Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Last week we noted some deterioration in market dynamics, all while reiterating our overall constructive outlook looking weeks and months ahead. The fact is, “perfectly bullish” conditions rarely exist, and a weight of the evidence approach is necessary. To that end, the positives continue to outweigh the negatives and our outlook remains constructive.

Last week we noted some deterioration in market dynamics, all while reiterating our overall constructive outlook looking weeks and months ahead. The fact is, “perfectly bullish” conditions rarely exist, and a weight of the evidence approach is necessary. To that end, the positives continue to outweigh the negatives and our outlook remains constructive.

Yesterday’s break below 3425 short-term support in the S&amp;P 500 opens the door for potential visits to 3325 and 3200, two important support levels we are watching moving forward. With that said, as long as 3200 holds (the September lows) we are constructive and would be buyers on a pullback. At the same time, small-caps are providing a risk-on signal with the Russell 2000 (IWM) still holding above $159 short-term support. Leadership from small-caps is something we would expect to see in a broad-based bull market, and if IWM is above $159 it is hard to get too bearish overall.

Yesterday’s break below 3425 short-term support in the S&amp;P 500 opens the door for potential visits to 3325 and 3200, two important support levels we are watching moving forward. With that said, as long as 3200 holds (the September lows) we are constructive and would be buyers on a pullback. At the same time, small-caps are providing a risk-on signal with the Russell 2000 (IWM) still holding above $159 short-term support. Leadership from small-caps is something we would expect to see in a broad-based bull market, and if IWM is above $159 it is hard to get too bearish overall.

The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 are all holding above their respective short-term support levels and market dynamics remain positive. As a result, our outlook remains bullish and we continue to believe a “buy the dip” mentality is warranted. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Services, Transportation, &amp; Utilities: Construction &amp; Engineering, Large-Cap, Auctions, Vehicle Rentals/Leasing, Electric, Southwest

The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 are all holding above their respective short-term support levels and market dynamics remain positive. As a result, our outlook remains bullish and we continue to believe a “buy the dip” mentality is warranted. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Services, Transportation, &amp; Utilities: Construction &amp; Engineering, Large-Cap, Auctions, Vehicle Rentals/Leasing, Electric, Southwest

U. S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Utilities; Downgrading Communications

Global energy equity and oil & gas macro analyst

Anish Kapadia

Akap Energy

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exxon-mobil-corp" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:811:1">Exxon Mobil (XOM US)</a> and partners awarded the key contracts for the Rovuma LNG project in Mozambique, which makes the project's sanction almost certain. Despite this, it delayed the final investment decision (FID) until next year. Another bumper set of contract awards are going to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technipfmc-plc" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27505:1">TechnipFMC PLC (FTI FP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jgc-corp" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19335:1">Jgc Corp (1963 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fluor-corp" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1769:1">Fluor Corp (FLR US)</a>. Yet another positive for the LNG contractor market.

Exxon Mobil (XOM US) and partners awarded the key contracts for the Rovuma LNG project in Mozambique, which makes the project's sanction almost certain. Despite this, it delayed the final investment decision (FID) until next year. Another bumper set of contract awards are going to TechnipFMC PLC (FTI FP), Jgc Corp (1963 JP) and Fluor Corp (FLR US). Yet another positive for the LNG contractor market. 

Exxon's Mozambique LNG Project Awards Service Contracts but FID Slips into 2020

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mcdermott-intl-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17524:1" rel="noopener">Mcdermott Intl (MDR US)</a> is down 73% over the course of two days following news that it had hired Alix Partners who are renowned as a turnaround advisor. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chiyoda-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6232:1" rel="noopener">Chiyoda Corp (6366 JP)</a> is also down 6.4% since the news broke after having fallen as much as 14.5% at one point yesterday. We spoke to the company and analyse the potential impact of a McDermott bankruptcy below.

Mcdermott Intl (MDR US) is down 73% over the course of two days following news that it had hired Alix Partners who are renowned as a turnaround advisor. Chiyoda Corp (6366 JP) is also down 6.4% since the news broke after having fallen as much as 14.5% at one point yesterday. We spoke to the company and analyse the potential impact of a McDermott bankruptcy below.

Chiyoda: McDermott Troubles Hurt Sentiment but May Have Limited Direct Impact

United States

Fluor Corporation is a professional services company. The Company provides engineering, procurement, construction and maintenance as well as project management services on a global basis. Fluor also provides outsourcing of maintenance services and asset operations, equipment rental and sales, business support services, and other services.

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Fluor Corp (FLR US)

Breakaway Gaps In Place

Market dynamics are not perfect, but the fact is that “perfectly bullish” conditions rarely exist. The positives continue to outweigh the negatives...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Market Sending Mixed Signals

In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Materials, Health Care, & Services

Vermilion Research

U. S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Utilities; Downgrading Communications

We are upgrading Utilities and downgrading Communications. We recap important technical levels across major indexes and share actionable ideas...

Vermilion Research

Exxon's Mozambique LNG Project Awards Service Contracts but FID Slips into 2020

Exxon Mobil (XOM US) and partners awarded the key contracts for the Rovuma LNG project in Mozambique, which makes the project's sanction almost...

Anish Kapadia

Chiyoda: McDermott Troubles Hurt Sentiment but May Have Limited Direct Impact

Mcdermott Intl (MDR US) is down 73% over the course of two days following news that it had hired Alix Partners who are renowned as a turnaround...

Mio Kato

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