External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

Eva Precision Industrial Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>EVA’s 1H23 earnings beat our prior forecast despite lower revenue and GPM, due to higher other income and one-off gains.</li><li>We expect its Mexico plant to turn profitable in 2H23E, after meeting with management.</li><li>We expect EVA’s FY24E net profit to rise 20% YoY, mainly contributed by its Mexico plant and lower interest expense. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

EVA’s 1H23 earnings beat our prior forecast despite lower revenue and GPM, due to higher other income and one-off gains.We expect its Mexico plant to turn profitable in 2H23E, after meeting with management.We expect EVA’s FY24E net profit to rise 20% YoY, mainly contributed by its Mexico plant and lower interest expense. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

EVA Holdings (838 HK) – Better 2H23 and FY24 as Mexico to Turn Profitable

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

<ul>
<li>After rallying a fair bit at the beginning of 2023, we have seen sharp pullbacks in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eva-precision-industrial-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17511:1" rel="noopener">Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-meidong-auto-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10795:1" rel="noopener">China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK)</a> share prices.</li>
<li>We believe the price cuts highlighted by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/victoria-li-37be10a4-61ab-4f2c-8657-201b7837050d" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:780" rel="noopener">Victoria Li</a> in her insight <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-auto-ice-price-war-triggered-by-dongfeng-jv-players-under-pressure" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:97517" rel="noopener">China Auto: ICE Price War Triggered by Dongfeng, JV Players Under Pressure</a> are a significant cause. </li>
<li>While we like both stocks and they are cheap, we feel both companies will face short to medium-term pain in their businesses and share prices as the saga unfolds.</li>
</ul>


After rallying a fair bit at the beginning of 2023, we have seen sharp pullbacks in Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK) and China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK) share prices.
We believe the price cuts highlighted by Victoria Li in her insight China Auto: ICE Price War Triggered by Dongfeng, JV Players Under Pressure are a significant cause. 
While we like both stocks and they are cheap, we feel both companies will face short to medium-term pain in their businesses and share prices as the saga unfolds.


Thoughts On The Recent Pullbacks in Meidong and EVA

<ul><li>Despite lingering industry headwinds, we believe EVA Holdings’ profitability is on track to recover from weak 1Q23, especially with strong office automation (OA) equipment profit growth, based on our channel checks and meetings with various management in both auto parts and OA businesses, including chairman, CEO and CFO, during the past two months</li><li>We lower auto parts revenue projection amid industry headwinds.</li><li>We project EVA’s auto parts revenue to rise 20% YoY, or HK$ 350mn YoY, to HK$ 2.1bn in FY23E, lower than management’s guidance of HK$ 2.3bn to account for industrywide sales uncertainties, especially from internal combustion engine (ICE) cars. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Despite lingering industry headwinds, we believe EVA Holdings’ profitability is on track to recover from weak 1Q23, especially with strong office automation (OA) equipment profit growth, based on our channel checks and meetings with various management in both auto parts and OA businesses, including chairman, CEO and CFO, during the past two monthsWe lower auto parts revenue projection amid industry headwinds.We project EVA’s auto parts revenue to rise 20% YoY, or HK$ 350mn YoY, to HK$ 2.1bn in FY23E, lower than management’s guidance of HK$ 2.3bn to account for industrywide sales uncertainties, especially from internal combustion engine (ICE) cars. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

EVA Holdings (838 HK) – Recovering Gradually

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eva-precision-industrial-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17511:1" rel="noopener">Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK)</a> is a beneficiary of EV penetration globally and in China, trading at 9.4x /5.6x FY22/23e and 3.2%/5.3% dividend yield (30% payout ratio).</li>
<li>H1 2022 was groundbreaking for the company as it commenced strategic cooperation with  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> on products and bagged orders from Huwaei and Tesla, with more coming in H2.</li>
<li>There is additional room for buybacks as the stock price is &lt; 2HKD and the company only completed 3-4% of its 200 mn HKD buyback.</li>
</ul>



Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK) is a beneficiary of EV penetration globally and in China, trading at 9.4x /5.6x FY22/23e and 3.2%/5.3% dividend yield (30% payout ratio).
H1 2022 was groundbreaking for the company as it commenced strategic cooperation with  BYD (1211 HK) on products and bagged orders from Huwaei and Tesla, with more coming in H2.
There is additional room for buybacks as the stock price is &lt; 2HKD and the company only completed 3-4% of its 200 mn HKD buyback.


EVA Precision: Poor Mans Tesla/ EV Play/ Onwards and Upwards from H1 2022

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eva-precision-industrial-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17511:1" rel="noopener">Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK)</a> is a supplier of office and automotive equipment (seat/battery frames and moulds), trading at 8.1x PE FY22 with an inflection point in earnings growth.</li>
<li>As a supplier to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-motors-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla Motors (TSLA US),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)</a>, and Lucid, it is a play on the expansion of the EV space.</li>
<li>Legacy business of office equipment will also experience growth due to the exit of foreign businesses like Fuji and Samsung enabling the company to have 25% CAGR revenue growth.</li>
</ul>



Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK) is a supplier of office and automotive equipment (seat/battery frames and moulds), trading at 8.1x PE FY22 with an inflection point in earnings growth.
As a supplier to Tesla Motors (TSLA US), Great Wall Motor (2333 HK), and Lucid, it is a play on the expansion of the EV space.
Legacy business of office equipment will also experience growth due to the exit of foreign businesses like Fuji and Samsung enabling the company to have 25% CAGR revenue growth.


EVA Precision 838 HK: Play on EV Market Growth

Hong Kong

EVA Precision Industrial Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, designs and fabricates metal stamping moulds, manufactures metal stamping components, and provides assembly services in the Peoples Republic of China.

Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK)

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Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK)

EVA Holdings (838 HK) – Better 2H23 and FY24 as Mexico to Turn Profitable

EVA’s 1H23 earnings beat our prior forecast despite lower revenue and GPM, due to higher other income and one-off gains.

CMB International

Thoughts On The Recent Pullbacks in Meidong and EVA

Price cuts in the China auto sector are forcing downgrades and share prices to retrace. We understand there will be short/medium-term pain but EVA...

Sameer Taneja

EVA Holdings (838 HK) – Recovering Gradually

We project EVA’s auto parts revenue to rise 20% YoY, or HK$ 350mn YoY, to HK$ 2.1bn in FY23E, lower than management’s guidance of HK$ 2.3bn

CMB International

EVA Precision: Poor Mans Tesla/ EV Play/ Onwards and Upwards from H1 2022

Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK) is a beneficiary of EV penetration globally and in China, trading at 9.4x /5.6x FY22/23e and 3.2%/5.3%...

Sameer Taneja

EVA Precision 838 HK: Play on EV Market Growth

Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK) is a supplier of office and automotive equipment (seat/battery frames and molds), trading at 8.1x PE...

Sameer Taneja

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