HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The H-share IPOs of listed A-shares since 2025 witnessed a 6.6pp contraction in HA discount, compared with only 2.7pp for the Hang Seng Stock Connect China AH Premium Index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giga-device-semiconductor-inc-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46238:1" rel="noopener">GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46333:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology (6809 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/victory-giant-technology-huizhou-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:48083:1" rel="noopener">Victory Giant (2476 HK)</a> are the only 3 with both good discount contraction, fast growth and large size.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-co-limited-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)</a> is large in size but not as fast in growth. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delton-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47605:1" rel="noopener">Delton Technology (1989 HK)</a>'s market capitalisation is relatively small.  </li>
</ul>


The H-share IPOs of listed A-shares since 2025 witnessed a 6.6pp contraction in HA discount, compared with only 2.7pp for the Hang Seng Stock Connect China AH Premium Index.

GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK), Montage Technology (6809 HK), and Victory Giant (2476 HK) are the only 3 with both good discount contraction, fast growth and large size.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK) is large in size but not as fast in growth. Delton Technology (1989 HK)'s market capitalisation is relatively small.  


HK Strategy: H-Share IPOs - Both Growth and Size Count Now

Equity Capital Markets

Robotphoenix Intelligent Technology / Equity Capital Markets

Robotphoenix Intelligent Technology (6871 HK)

<ul>
<li>To raise HK$679.2m of net proceeds, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robotphoenix-intelligent-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:48807:1" rel="noopener">Robotphoenix Intelligent Technology (6871 HK)</a>'s IPO is small. But this dedicated industrial robotics company is worth a bet.</li>
<li>Although losses have been increasing for FY23-25, with a 3-year forward revenue CAGR of 35.2%, they should peak in FY27 and start to reduce in FY28.</li>
<li>We calculate a fair P/S of 13.7-15.5x for FY26, translating into a price of HK$34.3-38.6, or 12.5-26.5% upside from the IPO price. </li>
</ul>


To raise HK$679.2m of net proceeds, Robotphoenix Intelligent Technology (6871 HK)'s IPO is small. But this dedicated industrial robotics company is worth a bet.
Although losses have been increasing for FY23-25, with a 3-year forward revenue CAGR of 35.2%, they should peak in FY27 and start to reduce in FY28.
We calculate a fair P/S of 13.7-15.5x for FY26, translating into a price of HK$34.3-38.6, or 12.5-26.5% upside from the IPO price. 


Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, DZT Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for the month ended May 29th.</li>
<li>We estimate that the net southbound flows in May were $0.6bn Outflows.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, stake changes, and holdings, and highlight flows for SMIC, Alibaba, Tencent, China Mobile, Petrochina.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for the month ended May 29th.
We estimate that the net southbound flows in May were $0.6bn Outflows.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, stake changes, and holdings, and highlight flows for SMIC, Alibaba, Tencent, China Mobile, Petrochina.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (May): End of Continuous Monthly Inflows

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 184 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 76.8% as of May 29th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 4.3ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, utilities, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, ZTE, China Minsheng Banking, Datang Power, Haier Smart Home, Huaneng Power Intl.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 184 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 76.8% as of May 29th.
The average A-H premium changed by 4.3ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, utilities, consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, ZTE, China Minsheng Banking, Datang Power, Haier Smart Home, Huaneng Power Intl.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 29th): Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, ZTE, China Minsheng Banking

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 182 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 72.3% as of May 22nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.4ppt week-on-week, led by health care, materials, real estate and offset by consumer staples, energy, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan Power, Eastroc, CIMC, Remegen.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 182 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 72.3% as of May 22nd.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.4ppt week-on-week, led by health care, materials, real estate and offset by consumer staples, energy, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan Power, Eastroc, CIMC, Remegen.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 22nd): China Longyuan Power, Eastroc, CIMC, Remegen

China

Estun Automation is a Chinese company specializing in the research, development, production, and sale of intelligent equipment, along with its control and functional components. The company offers industrial automation products, industrial robots, and industrial digital products, including AC servo systems, various robotic arms, and industrial software. Estun Automation was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.

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Estun Automation (2715 HK)

Robotphoenix (6871) IPO: Worth a Bet

Robotphoenix's small IPO aims to raise HK$679.2m, but with a promising future in industrial robotics and a leadership position in the industry, it...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows (May): End of Continuous Monthly Inflows

We estimate outflows to be $0.6bn from mainland investors to HK stocks in May. We highlight flows for SMIC, Alibaba, Tencent, China Mobile,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (May 29th): Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, ZTE, China Minsheng Banking

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, ZTE, China Minsheng Banking,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (May 22nd): China Longyuan Power, Eastroc, CIMC, Remegen

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Longyuan Power, Eastroc, CIMC, Remegen.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Strategy: H-Share IPOs - Both Growth and Size Count Now

​H-share IPOs of A-shares since 2025 show significant HA discount contraction, with GigaDevice Semiconductor, Montage Technology, and Victory Giant...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Robotphoenix (6871) IPO: Worth a Bet

​Robotphoenix's small IPO aims to raise HK$679.2m, but with a promising future in industrial robotics and a leadership position in the industry, it...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows (May): End of Continuous Monthly Inflows

We estimate outflows to be $0.6bn from mainland investors to HK stocks in May. We highlight flows for SMIC, Alibaba, Tencent, China Mobile,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (May 29th): Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, ZTE, China Minsheng Banking

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, ZTE, China Minsheng Banking,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (May 22nd): China Longyuan Power, Eastroc, CIMC, Remegen

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Longyuan Power, Eastroc, CIMC, Remegen.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

H-share IPOs of A-shares since 2025 show significant HA discount contraction, with GigaDevice Semiconductor, Montage Technology, and Victory Giant...

Robotphoenix's small IPO aims to raise HK$679.2m, but with a promising future in industrial robotics and a leadership position in the industry, it...