Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

We continue to move increasingly toward the bullish camp and we believe equities are poised for higher prices moving forward. In today’s report we outline our bullish case and highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Financials, Services, Technology and Manufacturing: Credit Card Issuers, Education Services, China, Solar Energy, and Industrial Rental Equipment.

We continue to move increasingly toward the bullish camp and we believe equities are poised for higher prices moving forward. In today’s report we outline our bullish case and highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Financials, Services, Technology and Manufacturing: Credit Card Issuers, Education Services, China, Solar Energy, and Industrial Rental Equipment.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Cap-Weighted Communications to Overweight

Technology is our favorite Sector within the U.S. equity landscape, and remains leadership – 73% of our Tech Groups are in the top 33% in terms of our Relative Strength Rankings (RSRs). Internally, semis and semi-suppliers continue to outperform and many names have pulled back to offer attractive entry points. In this report we highlight our favorite setups within the U.S. Technology Sector.

Technology is our favorite Sector within the U.S. equity landscape, and remains leadership – 73% of our Tech Groups are in the top 33% in terms of our Relative Strength Rankings (RSRs). Internally, semis and semi-suppliers continue to outperform and many names have pulled back to offer attractive entry points. In this report we highlight our favorite setups within the U.S. Technology Sector. 

The S&amp;P 500 continues to hover below critical resistance at its 200-day moving average while market participants remain in a wait-and-see mode for new developments on U.S.-China trade and details on the latest border security proposal. At the same time, breadth improvements have extended to our Manufacturing Sector - a welcomed sight given its cyclical nature.  We are Upgrading Manufacturing to market weight from underweight. Our cap-weighted Manufacturing Sector has steadily improved in our RSR ranks due in large part to strength in Aerospace &amp; Defense Groups. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups within Manufacturing and Technology..

The S&amp;P 500 continues to hover below critical resistance at its 200-day moving average while market participants remain in a wait-and-see mode for new developments on U.S.-China trade and details on the latest border security proposal. At the same time, breadth improvements have extended to our Manufacturing Sector - a welcomed sight given its cyclical nature.  We are Upgrading Manufacturing to market weight from underweight. Our cap-weighted Manufacturing Sector has steadily improved in our RSR ranks due in large part to strength in Aerospace &amp; Defense Groups. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups within Manufacturing and Technology..

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Manufacturing Sector

Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>I’ve been a cyclical bull on crude oil and the global energy sector, but the longer-term transition toward a renewables led and distributed power generation model is gaining momentum.</li>
<li>Onshore wind and solar are now the cheapest forms of new electricity generation in the US, with the DOE forecasting their unsubsidized levelized cost of energy at or below 2.5 cents/kWh.</li>
<li>Wind and solar costs have fallen so dramatically that in many markets they are now half the cost per MW hour of large-scale new…</li>
</ul>


I’ve been a cyclical bull on crude oil and the global energy sector, but the longer-term transition toward a renewables led and distributed power generation model is gaining momentum.
Onshore wind and solar are now the cheapest forms of new electricity generation in the US, with the DOE forecasting their unsubsidized levelized cost of energy at or below 2.5 cents/kWh.
Wind and solar costs have fallen so dramatically that in many markets they are now half the cost per MW hour of large-scale new…


Energy Rally Accelerates, But So Does Renewables Threat...

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>First Solar's second-quarter results for 2025 showcase both achievements and challenges.</li><li>The company reported module sales of 3.6 gigawatts, surpassing previous forecasts, and earnings per share of $3.18, exceeding guidance.</li><li>This reflects an effective operational performance, with 4.2 gigawatts produced during the quarter, including 2.4 gigawatts from U.S. facilities, which highlights the benefits of the Inflation Reduction Act 2022 and related domestic policies.</li></ul>

First Solar's second-quarter results for 2025 showcase both achievements and challenges.The company reported module sales of 3.6 gigawatts, surpassing previous forecasts, and earnings per share of $3.18, exceeding guidance.This reflects an effective operational performance, with 4.2 gigawatts produced during the quarter, including 2.4 gigawatts from U.S. facilities, which highlights the benefits of the Inflation Reduction Act 2022 and related domestic policies.

First Solar Raises International Module Guidance – But Is the Risk Worth the Reward?

United States

First Solar, Inc. designs and manufactures solar modules.  The Company uses a thin film semiconductor technology to manufacture electricity-producing solar modules.

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First Solar Inc (FSLR US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Cap-Weighted Communications to Overweight

We continue to move increasingly toward the bullish camp and we believe equities are poised for higher prices moving forward. In today’s report we...

Vermilion Research

Opportunities in U.S. Technology Sector

Technology is our favorite Sector within the U.S. equity landscape, and remains leadership – 73% of our Tech Groups are in the top 33% in terms of...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Manufacturing Sector

The S&P 500 continues to hover below critical resistance at its 200-day moving average while market participants remain in a wait-and-see mode...

Vermilion Research

Energy Rally Accelerates, But So Does Renewables Threat...

I’ve been a cyclical bull on crude oil and the global energy sector, but the longer-term transition toward a renewables led and distributed power...

Sean Maher

First Solar Raises International Module Guidance – But Is the Risk Worth the Reward?

First Solar's second-quarter results for 2025 showcase both achievements and challenges. The company reported module sales of 3.6 gigawatts,...

Baptista Research

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