Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay, Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay

Quantitative fund & research firm with a qualitative overlay. 

Our coverage: General U.S. with a skew towards the primary sector. 

Methods: Smart Beta/Factor Pricing, Neural Networks, Street Gossip, and Common Sense.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Equinix (NASDAQ:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/search?q=EQIX" target="_blank" rel="noopener">EQIX</a>) is a data center REIT with <a href="https://investor.equinix.com/static-files/d98ce7f7-580b-4bc3-89fe-faa67ff62fd3" target="_blank" rel="noopener">244 properties</a> under management across 69 metros, 30 countries, and six continents.</li>
<li>The REIT hosts more than 10,000 companies in its ecosystem, with approximately 50% of them being Fortune 500 firms. 
</li>
<li>Furthermore, the company's cloud-based exposure reaches 3,000 companies that are inextricably linked to an industry with a CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of 15.7%, which is well above annual GDP growth.</li>
</ul>


Equinix (NASDAQ:EQIX) is a data center REIT with 244 properties under management across 69 metros, 30 countries, and six continents.
The REIT hosts more than 10,000 companies in its ecosystem, with approximately 50% of them being Fortune 500 firms. 

Furthermore, the company's cloud-based exposure reaches 3,000 companies that are inextricably linked to an industry with a CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of 15.7%, which is well above annual GDP growth.


Equinix: Please Don't Fall Into This Trap

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-22/bain-backed-chindata-said-to-field-preliminary-takeover-interest" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bloomberg article</a> claimed that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a> is attracting takeover interest from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gds-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23649:1" rel="noopener">GDS Holdings (ADR) (GDS US)</a>, PAG and EdgeConneX. Shares rose 9.8% to close at $4.81.</li>
<li>Potential privatisation will require the blessing of Bain Capital, the largest shareholder. Chindata’s track record of beating guidance, modest leverage and the beaten-down rating make it a target. </li>
<li>A forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.9x, in line with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>’s proposed acquisition multiple, would imply $6.85 per ADS. </li>
</ul>


A Bloomberg article claimed that Chindata Group (CD US) is attracting takeover interest from GDS Holdings (ADR) (GDS US), PAG and EdgeConneX. Shares rose 9.8% to close at $4.81.
Potential privatisation will require the blessing of Bain Capital, the largest shareholder. Chindata’s track record of beating guidance, modest leverage and the beaten-down rating make it a target. 
A forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.9x, in line with 21Vianet Group (VNET US)’s proposed acquisition multiple, would imply $6.85 per ADS. 


Chindata the Next Chinese ADR Privatisation Target?

<ul>
<li>VNET, formerly known as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>, is a leading carrier and cloud-neutral data centre services provider in China. </li>
<li>It has received a non-binding privatisation proposal from <a href="https://www.hinagroup.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">The Hina Group</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19515:1" rel="noopener">Industrial Bank Co Ltd A (601166 CH)</a> at $8.00 per ADS, a 48.1% premium to the undisturbed price. </li>
<li>The Board has not made any decisions on the offer. Despite the juicy premium, the offer is unattractive in the context of historical multiples and share prices.    </li>
</ul>


VNET, formerly known as 21Vianet Group (VNET US), is a leading carrier and cloud-neutral data centre services provider in China. 
It has received a non-binding privatisation proposal from The Hina Group and Industrial Bank Co Ltd A (601166 CH) at $8.00 per ADS, a 48.1% premium to the undisturbed price. 
The Board has not made any decisions on the offer. Despite the juicy premium, the offer is unattractive in the context of historical multiples and share prices.    


VNET’s Languishing Shares Draws an Opportunistic $8.00 Bid

Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

<ul>
<li>Singapore government introduced a moratorium on new data centres in 2019</li>
<li>As result, incumbent data centre REITs recalibrated their portfolio strategy including to pursue DPU and NAV growth through accretive overseas acquisitions </li>
<li>In Q2 2022, the moratorium is expected to be lifted with conditional approvals for applicants that meet certain sustainability requirements. We discuss the implications for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-dc-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:85:1" rel="noopener">Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP)</a> </li>
</ul>


Singapore government introduced a moratorium on new data centres in 2019
As result, incumbent data centre REITs recalibrated their portfolio strategy including to pursue DPU and NAV growth through accretive overseas acquisitions 
In Q2 2022, the moratorium is expected to be lifted with conditional approvals for applicants that meet certain sustainability requirements. We discuss the implications for Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP) 


Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP) - Imminent Lifting of SG Data Centre Moratorium and Its Implications

Chindata is a data centre operator. It is the largest carrier-neutral hyperscale data centre operator in Asia-Pacific emerging markets as measured by capacity in service, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. The MSCI May 2021 review period has just wrapped up, and Chindata is among the stocks with the highest probability of inclusion in the MSCI Standard index and the largest buying impact from passive funds - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/msci-may-2021-index-rebalance-preview-let-the-games-begin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50473" rel="noopener">MSCI May 2021 Index Rebalance Preview: Let The Games Begin</a>.  <div class="content-highlight">After touching $23.65 per ADS on 26 Feb 2021, Chindata has derated and is down 45% YTD. The last close price of $13.19 per ADS is 2% below the IPO price of $13.50 per ADS. The Asia-Pacific hyperscale data centre market remains a structural growth market in part due to the increasing prevalence of outsourcing data centre services, rising client demand for higher power density, and increasing regulatory requirements on data security. Overall, we think that Chindata remains an attractive play on these favourable market dynamics and the shares are worth a closer look. </div>

Chindata is a data centre operator. It is the largest carrier-neutral hyperscale data centre operator in Asia-Pacific emerging markets as measured by capacity in service, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. The MSCI May 2021 review period has just wrapped up, and Chindata is among the stocks with the highest probability of inclusion in the MSCI Standard index and the largest buying impact from passive funds - MSCI May 2021 Index Rebalance Preview: Let The Games Begin.  After touching $23.65 per ADS on 26 Feb 2021, Chindata has derated and is down 45% YTD. The last close price of $13.19 per ADS is 2% below the IPO price of $13.50 per ADS. The Asia-Pacific hyperscale data centre market remains a structural growth market in part due to the increasing prevalence of outsourcing data centre services, rising client demand for higher power density, and increasing regulatory requirements on data security. Overall, we think that Chindata remains an attractive play on these favourable market dynamics and the shares are worth a closer look. 

United States

Equinix Inc is a global colocation company offering data center space and power to customers. The Company centers offer direct interconnections to network providers, cloud service providers, and other customers. Equinix has extensive operations in North America, Europe, Asia, Dubai, and Brazil.

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Equinix Inc (EQIX US)

Equinix: Please Don't Fall Into This Trap

Equinix (NASDAQ:EQIX) is a data center REIT with 244 properties under management across 69 metros, 30 countries, and six continents.

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Chindata the Next Chinese ADR Privatisation Target?

Bloomberg claimed that Chindata is attracting takeover interest from GDS, PAG and EdgeConneX. A forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.9x, in line with...

Arun George

VNET’s Languishing Shares Draws an Opportunistic $8.00 Bid

The Hina Group and Industrial Bank Co have offered $8.00 per ADS, a 48.1% premium to the undisturbed price. However, the offer is unattractive in...

Arun George

Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP) - Imminent Lifting of SG Data Centre Moratorium and Its Implications

Singapore introduced a moratorium on new data centres which caused incumbents to recalibrate their strategy. With the moratorium expected to be...

Jason Yap, CFA

Chindata Group: Data Centre Value

Chindata is among the stocks with the highest probability of inclusion in the MSCI Standard index but the shares are down 45% YTD. The valuation is...

Arun George

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