House of Market Insights, Market Radar

Market Radar

House of Market Insights

Quick market updates and lot of ideas for your investments from a multi-asset portfolio manager working for a family office.

Quick Market Updates

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>This week has been crucial for markets. Because some of the most important central banks released their monetary policy expectations for next year</li><li>The Fed will accelerate the tapering (from $15 Bln to $30 Bln) and its officials now expect to raise interest rates three times next year and three times in 2023</li><li>The ECB has been probably the most dovish among the central banks: it left key rates unchanged and it doesn’t foresee to raise them in 2022</li></ul>

This week has been crucial for markets. Because some of the most important central banks released their monetary policy expectations for next yearThe Fed will accelerate the tapering (from $15 Bln to $30 Bln) and its officials now expect to raise interest rates three times next year and three times in 2023The ECB has been probably the most dovish among the central banks: it left key rates unchanged and it doesn’t foresee to raise them in 2022

The week of the Central Banks: expectations, surprises and reactions

Actionable Insights, Assured Alpha, ANTYA Investments

ANTYA Investments

Actionable Insights, Assured Alpha

Investing That Empowers You

ANTYA Investments Inc., regulated by the Ontario Securities Commission, is registered to provide wealth management services in Canada. ANTYA manages institutional, and high net-worth client portfolios on a discretionary basis. Our investment philosophy embraces a Core-Satellite approach.  The core of the portfolio is chosen from a group of fifteen asset classes. A few stock specific asymmetrical investment opportunities comprise the satellite segment. ANTYA invests only in global, large capitalization, and investment grade companies.  

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

ANTYA expects that the FOMC will raise interest rates 4 times in 2018 and maintain that trajectory for 2019 as well. Yes, we are calling for a 3.5% federal funds rate by the end of 2019, and assuming spreads stay constant a 4.0% yield on the one-year U.S. Government Bond.Our forecast implies a stronger dollar, weaker Asian currencies, and much weaker equity markets in Asia ex-Japan over the next few years.

ANTYA expects that the FOMC will raise interest rates 4 times in 2018 and maintain that trajectory for 2019 as well. Yes, we are calling for a 3.5% federal funds rate by the end of 2019, and assuming spreads stay constant a 4.0% yield on the one-year U.S. Government Bond.Our forecast implies a stronger dollar, weaker Asian currencies, and much weaker equity markets in Asia ex-Japan over the next few years. 

Eight Hikes – 4 in 2018, and 4 in 2019 – What Does that Do to Asian Equity Markets?

Institutional-Grade Analysis, In-depth Insights, Animoca Brands Research

Animoca Brands Research

Institutional-Grade Analysis, In-depth Insights

Animoca Brands Corporation Ltd. is a Hong Kong-based game software company and venture capital company

Crypto

<ul><li>The recent turbulence in the crypto-native stablecoins, marked by de-pegging and liquidations, exposes vulnerabilities in reserve management and a lack of capacity to handle "bank runs".</li><li>These vulnerabilities are a replica of the "wildcat banking" that occurred during the "free banking era" in the US.</li><li>This era was characterized by state-chartered banks issuing notes with diverse and inconsistent practices, leading to discounts on notes circulated outside the issuing state, and instability from fraudulent or under-reserved banks.</li></ul>

The recent turbulence in the crypto-native stablecoins, marked by de-pegging and liquidations, exposes vulnerabilities in reserve management and a lack of capacity to handle "bank runs".These vulnerabilities are a replica of the "wildcat banking" that occurred during the "free banking era" in the US.This era was characterized by state-chartered banks issuing notes with diverse and inconsistent practices, leading to discounts on notes circulated outside the issuing state, and instability from fraudulent or under-reserved banks.

From Free Banking to Stablecoins: A Historical Parallel for the US Dollar

Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>U.S. interest rates have been climbing since early January 2024 after reaching their lowest points between December 27th and January 11th.</li><li>For example, the yield on 2-year Treasury bonds has increased by 52 basis points (bps), and the yield on 10-year bonds has risen by 49 bps since their respective lows.</li><li>Similarly, the Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of other currencies, experienced its weakest point on December 28th, 2023.</li></ul>

U.S. interest rates have been climbing since early January 2024 after reaching their lowest points between December 27th and January 11th.For example, the yield on 2-year Treasury bonds has increased by 52 basis points (bps), and the yield on 10-year bonds has risen by 49 bps since their respective lows.Similarly, the Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of other currencies, experienced its weakest point on December 28th, 2023.

US Dollar: Trend Reversal or Start of Bull Run

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The USD has started off the new year in a new frame of mind, it would appear, although the rebound currently underway took hold in late December just ahead of the turn of the year.</li><li>Markets are still shrugging off the after affects of the holidays and reduced participation that can sometimes exaggerate moves but the window for a moderate (at least) relief rally in the USD may be opening.</li><li>Firstly, my longer-term perspectives on the USD remain negative.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The USD has started off the new year in a new frame of mind, it would appear, although the rebound currently underway took hold in late December just ahead of the turn of the year.Markets are still shrugging off the after affects of the holidays and reduced participation that can sometimes exaggerate moves but the window for a moderate (at least) relief rally in the USD may be opening.Firstly, my longer-term perspectives on the USD remain negative.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Snapshot - Relief Rally Opportunity for the USD

United States

The euro is the official currency of the European Economic & Monetary Union.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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The week of the Central Banks: expectations, surprises and reactions

This week has been crucial for markets. Because some of the most important central banks released their monetary policy expectations for next year

Market Radar

Eight Hikes – 4 in 2018, and 4 in 2019 – What Does that Do to Asian Equity Markets?

ANTYA expects that the FOMC will raise interest rates 4 times in 2018 and maintain that trajectory for 2019 as well. Yes, we are calling for a 3.5%...

ANTYA Investments

From Free Banking to Stablecoins: A Historical Parallel for the US Dollar

The recent turbulence in the crypto-native stablecoins, marked by de-pegging and liquidations, exposes vulnerabilities in reserve management and a...

Animoca Brands Research

US Dollar: Trend Reversal or Start of Bull Run

U.S. interest rates have been climbing since early January 2024 after reaching their lowest points between December 27th and January 11th.

Untying The Gordian Knot

FX Snapshot - Relief Rally Opportunity for the USD

The USD has started off the new year in a new frame of mind, it would appear, although the rebound currently underway took hold in late December...

Scotiabank

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)