Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There's (still) a LOT of upside here. IF <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a> sells the Operating Business at 1x book, there's at least another ¥5,800 in this, and maybe more.</li>
<li>FY25 results reaffirm <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pccw-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:873:1" rel="noopener">PCCW Ltd (8 HK)</a>'s stub ops continue to burn cash. Deconsolidated net debt touches an all-time high. And <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:874:1" rel="noopener">HKT (6823 HK)</a>'s dividend pass-through % is trending south. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yutaka-giken-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4033:1" rel="noopener">Yutaka Giken (7229 JP)</a> will end up being a case study of how NOT to execute a takeover for a parent company, which is "responsible" for treating minorities fairly.</li>
</ul>


There's (still) a LOT of upside here. IF Toyota Industries (6201 JP) sells the Operating Business at 1x book, there's at least another ¥5,800 in this, and maybe more.
FY25 results reaffirm PCCW Ltd (8 HK)'s stub ops continue to burn cash. Deconsolidated net debt touches an all-time high. And HKT (6823 HK)'s dividend pass-through % is trending south. 

Yutaka Giken (7229 JP) will end up being a case study of how NOT to execute a takeover for a parent company, which is "responsible" for treating minorities fairly.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Toyota Industries, PCCW, Yutaka Giken, Ferretti, Daishin Securities

Travis Lundy

Index Rebalance

Industrias Penoles, S.A.B. De C.V. / Index Rebalance

Industrias Penoles, S.A.B. De C.V. (PE&OLES* MM EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>The MV Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.</li>
<li>We expect many index changes to the March 2026 rebal event.</li>
<li>We currently see a one-way flow of around US$1.2bn, largely driven by changes in the composition of the top five holdings by weight.</li>
</ul>


The MV Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.
We expect many index changes to the March 2026 rebal event.
We currently see a one-way flow of around US$1.2bn, largely driven by changes in the composition of the top five holdings by weight.


[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Mar26 Rebal: Multiple Changes Possible; ~US$754mn One-Way

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.3bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$630mn out of "Gold".</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lynas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20374:1" rel="noopener">Lynas (LYC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bluescope-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:207:1" rel="noopener">Bluescope Steel (BSL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/treasury-wine-estates-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:710:1" rel="noopener">Treasury Wine Estates (TWE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evolution-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18363:1" rel="noopener">Evolution Mining (EVN AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pinnacle-investment-management" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20624:1" rel="noopener">Pinnacle Investment Management (PNI AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.3bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$630mn out of "Gold".
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Lynas (LYC AU), Bluescope Steel (BSL AU), Treasury Wine Estates (TWE AU), Evolution Mining (EVN AU), and Pinnacle Investment Management (PNI AU). 


Aussie Shorts (30th Jan 2026): Lynas, Aussie Banks, Bluescope Steel, Pinnacle Investment M'ment

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jan 30th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD33.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Lotus Resources, National Australia Bank, BHP, Perseus Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jan 30th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD33.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Lotus Resources, National Australia Bank, BHP, Perseus Mining.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 30th): Northern Star Resources, Lotus Resources

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Woodside Energy, BHP, Evolution Mining, South32, Santos, CSL.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Woodside Energy, BHP, Evolution Mining, South32, Santos, CSL.


MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Jan): Woodside Energy, BHP, Evolution Mining, South32, Santos

Australia

Evolution Mining Ltd is a gold exploration company with operations in Western Australia. The Company owns the gold mines -Cracow, Edna May, Mt Rawdon, and Pajingo - and the Mt Carlton development project.

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Evolution Mining (EVN AU)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Toyota Industries, PCCW, Yutaka Giken, Ferretti, Daishin Securities

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Mar26 Rebal: Multiple Changes Possible; ~US$754mn One-Way

The volatility within the gold space is such that over the space of a few days, the expected flows of the next MV Junior Gold Miners' Index rebal...

Travis Lundy

Aussie Shorts (30th Jan 2026): Lynas, Aussie Banks, Bluescope Steel, Pinnacle Investment M'ment

Companies mentioned in this weekly short interest report include Lynas, Aussie Banks, Bluescope Steel, Treasury Wine Estates, Evolution Mining, and...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 30th): Northern Star Resources, Lotus Resources

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Lotus Resources, National...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Jan): Woodside Energy, BHP, Evolution Mining, South32, Santos

We analyzed MS-Australia's consensus for Jan 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Woodside Energy, BHP, Evolution Mining, South32, Santos, CSL.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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