Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q2 2023 results for FANUC Group showed a 3.7% decrease in consolidated net sales, a 24.5% drop in consolidated operating income, and mixed performance in its divisions.</li>
<li>Some positives: operating profit exceeding analyst expectations and an operating margin increase to 17.2%. However, declining robot orders, challenges in the US region, and high inventory remain concerns</li>
<li>We believe that the stock is currently trading around fair value (20x EV/EBIT). However, we still see risks to the downside given macro concerns</li>
</ul>


Q2 2023 results for FANUC Group showed a 3.7% decrease in consolidated net sales, a 24.5% drop in consolidated operating income, and mixed performance in its divisions.
Some positives: operating profit exceeding analyst expectations and an operating margin increase to 17.2%. However, declining robot orders, challenges in the US region, and high inventory remain concerns
We believe that the stock is currently trading around fair value (20x EV/EBIT). However, we still see risks to the downside given macro concerns


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Doosan Robotics  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-robotics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36816:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics (454910 KS)</a> raised around US$318m in its Korea IPO, after pricing its IPO at the top end of the range at KRW26,000/share.</li>
<li>Doosan Robotics (DR) manufactures and sells collaborative robots (Cobots). The firm’s product portfolio primarily includes different series of robot arms as well as its coffee module.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Doosan Robotics (454910 KS) raised around US$318m in its Korea IPO, after pricing its IPO at the top end of the range at KRW26,000/share.
Doosan Robotics (DR) manufactures and sells collaborative robots (Cobots). The firm’s product portfolio primarily includes different series of robot arms as well as its coffee module.
In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.


Doosan Robotics IPO Trading - Strong Insti Subscription Rates but Still Feels like a Punt

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seibu-giken-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40113:1" rel="noopener">Seibu Giken (6223 JP)</a> (SG) raised around US$93m in its Japan IPO after pricing at the top of its downward revised range.</li>
<li>SG sells desiccant dehumidifiers and VOC concentrators in over fifty countries globally. Its two main products accounted for over 90% of its revenue in 2022.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and valuation. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Seibu Giken (6223 JP) (SG) raised around US$93m in its Japan IPO after pricing at the top of its downward revised range.
SG sells desiccant dehumidifiers and VOC concentrators in over fifty countries globally. Its two main products accounted for over 90% of its revenue in 2022.
In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and valuation. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Seibu Giken IPO Trading - Still Not Particularly Enticing

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mercari-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27149:1" rel="noopener">Mercari (4385 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lasertec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4126:1" rel="noopener">Lasertec (6920 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitori-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20386:1" rel="noopener">Nitori (9843 JP)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-sheet-glass-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9013:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Sheet Glass (5202 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsui-e-s-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2402:1" rel="noopener">Mitsui E&amp;S (7003 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/matsui-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6553:1" rel="noopener">Matsui Securities (8628 JP)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a>.</li>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitori-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20386:1" rel="noopener">Nitori Holdings (9843 JP)</a> will be added at half the planned PAF since the trading value is low compared to the expected index weight.</li>
<li>Passive trackers need to buy between 1-17 days of ADV on the adds while selling between 1.2-16.5 days of ADV on the deletes. There is a big funding trade too.</li>
</ul>



Mercari (4385 JP), Lasertec (6920 JP) and Nitori (9843 JP) will replace Nippon Sheet Glass (5202 JP), Mitsui E&amp;S (7003 JP) and Matsui Securities (8628 JP) in the Nikkei 225.
As expected, Nitori Holdings (9843 JP) will be added at half the planned PAF since the trading value is low compared to the expected index weight.
Passive trackers need to buy between 1-17 days of ADV on the adds while selling between 1.2-16.5 days of ADV on the deletes. There is a big funding trade too.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: Mercari, Lasertec, Nitori IN; Nippon Glass, Mitsui E&S, Matsui Sec OUT

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seibu-giken-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40113:1" rel="noopener">Seibu Giken (6223 JP)</a> (SG) is looking to raise around US$93m in its Japan IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.</li>
<li>SG sells desiccant dehumidifiers and VOC concentrators in over fifty countries globally. Its two main products accounted for over 90% of its revenue in 2022.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Seibu Giken (6223 JP) (SG) is looking to raise around US$93m in its Japan IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
SG sells desiccant dehumidifiers and VOC concentrators in over fifty countries globally. Its two main products accounted for over 90% of its revenue in 2022.
In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about valuations.


Seibu Giken IPO - Quick Note - Not Particularly Enticing

Japan

FANUC CORPORATION manufactures factory automation (FA) systems and equipments, and robots. The Company's products include computerized numerically-controlled (CNC) equipment, servo motors, laser systems, industrial robots, wire-cut electric discharge machines, and CNC drill.  Fanuc participates in a joint venture with General Electric in the FA field.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Fanuc Corp (6954 JP)

Fanuc (6954) | Not Out of the Woods Yet

FANUC Group's Q2 2023 results show a decrease in sales and operating income, mixed division performance.. Stock is trading at fair value but...

Mark Chadwick

Doosan Robotics IPO Trading - Strong Insti Subscription Rates but Still Feels like a Punt

Doosan Robotics (454910 KS) raised around US$318m in its Korea IPO, after pricing its IPO at the top end of the range at KRW26,000/share.

Ethan Aw

Seibu Giken IPO Trading - Still Not Particularly Enticing

Seibu Giken (6223 JP) (SG) raised around US$93m in its Japan IPO after pricing at the top of its downward revised range. In this note we talk about...

Sumeet Singh

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: Mercari, Lasertec, Nitori IN; Nippon Glass, Mitsui E&S, Matsui Sec OUT

The adds are broadly flat since announcement of the changes. The deletes are higher and short interest has continued to increase. The stocks with...

Brian Freitas

Seibu Giken IPO - Quick Note - Not Particularly Enticing

Seibu Giken (6223 JP) (SG) is looking to raise around US$93m in its Japan IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Fanuc (6954) | Not Out of the Woods Yet

​FANUC Group's Q2 2023 results show a decrease in sales and operating income, mixed division performance.. Stock is trading at fair value but...

Mark Chadwick

Doosan Robotics IPO Trading - Strong Insti Subscription Rates but Still Feels like a Punt

Doosan Robotics (454910 KS) raised around US$318m in its Korea IPO, after pricing its IPO at the top end of the range at KRW26,000/share.

Ethan Aw

Seibu Giken IPO Trading - Still Not Particularly Enticing

Seibu Giken (6223 JP) (SG) raised around US$93m in its Japan IPO after pricing at the top of its downward revised range. In this note we talk about...

Sumeet Singh

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: Mercari, Lasertec, Nitori IN; Nippon Glass, Mitsui E&S, Matsui Sec OUT

The adds are broadly flat since announcement of the changes. The deletes are higher and short interest has continued to increase. The stocks with...

Brian Freitas

Seibu Giken IPO - Quick Note - Not Particularly Enticing

Seibu Giken (6223 JP) (SG) is looking to raise around US$93m in its Japan IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

FANUC Group's Q2 2023 results show a decrease in sales and operating income, mixed division performance.. Stock is trading at fair value but...