Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

At the beginning of the year, I wrote a piece called <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/baltic-dry-it-s-that-time-of-year-again" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:7951">Baltic Dry - It’s That Time of Year Again</a> suggesting...<blockquote>
Looking back at the first graph tells you so. Historically, we'd expect to trend downward from here. The last ten years have an average and median drop in the BDIY of 27% in the last 18 days of the Chinese Lunar New Year. 
It should not be a surprise to see such a move in the next 18 trading days. 
Likewise, it would not be a surprise to see a bounce afterward. 
</blockquote>That insight suggested that…

At the beginning of the year, I wrote a piece called Baltic Dry - It’s That Time of Year Again suggesting...
Looking back at the first graph tells you so. Historically, we'd expect to trend downward from here. The last ten years have an average and median drop in the BDIY of 27% in the last 18 days of the Chinese Lunar New Year. 
It should not be a surprise to see such a move in the next 18 trading days. 
Likewise, it would not be a surprise to see a bounce afterward. 
That insight suggested that…

Baltic Dry - Post CNY Bounce Pattern Intact (& Soybean Season Ahead)

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/business/companies/japan-moves-to-block-makino-machine-tool-takeover-on-security-concerns" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nikkei reported</a> that the Japanese government has advised MBK to halt its acquisition ‌of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a> on national security grounds.</li>
<li>This event sets a precedent and will increase the risk premium for foreign takeovers of Japanese companies in core business sectors. FEFTA approval can no longer be considered low-risk.</li>
<li>Due to a significant re-rating of peers/index and Makino’s upgraded forecasts since the offer announcement, the share price fall on a deal break is likely to be modest (&lt;10%). </li>
</ul>


The Nikkei reported that the Japanese government has advised MBK to halt its acquisition ‌of Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP) on national security grounds.
This event sets a precedent and will increase the risk premium for foreign takeovers of Japanese companies in core business sectors. FEFTA approval can no longer be considered low-risk.
Due to a significant re-rating of peers/index and Makino’s upgraded forecasts since the offer announcement, the share price fall on a deal break is likely to be modest (&lt;10%). 


Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Precedent Set as FEFTA Approval Is Rumoured to Be Not Forthcoming

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd-8806deaf-04c9-4411-b1ee-92e813b9c5e0" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45955:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK)</a>, raised around US$2bn in its H-share listing. The lockup on its cornerstone investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK), raised around US$2bn in its H-share listing. The lockup on its cornerstone investors is set to expire soon.
Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Sany Heavy Industries A/H Lockup Expiry - US$800m Lockup Release

Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

In this first of a series of articles examining the FashionTech scene in Japan, Euromonitor International looks at BtoB start-up companies operating in manufacturing and their impact on the Japanese apparel and footwear market. Japanese apparel and footwear market is set to shrink

In this first of a series of articles examining the FashionTech scene in Japan, Euromonitor International looks at BtoB start-up companies operating in manufacturing and their impact on the Japanese apparel and footwear market. Japanese apparel and footwear market is set to shrink 

Can Tech Save The Declining Japanese Apparel Industry? FashionTech Series (1/3)

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

China’s Ban on North Korean Coal Imports to Aid Sea Borne Trade News over the weekend that China will stop importing coal from North Korea will be both short-medium term positive for seaborne coal demand and in turn support the dry bulk market. Please see Douglas Kim's take to understand the politics behind the decision. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/no-coal-exports-from-north-korea-to-china-in-2017-turning-off-the-money-spigot-to-north-korea" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:8882">No Coal Exports from North Korea to China in 2017 - Turning Off the Money Spigot to North Korea?</a>After the United Nations Security Council passed a resolution to toughen…

China’s Ban on North Korean Coal Imports to Aid Sea Borne Trade News over the weekend that China will stop importing coal from North Korea will be both short-medium term positive for seaborne coal demand and in turn support the dry bulk market. Please see Douglas Kim's take to understand the politics behind the decision. No Coal Exports from North Korea to China in 2017 - Turning Off the Money Spigot to North Korea?After the United Nations Security Council passed a resolution to toughen…

China's Ban on North Korean Coal Imports to Aid Sea Borne Trade

Japan

FANUC CORPORATION manufactures factory automation (FA) systems and equipments, and robots. The Company's products include computerized numerically-controlled (CNC) equipment, servo motors, laser systems, industrial robots, wire-cut electric discharge machines, and CNC drill.  Fanuc participates in a joint venture with General Electric in the FA field.

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Fanuc Corp (6954 JP)

Baltic Dry - Post CNY Bounce Pattern Intact (& Soybean Season Ahead)

At the beginning of the year, I wrote a piece called Baltic Dry - It’s That Time of Year Again suggesting... Looking back at the first graph tells...

Travis Lundy

Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Precedent Set as FEFTA Approval Is Rumoured to Be Not Forthcoming

FEFTA-related deal break is rare. Due to a significant re-rating of peers/index and upgraded forecasts since the offer announcement, the share...

Arun George

Sany Heavy Industries A/H Lockup Expiry - US$800m Lockup Release

Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK), raised around US$2bn in its H-share listing. The lockup on its cornerstone investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Can Tech Save The Declining Japanese Apparel Industry? FashionTech Series (1/3)

In this first of a series of articles examining the FashionTech scene in Japan, Euromonitor International looks at BtoB start-up companies...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

China's Ban on North Korean Coal Imports to Aid Sea Borne Trade

China’s Ban on North Korean Coal Imports to Aid Sea Borne Trade News over the weekend that China will stop importing coal from North Korea will be...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

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