Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Longsys-Kingston JV delay and uncertain future of Shanghai plant sale causing concern in the semiconductor industry.</li><li>Kaynes SemiCon secures India's first paying OSAT customer, reaching a significant milestone in advanced semiconductor packaging.</li><li>Evalue sets ambitious goal to dominate Taiwan's EV charging market with 30% share by 2026, while AWS sparks cloud battle in SEA.</li></ul>

Longsys-Kingston JV delay and uncertain future of Shanghai plant sale causing concern in the semiconductor industry.Kaynes SemiCon secures India's first paying OSAT customer, reaching a significant milestone in advanced semiconductor packaging.Evalue sets ambitious goal to dominate Taiwan's EV charging market with 30% share by 2026, while AWS sparks cloud battle in SEA.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Aug-2024): Longsys-Kingston venture stalls, Shanghai sale uncertain.

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

CMES AI Robotics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>CMES AI Robotics is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in October. The expected IPO price is 20,000 won to 24,000 won. </li>
<li>CMES provides intelligent robot solutions that combine artificial intelligence (AI) and three-dimensional (3D) vision technology. CMES's core technologies include 3D vision sensors and image processing algorithms. </li>
<li>Robotics related IPOs have generated enormous interest in Korea. Although CMES is a small cap name, this robotics related IPO is also likely to garner high interest as well. </li>
</ul>


CMES AI Robotics is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in October. The expected IPO price is 20,000 won to 24,000 won. 
CMES provides intelligent robot solutions that combine artificial intelligence (AI) and three-dimensional (3D) vision technology. CMES's core technologies include 3D vision sensors and image processing algorithms. 
Robotics related IPOs have generated enormous interest in Korea. Although CMES is a small cap name, this robotics related IPO is also likely to garner high interest as well. 


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> September rebalance ended yesterday. There could be three changes at the rebalance with sector balance in focus for the additions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a>'s capping in the index has been confirmed and its index weight will drop by around 0.9% resulting in big selling at the close on 30 September. </li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy between 3.5-35x ADV (2.4%-24% of real float) on the inclusions and sell between 3.7-42.5x ADV on the deletions.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) September rebalance ended yesterday. There could be three changes at the rebalance with sector balance in focus for the additions.

Fast Retailing (9983 JP)'s capping in the index has been confirmed and its index weight will drop by around 0.9% resulting in big selling at the close on 30 September. 
Passive trackers will need to buy between 3.5-35x ADV (2.4%-24% of real float) on the inclusions and sell between 3.7-42.5x ADV on the deletions.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 2024): Review Period Done; Fast Retailing Capping Confirmed

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>Fanuc reported slightly better-than-expected Q1 sales and OP forecasts, mainly due to a recovery in sales of FA equipment</li>
<li>Fanuc's results are consistent with a bottoming out of Japan's machine tool orders in the first half of the year</li>
<li>We turn bullish on the stock given the cyclical bottoming out of orders and margins. However, the stock is still not "cheap" and the company faces a number of challenges</li>
</ul>


Fanuc reported slightly better-than-expected Q1 sales and OP forecasts, mainly due to a recovery in sales of FA equipment
Fanuc's results are consistent with a bottoming out of Japan's machine tool orders in the first half of the year
We turn bullish on the stock given the cyclical bottoming out of orders and margins. However, the stock is still not "cheap" and the company faces a number of challenges


Fanuc (6954) | Improved Orders and Margins Amid Long-Term Challenges

<ul>
<li>The review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 Index</a> September rebalance ends in three weeks. There could be three changes at the rebalance with sector balance used for the additions.</li>
<li>Depending on the changes, passive trackers will need to buy between 3-57x ADV (2.4%-24% of real float) on the inclusions and sell between 3.7-8.4x ADV on the deletions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a>'s index weight is currently higher than 10% and that will result in capping in September. Passives will need to sell 6x ADV in the stock.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the Nikkei 225 Index September rebalance ends in three weeks. There could be three changes at the rebalance with sector balance used for the additions.
Depending on the changes, passive trackers will need to buy between 3-57x ADV (2.4%-24% of real float) on the inclusions and sell between 3.7-8.4x ADV on the deletions.

Fast Retailing (9983 JP)'s index weight is currently higher than 10% and that will result in capping in September. Passives will need to sell 6x ADV in the stock.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 2024): Potential Adds/Deletes, Capping & Funding Changes

Japan

FANUC CORPORATION manufactures factory automation (FA) systems and equipments, and robots. The Company's products include computerized numerically-controlled (CNC) equipment, servo motors, laser systems, industrial robots, wire-cut electric discharge machines, and CNC drill.  Fanuc participates in a joint venture with General Electric in the FA field.

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Fanuc Corp (6954 JP)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Aug-2024): Longsys-Kingston venture stalls, Shanghai sale uncertain.

Longsys-Kingston JV delayed, Kaynes SemiCon secures India's first paying OSAT customer, Evalue targets Taiwan EV market dominance, AWS vs. cloud...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

CMES AI Robotics IPO Preview

CMES AI Robotics is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in October. CMES provides intelligent robot solutions that combine AI and three...

Douglas Kim

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 2024): Review Period Done; Fast Retailing Capping Confirmed

Review period ended yesterday. Fast Retailing's capping will result in a 0.9% drop in index weight. There could be 3 index changes with sector...

Brian Freitas

Fanuc (6954) | Improved Orders and Margins Amid Long-Term Challenges

Fanuc's Q1 results show improvement in sales and operating profit forecasts, underpinned by a turnaround in Japan's machine tool orders. Bullish...

Mark Chadwick

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 2024): Potential Adds/Deletes, Capping & Funding Changes

We forecast 3 changes for the NKY in September with sector balance determining the inclusions. Fast Retailing will be capped at 10%. Passives need...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Aug-2024): Longsys-Kingston venture stalls, Shanghai sale uncertain.

Longsys-Kingston JV delayed, Kaynes SemiCon secures India's first paying OSAT customer, Evalue targets Taiwan EV market dominance, AWS vs. cloud...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

CMES AI Robotics IPO Preview

CMES AI Robotics is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in October. CMES provides intelligent robot solutions that combine AI and three...

Douglas Kim

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 2024): Review Period Done; Fast Retailing Capping Confirmed

Review period ended yesterday. Fast Retailing's capping will result in a 0.9% drop in index weight. There could be 3 index changes with sector...

Brian Freitas

Fanuc (6954) | Improved Orders and Margins Amid Long-Term Challenges

​Fanuc's Q1 results show improvement in sales and operating profit forecasts, underpinned by a turnaround in Japan's machine tool orders. Bullish...

Mark Chadwick

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 2024): Potential Adds/Deletes, Capping & Funding Changes

We forecast 3 changes for the NKY in September with sector balance determining the inclusions. Fast Retailing will be capped at 10%. Passives need...

Brian Freitas

Fanuc's Q1 results show improvement in sales and operating profit forecasts, underpinned by a turnaround in Japan's machine tool orders. Bullish...