HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

MegaRobo Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>MegaRobo has established a clear revenue structure and formed a sustainable business model. Core revenue stream is the sale of autonomous agents/multi-agent solutions.Customized solutions and Megalab have high growth potential.</li>
<li>MegaRobo will face competition pressure from international giants in the field of life science automation. The relatively weak international patent layout may affect the process of globalization.</li>
<li>Revenue growth in the next three years would be kept above 30% YoY. The Company is still in the growth stage. A comfortable valuation range could be P/S of 6-8x.</li>
</ul>


MegaRobo has established a clear revenue structure and formed a sustainable business model. Core revenue stream is the sale of autonomous agents/multi-agent solutions.Customized solutions and Megalab have high growth potential.
MegaRobo will face competition pressure from international giants in the field of life science automation. The relatively weak international patent layout may affect the process of globalization.
Revenue growth in the next three years would be kept above 30% YoY. The Company is still in the growth stage. A comfortable valuation range could be P/S of 6-8x.


Pre-IPO MegaRobo Technologies - The Business and the Concerns

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We use quantamental screens to identify overvalued stocks in Asia, with weak fundamentals – consistently low earnings growth, forecast return ratios less than cost of capital, and over-leveraged balance sheets.</li>
<li>We screen Asia-listed stocks above US$1bn market cap on declining EPS CAGR over next 2 years, less than 10% ROE, higher than 1x PEG and P/BV, more than 80% D/E.</li>
<li>We identify 30 stocks: 11 from HK/China, 9 from Japan, 4 from Taiwan, 3 from India, and one each from Korea, Malaysia and Singapore. Financials, property, industrials dominate the list.</li>
</ul>


We use quantamental screens to identify overvalued stocks in Asia, with weak fundamentals – consistently low earnings growth, forecast return ratios less than cost of capital, and over-leveraged balance sheets.
We screen Asia-listed stocks above US$1bn market cap on declining EPS CAGR over next 2 years, less than 10% ROE, higher than 1x PEG and P/BV, more than 80% D/E.
We identify 30 stocks: 11 from HK/China, 9 from Japan, 4 from Taiwan, 3 from India, and one each from Korea, Malaysia and Singapore. Financials, property, industrials dominate the list.


Asian Equities: The Overvalued, Low Growth, Over-Leveraged Stocks

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Consumer Staples ($962 million worth of outflows), Consumer Discretionary ($561 million worth of outflows) led the outflows (first chart below).</li>
<li>We highlight monthly outflows for CATL, Zhongji, Moutai, Wuliangye, Mindray.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Consumer Staples ($962 million worth of outflows), Consumer Discretionary ($561 million worth of outflows) led the outflows (first chart below).
We highlight monthly outflows for CATL, Zhongji, Moutai, Wuliangye, Mindray.


Northbound Flows (July): Two Months of Outflows

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $2,146 million), Financials (inflows of $1,619 million), Consumer Staples (inflows of $1,100 million) led the inflows while led the outflows.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, BYD, Wuliangye, East Money, Haitian Flavoring, Luxshare, Longi Green, Wus Printed, Yonyou Network.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $2,146 million), Financials (inflows of $1,619 million), Consumer Staples (inflows of $1,100 million) led the inflows while led the outflows.
We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, BYD, Wuliangye, East Money, Haitian Flavoring, Luxshare, Longi Green, Wus Printed, Yonyou Network.


Northbound Flows Monthly (July): $7.3bn Inflows

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The company has shifted its growth driver from rail equipment to EV parts supplier.</li>
<li>Q1 23 growth came from emerging equipment coming to the rescue at a double digit rate when the train equipment segment recorded a slight decrease. </li>
<li>Compared to last year, the company is trading at a lower valuation, yet its key growth driver has a better and more sustainable quality. </li>
</ul>


The company has shifted its growth driver from rail equipment to EV parts supplier.
Q1 23 growth came from emerging equipment coming to the rescue at a double digit rate when the train equipment segment recorded a slight decrease. 
Compared to last year, the company is trading at a lower valuation, yet its key growth driver has a better and more sustainable quality. 


Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric (3898): Growth at a Discounted Valuation

China

Estun Automation Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures mechanical equipment. The Company focuses on metal forming and electro-hydraulic robotic machines. Estun operates in China.

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Estun Automation (002747 CH)

Pre-IPO MegaRobo Technologies - The Business and the Concerns

MegaRobo has established a clear revenue structure and a sustainable business model, but will face competition from international giants/domestic...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Asian Equities: The Overvalued, Low Growth, Over-Leveraged Stocks

Quantamental screens reveal overvalued Asian stocks with low earnings growth, low return ratios, and high leverage. 30 stocks identified across...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Northbound Flows (July): Two Months of Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for July and highlight outflows for CATL, Zhongji, Moutai, Wuliangye, Mindray.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly (July): $7.3bn Inflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for July and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, BYD, Wuliangye, East Money, Haitian Flavoring,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric (3898): Growth at a Discounted Valuation

Q1 growth came from emerging equipment at a double digit rate, while the train equipment segment recorded a slight decrease. ZZ CRRC Times Electric...

Henry Soediarko

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Pre-IPO MegaRobo Technologies - The Business and the Concerns

MegaRobo has established a clear revenue structure and a sustainable business model, but will face competition from international giants/domestic...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Asian Equities: The Overvalued, Low Growth, Over-Leveraged Stocks

​Quantamental screens reveal overvalued Asian stocks with low earnings growth, low return ratios, and high leverage. 30 stocks identified across...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Northbound Flows (July): Two Months of Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for July and highlight outflows for CATL, Zhongji, Moutai, Wuliangye, Mindray.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly (July): $7.3bn Inflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for July and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, BYD, Wuliangye, East Money, Haitian Flavoring,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric (3898): Growth at a Discounted Valuation

Q1 growth came from emerging equipment at a double digit rate, while the train equipment segment recorded a slight decrease. ZZ CRRC Times Electric...

Henry Soediarko

Quantamental screens reveal overvalued Asian stocks with low earnings growth, low return ratios, and high leverage. 30 stocks identified across...