Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>Our near-term bullish outlook will remain in place long as the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) are above their 20-day MAs.</li>
<li>Short-Term SPX support is at 6028-6059 and the 20-day MA, with additional supports at 5804-5854 and 5700-5785. Russell 2000 (IWM) and S&amp;P Mid Caps (IJH) also breaking above key resistances</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
Our near-term bullish outlook will remain in place long as the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) are above their 20-day MAs.
Short-Term SPX support is at 6028-6059 and the 20-day MA, with additional supports at 5804-5854 and 5700-5785. Russell 2000 (IWM) and S&amp;P Mid Caps (IJH) also breaking above key resistances


Blue Sky Territory; Bullish Outlook Intact; Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 Breaking to All-Time Highs

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish and we see the market in the midst of a significant end-of-year rally that we have been expecting since mid-October.</li>
<li>We continue to expect support at 20-day MAs on $SPX and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), while support at current levels or the 50-day MA is likely on the Russell 2000 (IWM).</li>
<li>Market dynamics continue to improve, giving us confidence that this bull run is likely to go at least another month into mid-January, and quite likely beyond.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish and we see the market in the midst of a significant end-of-year rally that we have been expecting since mid-October.
We continue to expect support at 20-day MAs on $SPX and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), while support at current levels or the 50-day MA is likely on the Russell 2000 (IWM).
Market dynamics continue to improve, giving us confidence that this bull run is likely to go at least another month into mid-January, and quite likely beyond.


Growth Leading This EOY Rally; Expect More Upside. PHLX Semis $SOXX With a Bullish 5-Month Reversal

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>To mix it up this week, I am going to journal out the top chart patterns I generally look for when scanning and reviewing charts.</li><li>This post will also include some examples of price action that I typically look for, coupled with fundamental research, which has yielded the best entries and results over the years.</li><li>For starters, I focus on weekly charts to eliminate the noise of the hourly and daily charts which allows for confirming whether the name is in a strong uptrend (defined as above both rising 10WK/40WK moving averages).</li></ul>

To mix it up this week, I am going to journal out the top chart patterns I generally look for when scanning and reviewing charts.This post will also include some examples of price action that I typically look for, coupled with fundamental research, which has yielded the best entries and results over the years.For starters, I focus on weekly charts to eliminate the noise of the hourly and daily charts which allows for confirming whether the name is in a strong uptrend (defined as above both rising 10WK/40WK moving averages).

Independent Research, Turtles all the way down

Turtles all the way down

Independent Research

Writing short articles about mis-priced boring stocks around the world.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this post I tracked my performance on stock mentioned in my blog, and I would like to officially close some ideas here.</li><li>I will start doing that from now on. Something I did privately but not on the blog publicly.</li><li>Either because they have worked out and upside is no more attractive, or because the facts have changed.</li></ul>

In this post I tracked my performance on stock mentioned in my blog, and I would like to officially close some ideas here.I will start doing that from now on. Something I did privately but not on the blog publicly.Either because they have worked out and upside is no more attractive, or because the facts have changed.

<ul><li>First one is Vontier, its main business is a duopoly in gas station equipment and software.</li><li>Repair tools for ICE vehicles. Software and hardware for car washes, and some smaller miscellaneous businesses.</li><li>Some of which they will divest for probably several $100 million in proceeds. And they have a piece in EV charging infrastructure as well. </li></ul>

First one is Vontier, its main business is a duopoly in gas station equipment and software.Repair tools for ICE vehicles. Software and hardware for car washes, and some smaller miscellaneous businesses.Some of which they will divest for probably several $100 million in proceeds. And they have a piece in EV charging infrastructure as well. 

United States

Extreme Networks, Inc. provides switching solutions for local area networks (LAN).  The Company uses its custom ASICs and a common hardware, software, and management architecture to offer customers LAN solutions.

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Extreme Networks (EXTR US)

Blue Sky Territory; Bullish Outlook Intact; Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 Breaking to All-Time Highs

Blue Sky Territory; Bullish Outlook Intact; $QQQ and $SPX Breaking to All-Time Highs; Russell 2000 $IWM and Mid Caps $IJH also breaking above...

Vermilion Research

Growth Leading This EOY Rally; Expect More Upside. PHLX Semis $SOXX With a Bullish 5-Month Reversal

Growth Leading This EOY Rally $MSFT $AAPL as Tech $XLK Breaks Out; Expect More Upside $ARKK $ARKW $ARKF $BITQ $WGMI. PHLX Semiconductor $SOXX With...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 6/5

To mix it up this week, I am going to journal out the top chart patterns I generally look for when scanning and reviewing charts.

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Closing Some Idea's

In this post I tracked my performance on stock mentioned in my blog, and I would like to officially close some ideas here. I will start doing that...

Turtles all the way down

Some new stocks

First one is Vontier, its main business is a duopoly in gas station equipment and software. Repair tools for ICE vehicles.

Turtles all the way down

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