Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities across three markets and three sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities across three markets and three sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (3 Nov)

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) / Technical Analysis

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) (8306 JP)

<ul>
<li>Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass). We also remain near-term bullish on MSCI ACWI (since our April 23, 2026 Int’l Compass).</li>
<li>With that said, the market is going through a short-term consolidation; the first clue was that a bullish gap finally got filled at $156-$157.20 on ACWI-US.</li>
<li>We've maintained that pullbacks to the 50-day MA on ACWI-US would be infrequent (~once every 1-2 months), but that they'd be buying opportunities, and that's what we believe is happening.</li>
</ul>


Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass). We also remain near-term bullish on MSCI ACWI (since our April 23, 2026 Int’l Compass).
With that said, the market is going through a short-term consolidation; the first clue was that a bullish gap finally got filled at $156-$157.20 on ACWI-US.
We've maintained that pullbacks to the 50-day MA on ACWI-US would be infrequent (~once every 1-2 months), but that they'd be buying opportunities, and that's what we believe is happening.


Looking Outside of Technology/A.I. Themes; Korea and Taiwan Likely to Consolidate?

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Japan fashion e-commerce sector continues to grow at a pace that outstrips the broader fashion market.</li>
<li>But the gains are increasingly concentrated among a small group of operators that have mastered omnichannel, staff-driven social media, and loyalty marketing and capture</li>
<li>At the same time, smaller, mall-dependent players face mounting pressure and anaemic profits. A full sector review with rankings.</li>
</ul>


The Japan fashion e-commerce sector continues to grow at a pace that outstrips the broader fashion market.
But the gains are increasingly concentrated among a small group of operators that have mastered omnichannel, staff-driven social media, and loyalty marketing and capture
At the same time, smaller, mall-dependent players face mounting pressure and anaemic profits. A full sector review with rankings.


Japan Fashion E-Commerce: Growth but More Divergence

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

<ul><li>We recommend taking profit on UNIQLO80 with a return of 17.5%, following a strong share price rally after better-than-expected results.</li><li>Management also provided a positive outlook, noting that cost pressures from the Middle East situation remain limited.</li><li>At the same time, we recommend opening positions in AMD80, ASML01, and GOOG80, which are DRs linked to leading global technology stocks.</li></ul>

We recommend taking profit on UNIQLO80 with a return of 17.5%, following a strong share price rally after better-than-expected results.Management also provided a positive outlook, noting that cost pressures from the Middle East situation remain limited.At the same time, we recommend opening positions in AMD80, ASML01, and GOOG80, which are DRs linked to leading global technology stocks.

KTX TACTICAL DR PICKS - April 16, 2026 (Eng.)

<ul><li>Recommendation to open investment positions in AMZN80 and AVGO80, which are Depositary Receipts (DRs) tracking leading U.S. technology stocks.</li><li>The KTX Tactical DR Port recorded an average total return decrease of -0.12% amid uncertainty regarding a ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran.</li><li>Based on our analysis using the KTX Baht Tracker, the baht has depreciated to an overly weak level.</li></ul>

Recommendation to open investment positions in AMZN80 and AVGO80, which are Depositary Receipts (DRs) tracking leading U.S. technology stocks.The KTX Tactical DR Port recorded an average total return decrease of -0.12% amid uncertainty regarding a ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran.Based on our analysis using the KTX Baht Tracker, the baht has depreciated to an overly weak level.

KTX Tactical DR Picks - April 10, 2026 (Eng.)

Japan

FAST RETAILING CO., LTD. operates a chain of clothing stores, UNIQLO, throughout Japan and in other markets overseas including UK, China, Hong Kong, South Korea, US, France, Singapore and Russia.  The Company designs, manufactures, and retails its own line of casual clothing.

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Fast Retailing (9983 JP)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (3 Nov)

Statistical methodology identifies ten pair trade opportunities across three markets and three sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Looking Outside of Technology/A.I. Themes; Korea and Taiwan Likely to Consolidate?

Looking Outside of Technology/A.I. Themes; Korea and Taiwan Likely to Consolidate? Normal Pullback to 50-day MA on $ACWI. Bullish Outlook Intact

Vermilion Research

Japan Fashion E-Commerce: Growth but More Divergence

Japan's fashion e-commerce sector is booming, but success is concentrated among a few operators utilizing omnichannel strategies, while smaller...

Michael Causton

KTX TACTICAL DR PICKS - April 16, 2026 (Eng.)

We recommend taking profit on UNIQLO80 with a return of 17.5%, following a strong share price rally after better-than-expected results.

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Tactical DR Picks - April 10, 2026 (Eng.)

Recommendation to open investment positions in AMZN80 and AVGO80, which are Depositary Receipts (DRs) tracking leading U.S. technology stocks.

Krungthai XSpring

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (3 Nov)

​Statistical methodology identifies ten pair trade opportunities across three markets and three sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Looking Outside of Technology/A.I. Themes; Korea and Taiwan Likely to Consolidate?

Looking Outside of Technology/A.I. Themes; Korea and Taiwan Likely to Consolidate? Normal Pullback to 50-day MA on $ACWI. Bullish Outlook Intact

Vermilion Research

Japan Fashion E-Commerce: Growth but More Divergence

​Japan's fashion e-commerce sector is booming, but success is concentrated among a few operators utilizing omnichannel strategies, while smaller...

Michael Causton

KTX TACTICAL DR PICKS - April 16, 2026 (Eng.)

We recommend taking profit on UNIQLO80 with a return of 17.5%, following a strong share price rally after better-than-expected results.

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Tactical DR Picks - April 10, 2026 (Eng.)

Recommendation to open investment positions in AMZN80 and AVGO80, which are Depositary Receipts (DRs) tracking leading U.S. technology stocks.

Krungthai XSpring

Statistical methodology identifies ten pair trade opportunities across three markets and three sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Japan's fashion e-commerce sector is booming, but success is concentrated among a few operators utilizing omnichannel strategies, while smaller...