Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 6 companies that listed in October 2025 where the lock-up for cornerstone investors ends in the next 5 weeks.</li>
<li>The total lock-up expiry across companies is HK$12.6bn (US$1.6bn) with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd-8806deaf-04c9-4411-b1ee-92e813b9c5e0" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45955:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jst-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39885:1" rel="noopener">JST Group (6687 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cig-shanghai-co-ltd-55f0be8f-8288-4e62-96ac-7bbd6c760e02" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46336:1" rel="noopener">CIG Shanghai (6166 HK)</a> making up the bulk of it.</li>
<li>The cornerstone investor lock-up expiry will increase the number of free float shares between 11-424% and some of the stocks could come under pressure ahead of the expiry.</li>
</ul>


There are 6 companies that listed in October 2025 where the lock-up for cornerstone investors ends in the next 5 weeks.
The total lock-up expiry across companies is HK$12.6bn (US$1.6bn) with Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK), JST Group (6687 HK) and CIG Shanghai (6166 HK) making up the bulk of it.
The cornerstone investor lock-up expiry will increase the number of free float shares between 11-424% and some of the stocks could come under pressure ahead of the expiry.


HK: Cornerstone/Pre-IPO Lock-Up Expiries in April

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, DZT Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 179 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 69.0% as of Mar 20th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.2ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, financials, energy and offset by materials, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CATL, China Longyuan Power, Yankuang Energy, Shenzhen Woer Heat, CIMC, Anhui Conch Cement.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 179 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 69.0% as of Mar 20th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.2ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, financials, energy and offset by materials, real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CATL, China Longyuan Power, Yankuang Energy, Shenzhen Woer Heat, CIMC, Anhui Conch Cement.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 20th): CATL, China Longyuan Power, Yankuang Energy, Shenzhen Woer Heat, CIMC

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Delton Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delton-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47605:1" rel="noopener">Delton Technology (1989 HK)</a>'s H-share IPO at HK$71.88 appears undemanding, given it translates into 17.3x FY26 PER, a steep discount to the global average of 34.2x. </li>
<li>The 47.3% discount to its A-share <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delton-technology-guangzhou-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45470:1" rel="noopener">Delton Technology Guangzhou (001389 CH)</a> also makes it stand out against those IPOed since 2025 with similar current HA discounts. </li>
<li>Assuming a 30-40% discount to global peers, the stock is worth HK$84.75-98.90, suggesting decent upside from the IPO price.</li>
</ul>



Delton Technology (1989 HK)'s H-share IPO at HK$71.88 appears undemanding, given it translates into 17.3x FY26 PER, a steep discount to the global average of 34.2x. 
The 47.3% discount to its A-share Delton Technology Guangzhou (001389 CH) also makes it stand out against those IPOed since 2025 with similar current HA discounts. 
Assuming a 30-40% discount to global peers, the stock is worth HK$84.75-98.90, suggesting decent upside from the IPO price.


Delton Technology (1989 HK) IPO: Pricing Is Not Demanding

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Contemporary Amperex Technology / Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)

<ul>
<li>With over 27 A/H listings since the start of 2025, we look back at some of the trends from the recent listings.</li>
<li>In this note, we will also talk about how the A/H premiums have moved since our last note in July 2025.</li>
<li>Overall, A/H listings since 2025 have reversed the trend of past A/H listings not doing much in the near term, with a few exceptions. </li>
</ul>


With over 27 A/H listings since the start of 2025, we look back at some of the trends from the recent listings.
In this note, we will also talk about how the A/H premiums have moved since our last note in July 2025.
Overall, A/H listings since 2025 have reversed the trend of past A/H listings not doing much in the near term, with a few exceptions. 


Aequitas: A/H Premiums and 27 Deals Performance-Better Returns, Some Premium & Coverage Correlation

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 176 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 67.7% as of Mar 6th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.0ppt week-on-week, led by materials, energy, financials and offset by communication services, utilities, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Sinopec, COSCO Shipping Energy, China Coal Energy, CNOOC, China Oilfield Services, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 176 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 67.7% as of Mar 6th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.0ppt week-on-week, led by materials, energy, financials and offset by communication services, utilities, health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Sinopec, COSCO Shipping Energy, China Coal Energy, CNOOC, China Oilfield Services, BYD.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 6th): Sinopec, COSCO Shipping Energy, China Coal Energy, CNOOC

China

Fibocom Wireless is a global leader in wireless communication modules and AI solutions, providing integrated hardware and software solutions that empower industry applications. The company offers a range of products including 5G, LTE, smart, Wi-Fi, AI, automotive, and GNSS modules, as well as AI and robot solutions. Fibocom Wireless was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Fibocom Wireless (638 HK)

HK: Cornerstone/Pre-IPO Lock-Up Expiries in April

There are 6 companies that listed in Oct where the lock-up for cornerstone investors ends in April. JST has a pre-IPO expiry too. The total lock-up...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 20th): CATL, China Longyuan Power, Yankuang Energy, Shenzhen Woer Heat, CIMC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CATL, China Longyuan Power, Yankuang Energy, Shenzhen Woer...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Delton Technology (1989 HK) IPO: Pricing Is Not Demanding

Delton Technology's H-share IPO at HK$71.88 is undemanding at 17.3x FY26F PER, implying a steep discount to global averages, offering potential...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Aequitas: A/H Premiums and 27 Deals Performance-Better Returns, Some Premium & Coverage Correlation

With over 27 A/H listings since the start of 2025, we look back at some of the trends from the recent listings including returns, premiums and...

Sumeet Singh

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 6th): Sinopec, COSCO Shipping Energy, China Coal Energy, CNOOC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Sinopec, COSCO Shipping Energy, China Coal Energy, CNOOC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK: Cornerstone/Pre-IPO Lock-Up Expiries in April

There are 6 companies that listed in Oct where the lock-up for cornerstone investors ends in April. JST has a pre-IPO expiry too. The total lock-up...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 20th): CATL, China Longyuan Power, Yankuang Energy, Shenzhen Woer Heat, CIMC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CATL, China Longyuan Power, Yankuang Energy, Shenzhen Woer...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Delton Technology (1989 HK) IPO: Pricing Is Not Demanding

​Delton Technology's H-share IPO at HK$71.88 is undemanding at 17.3x FY26F PER, implying a steep discount to global averages, offering potential...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Aequitas: A/H Premiums and 27 Deals Performance-Better Returns, Some Premium & Coverage Correlation

With over 27 A/H listings since the start of 2025, we look back at some of the trends from the recent listings including returns, premiums and...

Sumeet Singh

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 6th): Sinopec, COSCO Shipping Energy, China Coal Energy, CNOOC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Sinopec, COSCO Shipping Energy, China Coal Energy, CNOOC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Delton Technology's H-share IPO at HK$71.88 is undemanding at 17.3x FY26F PER, implying a steep discount to global averages, offering potential...