Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Chinasoft International / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).</li>
<li>We continue to expect four index changes for March 2026 and we estimate there to be capping flows making one-way flows US$205mn.</li>
<li>The index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 13th February 2026.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).
We continue to expect four index changes for March 2026 and we estimate there to be capping flows making one-way flows US$205mn.
The index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 13th February 2026.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Mar26: Announcement Next Week; 4 Changes Likely

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at potential index changes and capping flows for HSIII index rebal event in March 2026.</li>
<li>Based on the latest data, we see four index changes for March 2026 with one-way flow of around US$230mn.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).
In this insight, we take a look at potential index changes and capping flows for HSIII index rebal event in March 2026.
Based on the latest data, we see four index changes for March 2026 with one-way flow of around US$230mn.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Mar26: Final Ranks; 4 Changes Expected

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Following the methodology update for the HSIII Index, there could be up to 5 constituent changes in December.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 12.8% and that will result in a round-trip trade of HK$9.8bn (US$1.25bn).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi (1810 HK)</a> is the biggest beneficiary of the new methodology while there will be large funding outflows for a lot of the current index constituents.</li>
</ul>


Following the methodology update for the HSIII Index, there could be up to 5 constituent changes in December.
Estimated one-way turnover is 12.8% and that will result in a round-trip trade of HK$9.8bn (US$1.25bn).

Xiaomi (1810 HK) is the biggest beneficiary of the new methodology while there will be large funding outflows for a lot of the current index constituents.


Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Methodology Change Leads to US$1.25bn Trade

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Apple’s (AAPL US, NR) FY4Q25 (CY3Q25) results were solid, with revenue growth of 8% YoY and adjusted EPS growth of 13% YoY, driven by iPhone/Mac sales (+6%/13% YoY) and record Service revenue (+15% YoY), offsetting weakness in Greater China (-4% YoY) due to supply constraints on strong iPhone 16/17 demand.</li><li>For FY1Q26E (CY4Q25E), mgmt. guided for 10-12% YoY revenue growth, double-digit iPhone revenue growth and resilient GPM of 47-48%, which includes US$1.4bn tariff impact (vs US$1.1bn in 4Q).</li><li>We believe this set of robust guidance should alleviate market concerns, especially given ongoing supply constraints for iPhone 17 and reduction in channel inventories QoQ. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Apple’s (AAPL US, NR) FY4Q25 (CY3Q25) results were solid, with revenue growth of 8% YoY and adjusted EPS growth of 13% YoY, driven by iPhone/Mac sales (+6%/13% YoY) and record Service revenue (+15% YoY), offsetting weakness in Greater China (-4% YoY) due to supply constraints on strong iPhone 16/17 demand.For FY1Q26E (CY4Q25E), mgmt. guided for 10-12% YoY revenue growth, double-digit iPhone revenue growth and resilient GPM of 47-48%, which includes US$1.4bn tariff impact (vs US$1.1bn in 4Q).We believe this set of robust guidance should alleviate market concerns, especially given ongoing supply constraints for iPhone 17 and reduction in channel inventories QoQ. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - Apple FY4Q25 Read-Through: Resilient IPhone/Services Momentum...

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 26th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Shandong Hi-Speed, Meituan, Tencent, China Mobile, CSPC Pharma, China Telecom, HKEx, Hua Hong Semiconductor.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 26th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Shandong Hi-Speed, Meituan, Tencent, China Mobile, CSPC Pharma, China Telecom, HKEx, Hua Hong Semiconductor.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 26th): Alibaba, Shandong Hi-Speed, Meituan, Tencent, China Mobile

Taiwan

FIT Hon Teng Limited designs, develops, produces, and sells interconnect solutions and related products, including electronic and optoelectronic connectors, antennas, acoustic components, cables, and modules. The company serves industries such as communications infrastructure, consumer electronics, mobile devices, automotive, industrial, and medical. It was established in 2013 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.

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FIT Hon Teng (6088 HK)

Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Mar26: Announcement Next Week; 4 Changes Likely

Couple of the expected DELs have more than 1x ADV to sell. NetEase (9999 HK) and Xiaomi (1810 HK) have ~US$62mn and ~US$72mn net inflows expected...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Mar26: Final Ranks; 4 Changes Expected

The top two expected inflow names and the top two expected outflow names have more than 1x ADV to trade. The flow expectations can change until the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Methodology Change Leads to US$1.25bn Trade

The methodology update could result in 5 changes in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 12.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$1.25bn. There...

Brian Freitas

Technology - Apple FY4Q25 Read-Through: Resilient IPhone/Services Momentum...

Apple’s (AAPL US, NR) FY4Q25 (CY3Q25) results were solid, with revenue growth of 8% YoY and adjusted EPS growth of 13% YoY, driven by iPhone/Mac...

CMB International

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 26th): Alibaba, Shandong Hi-Speed, Meituan, Tencent, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba (9988 HK), Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK), Meituan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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