HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Eastroc Beverage / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eastroc-beverage-group-co-ltd-f3283290-a611-4cb4-8857-93101786e283" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45048:1" rel="noopener">Eastroc Beverage Group (9980 HK)</a> has a solid growth outlook with a 3-year EPS CAGR of 27.8%, given its leadership position in China's functional beverage market. </li>
<li>Its IPO price of HK$248 equals 20.4x FY26F PER. This is at 44% premium to the sector and 19% discount to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nongfu-spring-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28955:1" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring (9633 HK)</a>, which is justified. </li>
<li>The cap and the floor is 5% and 15% discount to the A-share, i.e. HK$239-265.1, implying a 7% upside and 4% downside. The IPO (11.2% discount) is fairly priced.</li>
</ul>



Eastroc Beverage Group (9980 HK) has a solid growth outlook with a 3-year EPS CAGR of 27.8%, given its leadership position in China's functional beverage market. 
Its IPO price of HK$248 equals 20.4x FY26F PER. This is at 44% premium to the sector and 19% discount to Nongfu Spring (9633 HK), which is justified. 
The cap and the floor is 5% and 15% discount to the A-share, i.e. HK$239-265.1, implying a 7% upside and 4% downside. The IPO (11.2% discount) is fairly priced.


Eastroc Beverage (9980 HK) IPO: Close to Fairly Priced

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eastroc-beverage-group-co-ltd-f3283290-a611-4cb4-8857-93101786e283" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45048:1" rel="noopener">Eastroc Beverage Group (9980 HK)</a>, the largest functional beverage company in China, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.3 billion.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eastroc-beverage-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:218181" rel="noopener">Eastroc Beverage H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a></strong></em>. </li>
<li>The proposed AH discount of 12.6% (based on the 23 January A Share price) is tight and will draw mixed views. Overall, I will tilt towards participating in the listing. </li>
</ul>



Eastroc Beverage Group (9980 HK), the largest functional beverage company in China, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.3 billion.
I discussed the H Share listing in Eastroc Beverage H Share Listing: The Investment Case. 
The proposed AH discount of 12.6% (based on the 23 January A Share price) is tight and will draw mixed views. Overall, I will tilt towards participating in the listing. 


Eastroc Beverage H Share Listing (9980 HK): Valuation Insights

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foodstuff-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH)</a>, a leader in the hog farming industry, aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>MF is a leading pork company with over 30 years of expertise in the hog farming industry.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the recent updates and likely A/H premium.</li>
</ul>



Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH), a leader in the hog farming industry, aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its H-share listing.
MF is a leading pork company with over 30 years of expertise in the hog farming industry.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the recent updates and likely A/H premium.


Muyuan Foods A/H Listing - PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foodstuff-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH)</a>, a leader in the hog farming industry, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>MF is a leading pork company with over 30 years of expertise in the hog farming industry.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH), a leader in the hog farming industry, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.
MF is a leading pork company with over 30 years of expertise in the hog farming industry.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Muyuan Foods A/H Listing - Long Term Growth with Short-Term Volatility

Equity Bottom-Up

GigaDevice Semiconductor  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gigadevice-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46238:1" rel="noopener">GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)</a>'s grey market price of HK$224.8 is 38.8% higher than the IPO price. This means a PER of 53.5x for FY26, simply too stretched for us. </li>
<li>The grey market price represents a 68-77% FY26 PER premium to the most-expensive peers, namely <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microchip-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8788:1" rel="noopener">Microchip Technology (MCHP US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/texas-instruments-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18804:1" rel="noopener">Texas Instruments (TXN US)</a>. </li>
<li>Our fair value range is HK$204-238, based on the HA discount for 2025 IPOs and the current overall HA discount, implying limited upside potential.</li>
</ul>



GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)'s grey market price of HK$224.8 is 38.8% higher than the IPO price. This means a PER of 53.5x for FY26, simply too stretched for us. 
The grey market price represents a 68-77% FY26 PER premium to the most-expensive peers, namely Microchip Technology (MCHP US) and Texas Instruments (TXN US). 
Our fair value range is HK$204-238, based on the HA discount for 2025 IPOs and the current overall HA discount, implying limited upside potential.


GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

China

Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company Ltd. is a leading Chinese public company primarily engaged in the production and sale of condiments, food, and agricultural products. It is recognized as the world's largest manufacturer of soy sauce, with key products including soy sauce, oyster sauce, flavoring sauce, vinegar, and various compound seasonings. The company was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Foshan, China.

Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food (3288 HK)

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Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food (3288 HK)

Eastroc Beverage (9980 HK) IPO: Close to Fairly Priced

Eastroc has solid growth with a 3-year EPS CAGR of 27.8%, supported by leadership in China's functional beverage market. Its IPO is fairly priced...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Muyuan Foods A/H Listing - PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH), a leader in the hog farming industry, aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Muyuan Foods A/H Listing - Long Term Growth with Short-Term Volatility

Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH), a leader in the hog farming industry, now aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its H-share listing. We had...

Sumeet Singh

GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Eastroc Beverage (9980 HK) IPO: Close to Fairly Priced

​Eastroc has solid growth with a 3-year EPS CAGR of 27.8%, supported by leadership in China's functional beverage market. Its IPO is fairly priced...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Eastroc Beverage H Share Listing (9980 HK): Valuation Insights

The proposed AH discount of 12.6% (based on the 23 January A Share price) is tight and will draw mixed views. Overall, I will tilt towards...

Arun George

Muyuan Foods A/H Listing - PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH), a leader in the hog farming industry, aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Muyuan Foods A/H Listing - Long Term Growth with Short-Term Volatility

Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH), a leader in the hog farming industry, now aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its H-share listing. We had...

Sumeet Singh

GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

​GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Eastroc has solid growth with a 3-year EPS CAGR of 27.8%, supported by leadership in China's functional beverage market. Its IPO is fairly priced...

GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...