External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>The aggregate USD short position was largely unchanged in the week ended July 8, widening a marginal $0.3bn to $18.6bn.</li><li>The position is sizeable and remains close to the bearish end of the range since 2023, however it is still well shy of the extended levels reached in 2020/2021.</li><li>This week’s adjustments offered a continued divergence in EUR and JPY positioning as speculators added to their large bullish EUR positions while paring back their JPY longs. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The aggregate USD short position was largely unchanged in the week ended July 8, widening a marginal $0.3bn to $18.6bn.The position is sizeable and remains close to the bearish end of the range since 2023, however it is still well shy of the extended levels reached in 2020/2021.This week’s adjustments offered a continued divergence in EUR and JPY positioning as speculators added to their large bullish EUR positions while paring back their JPY longs. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - EUR Bulls Push Long To Fresh High

<ul><li>The aggregate USD short position narrowed $1.8bn in the week ended July 1, softening modestly to $18.3bn.</li><li>The bearish position is at the wider end of its multiyear range, but still well shy of the extended levels reached in 2020/2021.</li><li>Individual currency positioning adjustments were modest overall, favoring the USD while the AUD and NZD positions were left unchanged. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The aggregate USD short position narrowed $1.8bn in the week ended July 1, softening modestly to $18.3bn.The bearish position is at the wider end of its multiyear range, but still well shy of the extended levels reached in 2020/2021.Individual currency positioning adjustments were modest overall, favoring the USD while the AUD and NZD positions were left unchanged. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - Aggregate Bearish USD Position Holds Steady In Holiday Week

<ul><li>The aggregate USD short position widened $1.7bn in the week ended June 24, reaching $20.1bn.</li><li>The bearish position has already reached fresh local wides (lows) and is threatening the wides briefly tested in mid-2023.</li><li>This week’s adjustments were relatively minor, with notable w/w improvements in EUR (long build) and CAD (short reduction) and a minor deterioration in the GBP (long reduction).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The aggregate USD short position widened $1.7bn in the week ended June 24, reaching $20.1bn.The bearish position has already reached fresh local wides (lows) and is threatening the wides briefly tested in mid-2023.This week’s adjustments were relatively minor, with notable w/w improvements in EUR (long build) and CAD (short reduction) and a minor deterioration in the GBP (long reduction).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - Bearish USD Bet Continues to Build

<ul><li>The aggregate USD position widened $2.6bn in the week ended June 17, reaching $18.5bn and a level that marginally exceeded last year’s wides.</li><li>The June 17 position date incorporated the latest BoJ policy decision and the most recent US CPI report.</li><li>The largest w/w swing was observed for the CAD, with notable improvements in EUR and NZD as well. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The aggregate USD position widened $2.6bn in the week ended June 17, reaching $18.5bn and a level that marginally exceeded last year’s wides.The June 17 position date incorporated the latest BoJ policy decision and the most recent US CPI report.The largest w/w swing was observed for the CAD, with notable improvements in EUR and NZD as well. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bearish CAD Position Narrows As Aggregate USD Short Builds

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mizuho

Mizuho

Mizuho Bank is a leading global bank with one of the largest customer bases in Japan, and an extensive international network covering financial and business centers around the world. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Though the dollar/yen pair will be supported by Japanese/US interest-rate differentials in February, it will continue to fluctuate on headlines related to the Trump administration, so caution will be needed</li><li>The Bank of Japan (BOJ)’s Monetary Policy Meeting implemented a +25bp rate hike when it met in January</li><li>The BOJ decided to adjust the scale of monetary easing on the grounds that real interest rates would remain significantly negative and the monetary environment would remain accommodative if the economy and prices remained “on track</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Though the dollar/yen pair will be supported by Japanese/US interest-rate differentials in February, it will continue to fluctuate on headlines related to the Trump administration, so caution will be neededThe Bank of Japan (BOJ)’s Monetary Policy Meeting implemented a +25bp rate hike when it met in JanuaryThe BOJ decided to adjust the scale of monetary easing on the grounds that real interest rates would remain significantly negative and the monetary environment would remain accommodative if the economy and prices remained “on trackContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

United States

The euro is the official currency of the European Economic & Monetary Union.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - EUR Bulls Push Long To Fresh High

This week’s adjustments offered a continued divergence in EUR and JPY positioning as speculators added to their large bullish EUR positions while...

Scotiabank

CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - Aggregate Bearish USD Position Holds Steady In Holiday Week

The bearish position is at the wider end of its multiyear range, but still well shy of the extended levels reached in 2020/2021.

Scotiabank

CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - Bearish USD Bet Continues to Build

This week’s adjustments were relatively minor, with notable w/w improvements in EUR (long build) and CAD (short reduction) and a minor...

Scotiabank

Bearish CAD Position Narrows As Aggregate USD Short Builds

The aggregate USD position widened $2.6bn in the week ended June 17, reaching $18.5bn and a level that marginally exceeded last year’s wides.

Scotiabank

Mizuho Dealer's Eye (Feb, 2025)

The BOJ decided to adjust the scale of monetary easing on the grounds that real interest rates would remain significantly negative

Mizuho

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