Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Our base case continues to be for near-term consolidation while the market determines the implications of states’ reopening (i.e., the “wait-and-see” phase). Until this consolidation period resolves below support or above resistance we are maintaining a relatively neutral stance considering the wide range of outcomes. Many major indexes are testing logical resistance and until we see breakouts it is hard to get too bullish. In this report we highlight attractive stocks from a RS perspective.

Our base case continues to be for near-term consolidation while the market determines the implications of states’ reopening (i.e., the “wait-and-see” phase). Until this consolidation period resolves below support or above resistance we are maintaining a relatively neutral stance considering the wide range of outcomes. Many major indexes are testing logical resistance and until we see breakouts it is hard to get too bullish. In this report we highlight attractive stocks from a RS perspective.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Round Trip Back To Resistance

Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Recently, MCorp Review listened to a talk by E8 Consulting on open source and its applications in building fintech platforms and developing investing strategies and found it quite interesting. Firstly, they defined open source and explained why it was so useful. Typically, open source is free and bound by certain license terms; it allows various users to change the source code and develop commercial applications for it. Probably, the best example of this is how Bloomberg terminals, a highly…

Recently, MCorp Review listened to a talk by E8 Consulting on open source and its applications in building fintech platforms and developing investing strategies and found it quite interesting. Firstly, they defined open source and explained why it was so useful. Typically, open source is free and bound by certain license terms; it allows various users to change the source code and develop commercial applications for it. Probably, the best example of this is how Bloomberg terminals, a highly…

Over the next five years, a lot of things will continue to change. In this review, we highlight five possible trends and two Thai stocks each that would benefit (or be adversely affected) by them, namely: 1) an ageing society; 2) higher concentration of wealth; 3) driverless cars for ride hailing; 4) increasing fintech adoption by incumbents; and 5) a decline in both labor cost and commodity prices.We may have discussed most of these themes before, though we've never put them in one place. As they say in investing, gotta watch where the puck is going, not where it is.

Over the next five years, a lot of things will continue to change. In this review, we highlight five possible trends and two Thai stocks each that would benefit (or be adversely affected) by them, namely: 1) an ageing society; 2) higher concentration of wealth; 3) driverless cars for ride hailing; 4) increasing fintech adoption by incumbents; and 5) a decline in both labor cost and commodity prices.We may have discussed most of these themes before, though we've never put them in one place. As they say in investing, gotta watch where the puck is going, not where it is.

During the weekend, we attended a presentation by Vacharapong Potjaneenont, who is Manager for Strategy &amp; Business Development of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/214" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:214:1">Siam Commercial Bank Pub Co (SCB TB)</a>, and we found it pretty interesting. Basically, his view is that fintech has been around since the 50s, and in his view, we are on the third wave...There's something with the number three. I recall someone else (maybe Microsoft CEO Nadella) saying we are on the third Industrial or Digital Revolution. Well, let's just indulge the…

During the weekend, we attended a presentation by Vacharapong Potjaneenont, who is Manager for Strategy &amp; Business Development of Siam Commercial Bank Pub Co (SCB TB), and we found it pretty interesting. Basically, his view is that fintech has been around since the 50s, and in his view, we are on the third wave...There's something with the number three. I recall someone else (maybe Microsoft CEO Nadella) saying we are on the third Industrial or Digital Revolution. Well, let's just indulge the…

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

Bangkok Dusit Medical Services / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,436/1,432 points and the resistance at 1,451/1,455 points (10/25-day EMA).</li><li>The MSCI Quarterly Review will impact closing prices today for the first day.</li><li>KTX has downgraded our short-term outlook on the SET Index due to increasing risk factors.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,436/1,432 points and the resistance at 1,451/1,455 points (10/25-day EMA).The MSCI Quarterly Review will impact closing prices today for the first day.KTX has downgraded our short-term outlook on the SET Index due to increasing risk factors.

MSCI Rebalancing to Impact Closing Prices Today & Weekly Strategy

Thailand

Forth Smart Service Public Company Limited provides electronic payment innovations and integrated financial services in Thailand through automated payment machines, cashier counters, and payment systems under the 'Boonterm' trademark. The company also offers nano finance, personal loans, and payment services via 'GINKA Charge Point' electric vehicle charging stations. It was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

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Forth Smart Service (FSMART TB)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Round Trip Back To Resistance

Our base case continues to be for near-term consolidation while the market determines the implications of states’ reopening (i.e., the...

Vermilion Research

EB on Open Source & Investing

Recently, MCorp Review listened to a talk by E8 Consulting on open source and its applications in building fintech platforms and developing...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Five Big Ideas for the Next Five Years

Over the next five years, a lot of things will continue to change. In this review, we highlight five possible trends and two Thai stocks each that...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Silicon Sequel: SCB on Fintech

During the weekend, we attended a presentation by Vacharapong Potjaneenont, who is Manager for Strategy & Business Development of Siam...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

MSCI Rebalancing to Impact Closing Prices Today & Weekly Strategy

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,436/1,432 points and the resistance at 1,451/1,455 points...

Krungthai XSpring

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)