External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Eva Precision Industrial Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>EVA’s 1H23 earnings beat our prior forecast despite lower revenue and GPM, due to higher other income and one-off gains.</li><li>We expect its Mexico plant to turn profitable in 2H23E, after meeting with management.</li><li>We expect EVA’s FY24E net profit to rise 20% YoY, mainly contributed by its Mexico plant and lower interest expense. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

EVA’s 1H23 earnings beat our prior forecast despite lower revenue and GPM, due to higher other income and one-off gains.We expect its Mexico plant to turn profitable in 2H23E, after meeting with management.We expect EVA’s FY24E net profit to rise 20% YoY, mainly contributed by its Mexico plant and lower interest expense. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

EVA Holdings (838 HK) – Better 2H23 and FY24 as Mexico to Turn Profitable

<ul><li>Despite lingering industry headwinds, we believe EVA Holdings’ profitability is on track to recover from weak 1Q23, especially with strong office automation (OA) equipment profit growth, based on our channel checks and meetings with various management in both auto parts and OA businesses, including chairman, CEO and CFO, during the past two months</li><li>We lower auto parts revenue projection amid industry headwinds.</li><li>We project EVA’s auto parts revenue to rise 20% YoY, or HK$ 350mn YoY, to HK$ 2.1bn in FY23E, lower than management’s guidance of HK$ 2.3bn to account for industrywide sales uncertainties, especially from internal combustion engine (ICE) cars. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Despite lingering industry headwinds, we believe EVA Holdings’ profitability is on track to recover from weak 1Q23, especially with strong office automation (OA) equipment profit growth, based on our channel checks and meetings with various management in both auto parts and OA businesses, including chairman, CEO and CFO, during the past two monthsWe lower auto parts revenue projection amid industry headwinds.We project EVA’s auto parts revenue to rise 20% YoY, or HK$ 350mn YoY, to HK$ 2.1bn in FY23E, lower than management’s guidance of HK$ 2.3bn to account for industrywide sales uncertainties, especially from internal combustion engine (ICE) cars. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

EVA Holdings (838 HK) – Recovering Gradually

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.</li><li>Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.</li><li>Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Mixed picture ahead as inventory risk lingers

<ul><li>Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Nov 2023 sales volumes on 1 Dec 2023.</li><li>Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 49% YoY (ranging from -17% to +245%) and 2% MoM (ranging from -1% to +48%) in Nov.</li><li>Seven out of the 11 automakers posted their all-time high sales volume in Nov.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Nov 2023 sales volumes on 1 Dec 2023.Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 49% YoY (ranging from -17% to +245%) and 2% MoM (ranging from -1% to +48%) in Nov.Seven out of the 11 automakers posted their all-time high sales volume in Nov.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – NEV Sales Volume MoM Growth Narrowed in Nov

<ul><li>We summarize the Oct 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li><li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.</li><li>In general, new orders per store for most brands have been rising MoM since Apr 2023, which have been consistent with our prior projection that NEV market share in China could rise sequentially for the remainder of the year. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Oct 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.In general, new orders per store for most brands have been rising MoM since Apr 2023, which have been consistent with our prior projection that NEV market share in China could rise sequentially for the remainder of the year. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Improving Leading Indicators Imply Strong 4Q23

Hong Kong

EVA Precision Industrial Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, designs and fabricates metal stamping moulds, manufactures metal stamping components, and provides assembly services in the Peoples Republic of China.

Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK)

Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK)

EVA Holdings (838 HK) – Better 2H23 and FY24 as Mexico to Turn Profitable

EVA’s 1H23 earnings beat our prior forecast despite lower revenue and GPM, due to higher other income and one-off gains.

CMB International

EVA Holdings (838 HK) – Recovering Gradually

We project EVA’s auto parts revenue to rise 20% YoY, or HK$ 350mn YoY, to HK$ 2.1bn in FY23E, lower than management’s guidance of HK$ 2.3bn

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Mixed picture ahead as inventory risk lingers

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.

CMB International

China Auto Sector – NEV Sales Volume MoM Growth Narrowed in Nov

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Nov 2023 sales...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Improving Leading Indicators Imply Strong 4Q23

We summarize the Oct 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International