabilizes Stock Market

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Several companies in China’s semiconductor supply chain said new U.S. export restrictions aimed at crippling the country’s ability to produce advanced chips would have limited impact on their operations.</li><li>The U.S. Department of Commerce on Monday added 140 companies, including 136 Chinese firms, to its Entity List, effectively banning them from accessing U.S. advanced chip and AI-related technology.</li><li>The<a href="https://www.caixinglobal.com/2024-12-04/backlash-from-key-chinese-industries-as-us-expands-chip-export-restrictions-102264222.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong> new rules</strong></a><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);"> also restrict exports of high-bandwidth memory, a core component for AI development.</span></li></ul>

Several companies in China’s semiconductor supply chain said new U.S. export restrictions aimed at crippling the country’s ability to produce advanced chips would have limited impact on their operations.The U.S. Department of Commerce on Monday added 140 companies, including 136 Chinese firms, to its Entity List, effectively banning them from accessing U.S. advanced chip and AI-related technology.The new rules also restrict exports of high-bandwidth memory, a core component for AI development.

Chinese Chip Firms Play Down Impact of New U.S. Export Curbs   

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Guangzhou Great Power Ener-A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The June 2024 index review results for the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 indices were announced yesterday.</li>
<li>There will be seven changes for the ChiNext index and five changes for the ChiNext 50 index. Some of these names surprised us.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for the confirmed index changes and our thoughts on the selection process.</li>
</ul>


The June 2024 index review results for the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 indices were announced yesterday.
There will be seven changes for the ChiNext index and five changes for the ChiNext 50 index. Some of these names surprised us.
In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for the confirmed index changes and our thoughts on the selection process.


Quiddity ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Jun 24 Rebalance: ~US$700mn One-Way Flows; Thoughts on Surprises

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Victory Giant Technology -A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX)</a> and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>We correctly forecast 5/7 and 7/7 for the Chinext Index adds/deletes and were 3/5 and 5/5 for the Chinext50 Index adds/deletes.</li>
<li>Based on the estimated passive tracking AUM, the one-way trade across both indices is estimated to be CNY 3.69bn (US$508m).</li>
</ul>


There are 7 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index at the June rebalance.
We correctly forecast 5/7 and 7/7 for the Chinext Index adds/deletes and were 3/5 and 5/5 for the Chinext50 Index adds/deletes.
Based on the estimated passive tracking AUM, the one-way trade across both indices is estimated to be CNY 3.69bn (US$508m).


ChiNext/​​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1bn Round-Trip Trade

Shenyang Xingqi Pharmaceutical / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period now complete, we forecast 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX)</a> and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June.</li>
<li>There are 4 stocks that could be added to both indices while some stocks will also have same way flows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI Smallcap 500 Index (SH000905 INDEX)</a> trackers.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last 6 months. There has been a big move higher in the potential adds over the last few weeks.</li>
</ul>


With the review period now complete, we forecast 7 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June.
There are 4 stocks that could be added to both indices while some stocks will also have same way flows from CSI Smallcap 500 Index (SH000905 INDEX) trackers.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last 6 months. There has been a big move higher in the potential adds over the last few weeks.


ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Outperformance Continues

China

Empyrean Technology Co., Ltd. operates as an EDA developer and solutions provider. The Company develops analog circuit design electronic design automation (EDA) tool systems, digital circuit design electronic design automation tools, flat panel display circuit design electronic design automation tools, and others. Empyrean Technology conducts businesses in China.

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Empyrean Technology (301269 CH)

Chinese Chip Firms Play Down Impact of New U.S. Export Curbs

Several companies in China’s semiconductor supply chain said new U. S. export restrictions aimed at crippling the country’s ability to produce...

Caixin Global

Quiddity ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Jun 24 Rebalance: ~US$700mn One-Way Flows; Thoughts on Surprises

ChiNext and ChiNext 50 "double" DEL Guangzhou Great Power Energy could underperform peers CATL and Gotion High-tec until the Inclusion event.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1bn Round-Trip Trade

There are 7 changes for the Chinext and 5 changes for the Chinext50. Beijing Ultrapower and Victory Giant are surprise adds for both indices. The...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Outperformance Continues

There could be 7 changes for the Chinext and 5 changes for the Chinext50. There are 6 overlapping stocks and those have the largest flows. The...

Brian Freitas

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CX Daily: Share Cancellation Key to Ensuring PBOC’s Relending Tool Stabilizes Stock Market

Relending / Share cancellation key to ensuring PBOC’s relending tool stabilizes stock market, insiders say As the People’s Bank of China’s (PBOC)...

Caixin Global

Chinese Chip Firms Play Down Impact of New U.S. Export Curbs

Several companies in China’s semiconductor supply chain said new U. S. export restrictions aimed at crippling the country’s ability to produce...

Caixin Global

Quiddity ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Jun 24 Rebalance: ~US$700mn One-Way Flows; Thoughts on Surprises

ChiNext and ChiNext 50 "double" DEL Guangzhou Great Power Energy could underperform peers CATL and Gotion High-tec until the Inclusion event.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ChiNext/​​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1bn Round-Trip Trade

There are 7 changes for the Chinext and 5 changes for the Chinext50. Beijing Ultrapower and Victory Giant are surprise adds for both indices. The...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Outperformance Continues

There could be 7 changes for the Chinext and 5 changes for the Chinext50. There are 6 overlapping stocks and those have the largest flows. The...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1bn Round-Trip Trade

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Outperformance Continues