Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

China National Building Material / Event-Driven

China National Building Material (3323 HK)

<ul>
<li>On the 6th December 2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">China National Building Material (3323 HK)</a> (CNBM), China's leading building materials company, offered to buy back 841,749,304 H-shares at HK$4.03/share, a 15.1% premium to undisturbed.</li>
<li>This elevated CNBM's parent's stake to 50.01% of total shares from 45.02% currently, necessitating  a whitewash waiver so the parent would not be obliged to make a full blown offer.  </li>
<li>Independent H-shareholder overwhelmingly approved the waiver yesterday, the 19th February. Tendering closes on the 5th March. Minimum pro-ration is 19.24%. I'm estimating at least 35%. The Offer is now unconditional.</li>
</ul>


On the 6th December 2024, China National Building Material (3323 HK) (CNBM), China's leading building materials company, offered to buy back 841,749,304 H-shares at HK$4.03/share, a 15.1% premium to undisturbed.
This elevated CNBM's parent's stake to 50.01% of total shares from 45.02% currently, necessitating  a whitewash waiver so the parent would not be obliged to make a full blown offer.  
Independent H-shareholder overwhelmingly approved the waiver yesterday, the 19th February. Tendering closes on the 5th March. Minimum pro-ration is 19.24%. I'm estimating at least 35%. The Offer is now unconditional.


CNBM (3323 HK): Whitewash Waiver Secured. Next Is The Proration

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pec-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19415:1" rel="noopener">PEC Ltd. (PEC SP)</a>, a plant and terminal engineering specialist, has (finally) announced an Offer from Allied Energy Services, an engineering entity under the Liberty Group.</li>
<li>Liberty is offering S$0.84/share (not final) - including a AS$0.20/share special  dividend - a 12.8% premium to undisturbed; but really more like a &gt;35% premium. </li>
<li>Irrevocables from the board of 63.38% have been secured. Looks pretty clean. Assuming late May payment, pay up to S$0.79/share for a 6%/15% gross/annualised spread. </li>
</ul>



PEC Ltd. (PEC SP), a plant and terminal engineering specialist, has (finally) announced an Offer from Allied Energy Services, an engineering entity under the Liberty Group.
Liberty is offering S$0.84/share (not final) - including a AS$0.20/share special  dividend - a 12.8% premium to undisturbed; but really more like a &gt;35% premium. 
Irrevocables from the board of 63.38% have been secured. Looks pretty clean. Assuming late May payment, pay up to S$0.79/share for a 6%/15% gross/annualised spread. 


PEC Ltd. (PEC SP): Privatisation Offer From Liberty Group

<ul>
<li>After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tam-jai-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34227:1" rel="noopener">Tam Jai  (2217 HK)</a> was suspended, in <a href="https://skr.ma/uHXiV" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tam Jai (2217 HK) Suspended: Expect Toridoll (3397 JP) To Make An Offer</a> I expected an Offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toridoll-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8193:1" rel="noopener">TORIDOLL Holdings (3397 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>I also thought an Offer price ~HK$1.50/share would be welcome, but wasn't hopeful. We got both - a <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0217/2025021701057.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Scheme</a> from Toridoll at HK$1.58/share (best &amp; final).</li>
<li>Clean deal. Just a question of timing. Docs may be delayed to incorporate FY25E (Mar Y/E) financials. </li>
</ul>


After Tam Jai  (2217 HK) was suspended, in Tam Jai (2217 HK) Suspended: Expect Toridoll (3397 JP) To Make An Offer I expected an Offer from TORIDOLL Holdings (3397 JP).
I also thought an Offer price ~HK$1.50/share would be welcome, but wasn't hopeful. We got both - a Scheme from Toridoll at HK$1.58/share (best &amp; final).
Clean deal. Just a question of timing. Docs may be delayed to incorporate FY25E (Mar Y/E) financials. 


Tam Jai (2217 HK): Toridoll (3397 JP)'s Excellent Offer

<ul>
<li>Small-Cap property developer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soundwill-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19318:1" rel="noopener">Soundwill Holdings (878 HK)</a> is currently <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0214/2025021400231.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">suspended</a> pursuant to the Takeovers Code</li>
<li>Soundwill is controlled as to 74.97% by Grace Foo (ED), and her descendants, Wai Ling Chan (deputy chairman), and Hing Tat Chan (chairman). </li>
<li>Soundwill is trading at a staggering 0.08x P/B, with the majority of its book value tied up in investment properties.</li>
</ul>


Small-Cap property developer Soundwill Holdings (878 HK) is currently suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code
Soundwill is controlled as to 74.97% by Grace Foo (ED), and her descendants, Wai Ling Chan (deputy chairman), and Hing Tat Chan (chairman). 
Soundwill is trading at a staggering 0.08x P/B, with the majority of its book value tied up in investment properties.


Soundwill Holdings (878 HK): Privatisation Expected From The Controlling Family

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kaonavi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29703:1" rel="noopener">Kaonavi Inc (4435 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smart-share-global-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32217:1" rel="noopener">Smart Share Global (EM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shibaura-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12704:1" rel="noopener">Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/millennium-copthorne-hotels-nz-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5040:1" rel="noopener">Millennium &amp; Copthorne Hotels Nz (MCK NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avjennings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12578:1" rel="noopener">Avjennings Ltd (AVJ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insignia-financial-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia Financial (IFL AU)</a>. 
</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Kaonavi Inc (4435 JP), Lifestyle China (2136 HK), Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP), Smart Share Global (EM US), ESR Group (1821 HK), Vesync (2148 HK). 
Lowest spreads: Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP), Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP), Millennium &amp; Copthorne Hotels Nz (MCK NZ), Avjennings Ltd (AVJ AU), Insignia Financial (IFL AU). 



Merger Arb Mondays (17 Feb) - HKBN, Fosun Tourism, Get Nice, 7&I, Shibaura, Kaonavi, Paragon

China

Fosun Tourism Group is a world-leading family leisure and vacation group that provides tourism and leisure solutions across Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates resorts such as Club Med and Atlantis Sanya, and offers various tourism and leisure services. Fosun Tourism Group was founded in 2009 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.

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Fosun Tourism (6T8 GR)

CNBM (3323 HK): Whitewash Waiver Secured. Next Is The Proration

I'm inclined to simply short outright here, if I had guaranteed take-no-action borrow. Especially as the price closes in on the tender price, and...

David Blennerhassett

PEC Ltd. (PEC SP): Privatisation Offer From Liberty Group

This is done. If small, illliquid arbs are your bent, and assuming late May payment, I'd pay up to S$0.79/share for a gross/annualised return of 6%...

David Blennerhassett

Tam Jai (2217 HK): Toridoll (3397 JP)'s Excellent Offer

This is done. No competing Offer will emerge. If payment on or around mid-July, and small-cap arbs are your thing, I'd pay up to HK$1.49/share for...

David Blennerhassett

Soundwill Holdings (878 HK): Privatisation Expected From The Controlling Family

Despite Soundwill's illiquidity, the controlling family probably still needs to offer a premium of 50%-75%. Not just to account for the low P/B...

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (17 Feb) - HKBN, Fosun Tourism, Get Nice, 7&I, Shibaura, Kaonavi, Paragon

This week, the highest gross spreads are Kaonavi (84.0%), Lifestyle China (18.1%), Seven & I (14.7%), Smart Share (8.7%), ESR (6.9%), Vesync...

Arun George

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