Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector, Small Cap Consumer Research

Small Cap Consumer Research

Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector

Small Cap Consumer Research, LLC is a leading company-sponsored equity research provider focusing on the consumer sector (apparel, brand licensing and specialty retailing segments).

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating.</li><li>$0.25 price target and projections for Starco Brands as we look at key trends for 2H24 and beyond.</li><li>We believe 2024, while somewhat frustrating from an investor standpoint (given the downward revenue guidance and pulling of EBITDA guidance after 1Q), will be seen as a positive over the longer term, as the company has made material steps forward for all of their brands, positioning Starco for significant top line growth and going forward, material operating leverage, which we believe will become increasingly self-evident in 2025 and beyond.</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating.$0.25 price target and projections for Starco Brands as we look at key trends for 2H24 and beyond.We believe 2024, while somewhat frustrating from an investor standpoint (given the downward revenue guidance and pulling of EBITDA guidance after 1Q), will be seen as a positive over the longer term, as the company has made material steps forward for all of their brands, positioning Starco for significant top line growth and going forward, material operating leverage, which we believe will become increasingly self-evident in 2025 and beyond.

elf Beauty Inc - STCB: 2H Signposts; Building for a Better Tomorrow; Reiterate Buy, $0.25 PT

Betterware de Mexico Sab de CV / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $22.50 price target for Betterware de Mexico as we look ahead to key trends in 2H24 and beyond.</li><li>We believe Betterware, with JAFRA continuing to gain market share in the Mexican cosmetics market and the Betterware division focused on expanding overall market share and expansion into the United States ongoing, continues to register multiple growth drivers which, when coupled with the ability to further leverage the overall supply chain, position the company for material top and bottom line upside.</li><li>With BWMX also offering a highly attractive dividend yield of over 10%, we believe the risk/reward in the name remains compelling, and we are reiterating our Buy rating and $22.50 price target.</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $22.50 price target for Betterware de Mexico as we look ahead to key trends in 2H24 and beyond.We believe Betterware, with JAFRA continuing to gain market share in the Mexican cosmetics market and the Betterware division focused on expanding overall market share and expansion into the United States ongoing, continues to register multiple growth drivers which, when coupled with the ability to further leverage the overall supply chain, position the company for material top and bottom line upside.With BWMX also offering a highly attractive dividend yield of over 10%, we believe the risk/reward in the name remains compelling, and we are reiterating our Buy rating and $22.50 price target.

BWMX: 2H24 Signposts: Showing the Power of the Model; Reiterate Buy, $22.50 PT

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-occitane-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6772:1" rel="noopener">L'Occitane (973 HK)</a> IFA opines that Reinold Geiger’s conditional voluntary cash (HK$34.00) or scrip offer (10 rollover shares for each share, subject to a cap) is fair and reasonable.</li>
<li>Irrevocable/Letters of support have nudged lower from 49.83% (17 June) to 47.66% of disinterested shares due to Southeastern Asset Management selling its shares. </li>
<li>Nevertheless, the scrip option, an attractive offer and no vocal opposition should facilitate achieving the minimum acceptance condition. At the last close, the gross spread was 2.4%.</li>
</ul>


The L'Occitane (973 HK) IFA opines that Reinold Geiger’s conditional voluntary cash (HK$34.00) or scrip offer (10 rollover shares for each share, subject to a cap) is fair and reasonable.
Irrevocable/Letters of support have nudged lower from 49.83% (17 June) to 47.66% of disinterested shares due to Southeastern Asset Management selling its shares. 
Nevertheless, the scrip option, an attractive offer and no vocal opposition should facilitate achieving the minimum acceptance condition. At the last close, the gross spread was 2.4%.


L’Occitane (973 HK): Conditional Offer Opens

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-occitane-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6772:1" rel="noopener">L'Occitane (973 HK)</a> announced the share alternative at an exchange ratio of 10 rollover shares for each offer share, subject to a cap of 5% of outstanding shares.</li>
<li>The share alternative option will help the offer and was likely required to get Pleasant Lake Partners’ support (3.25% of outstanding shares). There is minimal vocal opposition to the offer. </li>
<li>Irrevocables/Letters of support represent 49.83% of disinterested shares. An attractive offer and the share alternative facilitate meeting the minimum acceptance condition, which requires an 80% disinterested acceptance rate (ex. irrevocables).</li>
</ul>



L'Occitane (973 HK) announced the share alternative at an exchange ratio of 10 rollover shares for each offer share, subject to a cap of 5% of outstanding shares.
The share alternative option will help the offer and was likely required to get Pleasant Lake Partners’ support (3.25% of outstanding shares). There is minimal vocal opposition to the offer. 
Irrevocables/Letters of support represent 49.83% of disinterested shares. An attractive offer and the share alternative facilitate meeting the minimum acceptance condition, which requires an 80% disinterested acceptance rate (ex. irrevocables).


L’Occitane (973 HK): Share Alternative a Crucial Step Towards the Offer Being Declared Unconditional

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating, $0.25 price target and projections for Starco Brands after meeting with management in their Los Angeles headquarters.</li><li>With 2024 shaping up as a period of setting the stage for material growth in all the company's brands, we believe management is confident they are making the correct investments to drive multiple periods of top and bottom line upside, with the correct retail partners and product upgrades and expansions.</li><li>As such, we look for the company to continue to put the pieces in place in 2024 to achieve highly significant door expansion and new category growth going forward, positioning Starco for material gains.</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $0.25 price target and projections for Starco Brands after meeting with management in their Los Angeles headquarters.With 2024 shaping up as a period of setting the stage for material growth in all the company's brands, we believe management is confident they are making the correct investments to drive multiple periods of top and bottom line upside, with the correct retail partners and product upgrades and expansions.As such, we look for the company to continue to put the pieces in place in 2024 to achieve highly significant door expansion and new category growth going forward, positioning Starco for material gains.

elf Beauty Inc - STCB: Management Meetings Show STCB Powering Through; Reiterate Buy, $0.25 PT

United States

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures and markets a wide range of skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products.  The Company's products are sold in countries and territories around the world.

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Estee Lauder Companies Cl A (EL US)

elf Beauty Inc - STCB: 2H Signposts; Building for a Better Tomorrow; Reiterate Buy, $0.25 PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating. $0.25 price target and projections for Starco Brands as we look at key trends for 2H24 and beyond. We believe...

Small Cap Consumer Research

BWMX: 2H24 Signposts: Showing the Power of the Model; Reiterate Buy, $22.50 PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $22.50 price target for Betterware de Mexico as we look ahead to key trends in 2H24 and...

Small Cap Consumer Research

L’Occitane (973 HK): Conditional Offer Opens

The scrip option, an attractive offer and no vocal opposition should facilitate achieving the minimum acceptance condition. At the last close, the...

Arun George

elf Beauty Inc - STCB: Management Meetings Show STCB Powering Through; Reiterate Buy, $0.25 PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $0.25 price target and projections for Starco Brands after meeting with management in their Los Angeles...

Small Cap Consumer Research

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

elf Beauty Inc - STCB: 2H Signposts; Building for a Better Tomorrow; Reiterate Buy, $0.25 PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating. $0.25 price target and projections for Starco Brands as we look at key trends for 2H24 and beyond. We believe...

Small Cap Consumer Research

BWMX: 2H24 Signposts: Showing the Power of the Model; Reiterate Buy, $22.50 PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $22.50 price target for Betterware de Mexico as we look ahead to key trends in 2H24 and...

Small Cap Consumer Research

L’Occitane (973 HK): Conditional Offer Opens

The scrip option, an attractive offer and no vocal opposition should facilitate achieving the minimum acceptance condition. At the last close, the...

Arun George

L’Occitane (973 HK): Share Alternative a Crucial Step Towards the Offer Being Declared Unconditional

An attractive offer and the share alternative facilitate meeting the 90% minimum acceptance condition. This looks like a done deal. At the current...

Arun George

elf Beauty Inc - STCB: Management Meetings Show STCB Powering Through; Reiterate Buy, $0.25 PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $0.25 price target and projections for Starco Brands after meeting with management in their Los Angeles...

Small Cap Consumer Research