Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> aims to raise around US$8-10bn via selling some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings</a> ’ US IPO.</li>
<li>ARM develops and licences high-performance, low-cost, and energy-efficient CPU products and related technology, which is used by semiconductor companies and OEMs to develop their own products.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Softbank Group (9984 JP) aims to raise around US$8-10bn via selling some of its stake in ARM Holdings ’ US IPO.
ARM develops and licences high-performance, low-cost, and energy-efficient CPU products and related technology, which is used by semiconductor companies and OEMs to develop their own products.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


ARM Holdings Limited - The Negatives - Tepid Growth and China JV Issues

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> aims to raise around US$8-10bn via selling some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings</a> ’ US IPO.</li>
<li>ARM develops and licences high-performance, low-cost, and energy-efficient CPU products and related technology, which is used by semiconductor companies and OEMs to develop their own products.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Softbank Group (9984 JP) aims to raise around US$8-10bn via selling some of its stake in ARM Holdings ’ US IPO.
ARM develops and licences high-performance, low-cost, and energy-efficient CPU products and related technology, which is used by semiconductor companies and OEMs to develop their own products.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


ARM Holdings Limited - The Positives - Pervasive Global Presence

Private Markets, Angel and Secondary Investing, Sacra

Sacra

Private Markets, Angel and Secondary Investing

Bringing transparency to private markets so investors, founders, and employees can build on conviction. Sacra delivers deeply researched insights on the private companies shaping tomorrow's markets. By surfacing the data, context, and operator perspective that are missing from private markets today, we help secondary buyers and sellers price equity accurately and unlock liquidity for the people building these businesses.

Private Capital Markets

<ul><li>By the end of 2022, Discord hit $445M in revenue, growing 44% year-over-year, last valued at $15.2B or a 34x multiple on current revenue.</li><li>COVID, the boom in crypto, and the shift from in-person to metaverse served as a huge tailwind for pseudonymous group chat apps like Discord (growing 587% from 2019 to 2021).</li><li>Having proven its model durable across industries and trends including gaming and crypto, Discord is currently indexing on the upside of its next big tailwind, AI.</li></ul>

By the end of 2022, Discord hit $445M in revenue, growing 44% year-over-year, last valued at $15.2B or a 34x multiple on current revenue.COVID, the boom in crypto, and the shift from in-person to metaverse served as a huge tailwind for pseudonymous group chat apps like Discord (growing 587% from 2019 to 2021).Having proven its model durable across industries and trends including gaming and crypto, Discord is currently indexing on the upside of its next big tailwind, AI.

Discord: The $15.2B WeChat For The Metaverse

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Several news media outlets reported last week that Tencent has changed its M&amp;A strategy to obtain majority stakes in overseas gaming companies as opposed to buying minority stakes previously.</li>
<li>Tencent’s online game revenue declined YoY for two-consecutive quarters primarily due to decline in domestic game revenue that was impacted by absence of new game titles and minority protection rules.</li>
<li>Our analysis on Tencent’s game downloads and ranks reveal that both domestic and international game revenues would decline further in 3Q2022E.</li>
</ul>


Several news media outlets reported last week that Tencent has changed its M&amp;A strategy to obtain majority stakes in overseas gaming companies as opposed to buying minority stakes previously.
Tencent’s online game revenue declined YoY for two-consecutive quarters primarily due to decline in domestic game revenue that was impacted by absence of new game titles and minority protection rules.
Our analysis on Tencent’s game downloads and ranks reveal that both domestic and international game revenues would decline further in 3Q2022E.


Tencent Seeks Majority Stake in Overseas Game Companies as Game Revenue Slows Down Further

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

<ul>
<li>Sony and LEGO’s investment in Epic comes shortly after the official release of Unreal Engine 5 which promises to significantly improve efficiency for game designers and visual effects artists. </li>
<li>We had predicted that Sony and Epic would continue to drift closer and would eventually dominate the metaverse and this does nothing to change that view.</li>
<li>We discuss below the impact on some popular metaverse plays which investors seem to fail to realise are only metaverse plays because they can be shorted.</li>
</ul>


Sony and LEGO’s investment in Epic comes shortly after the official release of Unreal Engine 5 which promises to significantly improve efficiency for game designers and visual effects artists. 
We had predicted that Sony and Epic would continue to drift closer and would eventually dominate the metaverse and this does nothing to change that view.
We discuss below the impact on some popular metaverse plays which investors seem to fail to realise are only metaverse plays because they can be shorted.


United States

Epic Games, Inc. develops video games. The Company designs, produces, and retails high-end action games for consoles, personal computers, and mobile devices. Epic Games serves clients worldwide.

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Epic Games (748448Z US)

ARM Holdings Limited - The Negatives - Tepid Growth and China JV Issues

Softbank Group (9984 JP) aims to raise around US$8-10bn via selling some of its stake in ARM Holdings ’ US IPO. In this note, we talk about the not...

Sumeet Singh

ARM Holdings Limited - The Positives - Pervasive Global Presence

Softbank Group (9984 JP) aims to raise around US$8-10bn via selling some of its stake in ARM Holdings ’ US IPO. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Discord: The $15.2B WeChat For The Metaverse

TL;DR: Discord’s growth slowed by a third in 2022 as crypto declined, in-person meetups picked up and COVID-era phenomena like social audio dropped...

Sacra

Tencent Seeks Majority Stake in Overseas Game Companies as Game Revenue Slows Down Further

Tencent has been aggressively seeking to acquire majority stakes in overseas game developers. Our analysis on game downloads and ranks reveal that...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Sony – An Epic Funding Round

Sony and LEGO’s investment in Epic comes shortly after the official release of Unreal Engine 5. We discuss below the impact on some popular...

Mio Kato

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