Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>USCBP data from August shows Y/Y declines in traffic, especially at N. border</li>
<li>Overall, air travel to and from the US has held up well vs other travel modes</li>
<li>Some US regions hit harder than others; US losses could benefit Europe, others</li>
</ul>


USCBP data from August shows Y/Y declines in traffic, especially at N. border
Overall, air travel to and from the US has held up well vs other travel modes
Some US regions hit harder than others; US losses could benefit Europe, others


US Customs & Border Protection August Data | Air Crossings Stable | Europe Could Gain From US Losses

<ul>
<li>Airline &amp; airport air cargo data shows moderating demand, Asia &gt; N America</li>
<li>No signs of supply tightness in the system; in fact, reported yields are <em>falling</em>
</li>
<li>Most indicators show that demand is mediocre, space plentiful, pricing weak</li>
</ul>


Airline &amp; airport air cargo data shows moderating demand, Asia &gt; N America
No signs of supply tightness in the system; in fact, reported yields are falling

Most indicators show that demand is mediocre, space plentiful, pricing weak


Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | May-July Data Shows Soft Demand, Ample Capacity, Lower Yields

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Trip.com will finally report Q2 results after the US close on Tuesday, September 15</li>
<li>Earlier investigation, now concluded, was likely a drag on growth &amp; earnings in period</li>
<li>Management commentary could indicate pace of recovery from Trip.com's latest stumble</li>
</ul>


Trip.com will finally report Q2 results after the US close on Tuesday, September 15
Earlier investigation, now concluded, was likely a drag on growth &amp; earnings in period
Management commentary could indicate pace of recovery from Trip.com's latest stumble


Trip.com Q226 Earnings Preview | Impact of Investigation | Accommodation Segment | Q3 Guidance Key

<ul>
<li>Total US border crossings in July 2026 were up just 0.6% Y/Y (and down 5% vs July 2024)</li>
<li>July 2026 crossings by aircraft were down over 3% Y/Y, and down 2% Y/Y in US West</li>
<li>The figures from peak Summer travel period seem to confirm sluggish US tourism activity</li>
</ul>


Total US border crossings in July 2026 were up just 0.6% Y/Y (and down 5% vs July 2024)
July 2026 crossings by aircraft were down over 3% Y/Y, and down 2% Y/Y in US West
The figures from peak Summer travel period seem to confirm sluggish US tourism activity


Latest US Customs & Border Protection Data Appear to Confirm Sluggish US Tourism Activity

Equity Capital Markets

SHEIN Global Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this insight we analyze SHEIN's Marketing expenses, which rose sharply in FY25 and Q126</li>
<li>We also revisit SHEIN's Fulfilment expenses, which likely ballooned in Q226 on higher fuel</li>
<li>We believe high and rising Marketing, Fulfilment expenses to smother FY26 margins</li>
</ul>


In this insight we analyze SHEIN's Marketing expenses, which rose sharply in FY25 and Q126
We also revisit SHEIN's Fulfilment expenses, which likely ballooned in Q226 on higher fuel
We believe high and rising Marketing, Fulfilment expenses to smother FY26 margins


SHEIN IPO in Hong Kong: Examining Marketing Expense Trend | Fulfilment Expense in Q226 Likely Spiked

Taiwan

EVA Airways Corp. is an air carrier that transports passengers and cargos. The Company operates primarily in Taiwan and serves international route networks in North America, Asia, Europe, and Australasia.

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Eva Airways (2618 TT)

US Customs & Border Protection August Data | Air Crossings Stable | Europe Could Gain From US Losses

August data from the US Customs & Border Protection agency shows a decline in US border crossings. Air crossings have held up relatively well, but...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | May-July Data Shows Soft Demand, Ample Capacity, Lower Yields

A look at July yields, load factors, and tonnage growth in July suggests an Asian air cargo market that has plenty of supply to meet moderating...

Tracking Traffic

Trip.com Q226 Earnings Preview | Impact of Investigation | Accommodation Segment | Q3 Guidance Key

Trip.com will finally report Q2 results on Tuesday evening (US time). Expectations for Q2 are low but forward guidance could indicate how quickly...

Tracking Traffic

Latest US Customs & Border Protection Data Appear to Confirm Sluggish US Tourism Activity

The latest figures for US border crossings suggest international travel into and out of the US remains sluggish. The figures show little growth...

Tracking Traffic

SHEIN IPO in Hong Kong: Examining Marketing Expense Trend | Fulfilment Expense in Q226 Likely Spiked

In its first day of trading on September 1, SHEIN's shares closed down 0.1% in Hong Kong after initially falling close to 10%. We're re-surfacing a...

Tracking Traffic

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