Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 1st (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD44.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Brambles, National Australia Bank, Scentre, Nextdc, Northern Star Resources.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 1st (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD44.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Brambles, National Australia Bank, Scentre, Nextdc, Northern Star Resources.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 1st): Brambles, National Australia Bank, Scentre, Nextdc

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vault-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46317:1" rel="noopener">Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/regis-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20106:1" rel="noopener">Regis Resources (RRL AU)</a> entered into a merger through a scheme of arrangement. The consideration is 0.6937 RRL shares per VAU share.</li>
<li>The deal is largely about chasing scale rather than about operational synergies. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a>, the long-rumoured suitor for Vault, is unlikely to get involved. </li>
<li>The key condition is Vault shareholder approval. The scheme vote is low risk due to a fair merger exchange ratio and benign shareholder structure.</li>
</ul>



Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU) and Regis Resources (RRL AU) entered into a merger through a scheme of arrangement. The consideration is 0.6937 RRL shares per VAU share.
The deal is largely about chasing scale rather than about operational synergies. Genesis Minerals (GMD AU), the long-rumoured suitor for Vault, is unlikely to get involved. 
The key condition is Vault shareholder approval. The scheme vote is low risk due to a fair merger exchange ratio and benign shareholder structure.


Vault Minerals (VAU AU): Regis Resources’ Strategically Sensible Merger

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Gold fever continues down under as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/regis-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20106:1" rel="noopener">Regis Resources (RRL AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vault-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46317:1" rel="noopener">Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU)</a> announce a A$11bn merger, creating the ASX's third largest gold miner.</li>
<li>By way of a Scheme, Regis is offering 0.6947 new shares for each Vault share. Post merger, Regis and Vault shareholders will hold 51% and 49% in the combined entity.</li>
<li>Both boards unanimously back the transaction, which is projected to complete late August, early September. Clean deal.</li>
</ul>


Gold fever continues down under as Regis Resources (RRL AU) and Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU) announce a A$11bn merger, creating the ASX's third largest gold miner.
By way of a Scheme, Regis is offering 0.6947 new shares for each Vault share. Post merger, Regis and Vault shareholders will hold 51% and 49% in the combined entity.
Both boards unanimously back the transaction, which is projected to complete late August, early September. Clean deal.


Regis Resources (RRL AU) & Vault Minerals (VAU AU) Claim Each Other

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Lynas Rare Earths, National Australia Bank, BHP, Westpac, Woodside Energy, CSL, Transurban.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Lynas Rare Earths, National Australia Bank, BHP, Westpac, Woodside Energy, CSL, Transurban.


MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Apr): Lynas Rare Earths, National Australia Bank, BHP, Westpac

Macro & Asian equity Technical Strategies, BBSP Asia

Federico D'Inca

Macro & Asian equity Technical Strategies

BBSP Asia

Technical Analysis

Mid Term Country Allocation (Tactical view) in terms of Relative Value vs MXAPWhat's new from last week • Although ASX remains within its 3-month range (below 5775) the ratio ASX/MXAP drifted to key support for an expected bounce reaction. Therefore, giving bias for ASX to shape a bullish exit from its range and outperform MXAP. (ref new AU strategies). • Rating unchanged for the rest of the countries. Outperformance in progress for Japan (Nikkei), Korea (Kospi) and HK, China (HSI, HSCEI). Still…

Mid Term Country Allocation (Tactical view) in terms of Relative Value vs MXAPWhat's new from last week • Although ASX remains within its 3-month range (below 5775) the ratio ASX/MXAP drifted to key support for an expected bounce reaction. Therefore, giving bias for ASX to shape a bullish exit from its range and outperform MXAP. (ref new AU strategies). • Rating unchanged for the rest of the countries. Outperformance in progress for Japan (Nikkei), Korea (Kospi) and HK, China (HSI, HSCEI). Still…

Equity Asia Weekly Research - 11 Oct 2017

Australia

Evolution Mining Ltd is a gold exploration company with operations in Western Australia. The Company owns the gold mines -Cracow, Edna May, Mt Rawdon, and Pajingo - and the Mt Carlton development project.

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Evolution Mining (EVN AU)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 1st): Brambles, National Australia Bank, Scentre, Nextdc

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Brambles, National Australia Bank, Scentre, Nextdc,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Vault Minerals (VAU AU): Regis Resources’ Strategically Sensible Merger

The deal is largely about chasing scale rather than about operational synergies. The scheme vote is low risk due to a fair merger exchange ratio...

Arun George

Regis Resources (RRL AU) & Vault Minerals (VAU AU) Claim Each Other

Another straightforward, albeit, large gold merger. Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 5.4%/18% assuming late Aug completion. If you can take...

David Blennerhassett

MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Apr): Lynas Rare Earths, National Australia Bank, BHP, Westpac

We analyzed MS-Australia's consensus for Apr 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Lynas Rare Earths, National Australia Bank, BHP, Westpac,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Equity Asia Weekly Research - 11 Oct 2017

Mid Term Country Allocation (Tactical view) in terms of Relative Value vs MXAPWhat's new from last week• Although ASX remains within its 3-month...

BBSP Asia

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