Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There were 6 inclusions and 6 exclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nasdaq-100-stock-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26197:1" rel="noopener">Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX)</a> at the annual December reconstitution. Then another ad hoc change was added on top of that.</li>
<li>Impact on the inclusions ranges from 1-8 days of ADV to buy, while the impact on the deletions varies from 0.7-2.6 days of ADV to sell.</li>
<li>Apart from the constituent changes, there are expected to be inflows in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla Motors</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/broadcom-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:998:1" rel="noopener">Broadcom</a> and outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microsoft-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15273:1" rel="noopener">Microsoft</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amazon-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:409:1" rel="noopener">Amazon.com</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA</a>.</li>
</ul>


There were 6 inclusions and 6 exclusions for the Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX) at the annual December reconstitution. Then another ad hoc change was added on top of that.
Impact on the inclusions ranges from 1-8 days of ADV to buy, while the impact on the deletions varies from 0.7-2.6 days of ADV to sell.
Apart from the constituent changes, there are expected to be inflows in Tesla Motors and Broadcom and outflows from Apple, Microsoft, Amazon.com and NVIDIA.


NASDAQ 100 Index Rebalance: 6 Regular Changes + 1 Adhoc Change; US$37bn to Trade

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boss-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4823:1" rel="noopener">Boss Energy (BOE AU)</a> is looking to raise up to A$205m (US$135m) through its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to fund an acquisition and replenish working capital. </li>
<li>The deal will be a large one to digest, at 19.7 days of three month ADV and 14% dilution.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Boss Energy (BOE AU) is looking to raise up to A$205m (US$135m) through its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to fund an acquisition and replenish working capital. 
The deal will be a large one to digest, at 19.7 days of three month ADV and 14% dilution.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Boss Energy Placement - Heavy Dilution and Doesn’t Appear Well Flagged

Leader Energy Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/leader-energy-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39938:1" rel="noopener">Leader Energy Holdings (1814173D MK)</a> is looking to raise up to US$215m in its upcoming Malaysia IPO. </li>
<li>Leader Energy Holdings (LE) is an independent power producer (IPP) primarily engaged in the development, ownership, O&amp;M of power assets and projects.</li>
<li>LE’s revenue has grown on the back of higher power generation as well as coal price increases over the track record period, which drove profitability up. </li>
</ul>



Leader Energy Holdings (1814173D MK) is looking to raise up to US$215m in its upcoming Malaysia IPO. 
Leader Energy Holdings (LE) is an independent power producer (IPP) primarily engaged in the development, ownership, O&amp;M of power assets and projects.
LE’s revenue has grown on the back of higher power generation as well as coal price increases over the track record period, which drove profitability up. 


Leader Energy Holdings Pre-IPO - Still Too Early for an ESG Angle

Barito Renewables Energy / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/barito-renewables" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40150:1" rel="noopener">Barito Renewables (2306028D IJ)</a> is looking to raise around US$228m in its Indonesian IPO. </li>
<li>Barito Renewables (BR) is Indonesia’s largest geothermal power producer, and the third-largest globally by installed capacity, as per the firm. </li>
<li>Its revenue has been primarily driven by electricity and steam sales to PLN as PGE’s exclusive contractor and its profitability has been on the rise over the track record period.</li>
</ul>



Barito Renewables (2306028D IJ) is looking to raise around US$228m in its Indonesian IPO. 
Barito Renewables (BR) is Indonesia’s largest geothermal power producer, and the third-largest globally by installed capacity, as per the firm. 
Its revenue has been primarily driven by electricity and steam sales to PLN as PGE’s exclusive contractor and its profitability has been on the rise over the track record period.


Barito Renewables IPO - Power Producer with Stable Cash Flows

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Growatt Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/growatt-new-energy-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36103:1" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology (1833969D CH)</a>, a leading PV inverters manufacturer, is pre-marketing a US$400 million HKEx IPO, according to press reports.  </li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:102983" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: The Investment Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-growing-watts" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:84889" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: Growing Watts</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:81071" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: The Bear Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80963" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: The Bull Case</a></em></strong>. </li>
<li>In this note, we outline our updated forecasts and present our updated look at Growatt's potential valuation range.</li>
</ul>



Growatt Technology (1833969D CH), a leading PV inverters manufacturer, is pre-marketing a US$400 million HKEx IPO, according to press reports.  
We previously discussed the IPO in Growatt Technology IPO: The Investment Case, Growatt Technology IPO: Growing Watts, Growatt Technology IPO: The Bear Case, Growatt Technology IPO: The Bull Case. 
In this note, we outline our updated forecasts and present our updated look at Growatt's potential valuation range.


Growatt Technology IPO: Valuation Updated Look

United States

Enphase Energy Inc. manufactures solar power solutions. The Company offers solutions to increase productivity and reliability of solar modules.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Enphase Energy (ENPH US)

NASDAQ 100 Index Rebalance: 6 Regular Changes + 1 Adhoc Change; US$37bn to Trade

There are 7 changes at the close on 15 December with an estimated one-way trade of US$18.7bn. Impact on the constituent changes varies from 1-8...

Brian Freitas

Boss Energy Placement - Heavy Dilution and Doesn’t Appear Well Flagged

Boss Energy (BOE AU) is looking to raise up to A$205m (US$135m) through its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to fund an acquisition and...

Ethan Aw

Leader Energy Holdings Pre-IPO - Still Too Early for an ESG Angle

Leader Energy Holdings (1814173D MK) is looking to raise up to US$215m in its upcoming Malaysia IPO. LE’s revenue has grown on the back of higher...

Ethan Aw

Barito Renewables IPO - Power Producer with Stable Cash Flows

Barito Renewables (2306028D IJ) is looking to raise around US$228m in its Indonesian IPO. It is Indonesia’s largest geothermal power producer, and...

Ethan Aw

Growatt Technology IPO: Valuation Updated Look

Growatt is pre-marketing a US$400 million HKEx IPO. In this note, we outline our updated forecasts and present our updated look at Growatt's...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)