Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The MV Global Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small/medium-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.</li>
<li>There will be 27 ADDs and 3 DELs for the March 2026 rebal. We had predicted 12 ADDs (10 were right) and 1 DEL (it was right). A HUGE tail.</li>
<li>We expect a one-way flow of US$1.98bn for the March 2026 rebal on 20 March 2026 at the close. </li>
</ul>


The MV Global Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small/medium-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.
There will be 27 ADDs and 3 DELs for the March 2026 rebal. We had predicted 12 ADDs (10 were right) and 1 DEL (it was right). A HUGE tail.
We expect a one-way flow of US$1.98bn for the March 2026 rebal on 20 March 2026 at the close. 


[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Mar26 Results: 27 ADDs and 3 DELs; US$2bn One-Way

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our global near-term outlook remains neutral on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 3/17/26 Int'l Macro Vision); we downgraded our outlook after ACWI-US broke below $141.50 support.</li>
<li>We downgraded our outlook to bearish on U.S. equities (S&amp;P 500) on March 31. Global equities have held up a bit better, and crucial support held at $134 on ACWI-US.</li>
<li>While we remain defensive and are concerned that ACWI-US will break down, we would only turn bearish on global equities if ACWI-US breaks below $134.</li>
</ul>


Our global near-term outlook remains neutral on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 3/17/26 Int'l Macro Vision); we downgraded our outlook after ACWI-US broke below $141.50 support.
We downgraded our outlook to bearish on U.S. equities (S&amp;P 500) on March 31. Global equities have held up a bit better, and crucial support held at $134 on ACWI-US.
While we remain defensive and are concerned that ACWI-US will break down, we would only turn bearish on global equities if ACWI-US breaks below $134.


Upgrading Norway to Overweight; Stay Defensive. Buys in Utilities, Energy, and Materials

<ul>
<li>The MV Junior Gold Miners index tracks the performance of small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. Lots of AUM on the ETF means big impact sometimes.</li>
<li>There will be no index changes for the December 2026 rebal event. However, we currently expect a one-way flow of US$43mm for December 2026 due to capping/re-capping.</li>
<li>The Vault-Genesis deal is expected to complete before the December 2026 rebal. Vault faces over two months of ADV to sell and Genesis over a month to buy, both US$1bn+.</li>
</ul>


The MV Junior Gold Miners index tracks the performance of small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. Lots of AUM on the ETF means big impact sometimes.
There will be no index changes for the December 2026 rebal event. However, we currently expect a one-way flow of US$43mm for December 2026 due to capping/re-capping.
The Vault-Genesis deal is expected to complete before the December 2026 rebal. Vault faces over two months of ADV to sell and Genesis over a month to buy, both US$1bn+.


[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Index Dec26: Vault-Genesis Deal Has Massive Passive Flows

<ul>
<li>The MV Global Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small/medium-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.</li>
<li>There will be 44 ADDs and 2 DELs for the September 2026 rebal.  The ADDs are small yet high-impact and there will be one big DEL.</li>
<li>We expect a one-way flow of US$1.35bn for September 2026 to trade on the close of 18th September 2026.</li>
</ul>


The MV Global Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small/medium-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.
There will be 44 ADDs and 2 DELs for the September 2026 rebal.  The ADDs are small yet high-impact and there will be one big DEL.
We expect a one-way flow of US$1.35bn for September 2026 to trade on the close of 18th September 2026.


[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Sep26 Results: 44 ADDs and 2 DELs; ~1.35bn One-Way Flows

<ul>
<li>The MV Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small-cap and mid-cap (and the bottom end of large cap) gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.</li>
<li>We expect 30+ index changes (ADDs and DELs) in the September 2026 rebal, with BIG names on both sides. The one-way flow is around US$2.1bn, nearly 21% turnover.</li>
<li>The top-five fixed weights cap mainly drives the one-way flows. We expect two LOW-conviction ADDs to shake up this list, but volatile gold stocks could shift rankings. </li>
</ul>


The MV Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small-cap and mid-cap (and the bottom end of large cap) gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.
We expect 30+ index changes (ADDs and DELs) in the September 2026 rebal, with BIG names on both sides. The one-way flow is around US$2.1bn, nearly 21% turnover.
The top-five fixed weights cap mainly drives the one-way flows. We expect two LOW-conviction ADDs to shake up this list, but volatile gold stocks could shift rankings. 


[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Sep26 Rebal: BIG Changes Likely; Top Five Names Drive Flows

United Kingdom

Endeavour Mining is a multinational gold mining company primarily focused on exploration, extraction, and processing of gold from its various mining assets in West Africa. The company operates mines across Côte d'Ivoire, Burkina Faso, and Senegal, producing gold for various industries, including jewelry, electronics, and financial markets. Endeavour Mining is headquartered in London, England, and was founded in 1988.

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Endeavour Mining (EDV LN)

[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Mar26 Results: 27 ADDs and 3 DELs; US$2bn One-Way

The bottom end of the MV Junior Gold Index has now admitted far more names than we expected. That meant two more get kicked out of the top end....

Travis Lundy

Upgrading Norway to Overweight; Stay Defensive. Buys in Utilities, Energy, and Materials

Upgrading Norway to Overweight; Stay Defensive. Buys in global Utilities, Energy, and Materials. $ACWI support at $134 holding for now, but still...

Vermilion Research

[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Index Dec26: Vault-Genesis Deal Has Massive Passive Flows

There isn't much flow int eh MV Junior Gold Miners Index rebal in December but there will be big flow in the interim with the deletion of Vault...

Travis Lundy

[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Sep26 Results: 44 ADDs and 2 DELs; ~1.35bn One-Way Flows

We had foreseen big changes for the MV Gloabl Junior Gold Miners Index in Sep26 but the rebal is HUGE. VERY BROAD. 44 ADDs and only one real...

Travis Lundy

[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Sep26 Rebal: BIG Changes Likely; Top Five Names Drive Flows

As of the MV Global Junior Gold Miners data cutoff, we saw one High/Med Conviction name leave (Intl Tower Hill Mines) and two more High/Med names...

Travis Lundy

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