IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 27 July, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carnaby-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4197:1" rel="noopener">Carnaby Resources (CNB AU)</a> entered a scheme with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evolution-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18363:1" rel="noopener">Evolution Mining (EVN AU)</a> at 0.0682 EVN shares per CNB share, a 60.4% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>Regulatory approvals (ACCC) are low-risk. The exchange ratio is broadly in line with the 3-year average price ratio. </li>
<li>Despite retail opposition, the scheme vote should pass, particularly as Evolution's share price strength has increased the implied deal value by 33% from A$0.77 (deal announcement) to A$1.03 (last close). </li>
</ul>


On 27 July, Carnaby Resources (CNB AU) entered a scheme with Evolution Mining (EVN AU) at 0.0682 EVN shares per CNB share, a 60.4% premium to the last close.
Regulatory approvals (ACCC) are low-risk. The exchange ratio is broadly in line with the 3-year average price ratio. 
Despite retail opposition, the scheme vote should pass, particularly as Evolution's share price strength has increased the implied deal value by 33% from A$0.77 (deal announcement) to A$1.03 (last close). 


Carnaby Resources (CNB AU): Evolution’s All-Scrip Scheme Offer

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Gold fever continues Down Under as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ausgold-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19133:1" rel="noopener">Ausgold Ltd (AUC AU)</a> enters into a Scheme with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oceanagold-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25379:1" rel="noopener">OceanaGold Corp (OGC CN)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oceanagold-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25379:1" rel="noopener"></a>.</li>
<li>OceanaGold is offering 0.03365 new shares for each Ausgold share, or an indicative Offer price of A$1.36/share, a 28% premium. A capped cash option is afforded, also at A$1.36/share.</li>
<li>Post merger, Ausgold shareholders would hold ~7.9% (if 100% scrip consideration). A key shareholder and directors (collectively holding 9.1%) are supportive. December completion expected.  Clean deal. Interlopers possible.</li>
</ul>


Gold fever continues Down Under as Ausgold Ltd (AUC AU) enters into a Scheme with OceanaGold Corp (OGC CN).
OceanaGold is offering 0.03365 new shares for each Ausgold share, or an indicative Offer price of A$1.36/share, a 28% premium. A capped cash option is afforded, also at A$1.36/share.
Post merger, Ausgold shareholders would hold ~7.9% (if 100% scrip consideration). A key shareholder and directors (collectively holding 9.1%) are supportive. December completion expected.  Clean deal. Interlopers possible.


OceanaGold (OGC CN) Claims Ausgold (AUC AU). Clean Deal

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 10th August, published on the 14th August.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.4bn into "Metals"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.1bn out of "Food Retail". Net shorts increased A$3.7bn(!) week-on-week.
</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rio-tinto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13:1" rel="noopener">Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lynas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20374:1" rel="noopener">Lynas Corp (LYC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pls-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">PLS Group (PLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evolution-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18363:1" rel="noopener">Evolution Mining (EVN AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a>. 
</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 10th August, published on the 14th August.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.4bn into "Metals"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.1bn out of "Food Retail". Net shorts increased A$3.7bn(!) week-on-week.

Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU), Lynas Corp (LYC AU), PLS Group (PLS AU), Evolution Mining (EVN AU), and Genesis Minerals (GMD AU). 



Aussie Shorts [10 Aug 2026]: Rio Tinto, Lynas, PLS Group, Evolution Mining, Genesis Minerals

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 7th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD49.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Qantas Airways, Santos, CSL, Qbe Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 7th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD49.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Qantas Airways, Santos, CSL, Qbe Insurance.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 7th): Northern Star Resources, Qantas Airways, Santos, CSL

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on BHP, Rio Tinto, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy, Evolution Mining, Santos.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on BHP, Rio Tinto, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy, Evolution Mining, Santos.


MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Jul): BHP, Rio Tinto, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy

Australia

Evolution Mining Ltd is a gold exploration company with operations in Western Australia. The Company owns the gold mines -Cracow, Edna May, Mt Rawdon, and Pajingo - and the Mt Carlton development project.

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Evolution Mining (EVN AU)

Carnaby Resources (CNB AU): Evolution’s All-Scrip Scheme Offer

Despite retail opposition, the scheme vote should pass, particularly as EVN's share price strength has increased the implied deal value by 33% from...

Arun George

OceanaGold (OGC CN) Claims Ausgold (AUC AU). Clean Deal

A straightforward gold merger. Trading tightish at a gross/annualised spread of 4.2%/11.7%, assuming late December completion. If you can take down...

David Blennerhassett

Aussie Shorts [10 Aug 2026]: Rio Tinto, Lynas, PLS Group, Evolution Mining, Genesis Minerals

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.4bn into "Metals"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.1bn out of "Food Retail"....

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 7th): Northern Star Resources, Qantas Airways, Santos, CSL

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Qantas Airways, Santos,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Jul): BHP, Rio Tinto, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy

We analyzed MS-Australia's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in BHP, Rio Tinto, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy, Evolution...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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