Singapore Market Roundup, Singapore Market Roundup

Singapore Market Roundup

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>DBS downgrades SGX to 'hold' as growth shows signs of tapering off.</li><li>uSmart upgrades Hong Leong Asia to 'buy' following strong 1HFY2026 results.</li><li>uSMART starts ‘buy’ on Toku, setting a target price of 15.1 cents.</li></ul>

DBS downgrades SGX to 'hold' as growth shows signs of tapering off.uSmart upgrades Hong Leong Asia to 'buy' following strong 1HFY2026 results.uSMART starts ‘buy’ on Toku, setting a target price of 15.1 cents.

Singapore Market Roundup (13-Oct-2026): DBS downgrades SGX to 'hold' amid slowing growth.

Listed Real Estate Asia, KT Capital Group

Jacob Cheng

Listed Real Estate Asia

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

<ul>
<li>We think Singapore REITs are positioned for a re-rating on the back of multiple catalysts: interest rate decline, accelerated M&amp;A and recovery in physical real estate market</li>
<li>3M SORA has declined sharply from 3.034% in January to 1.32% in November.  The steep decline in rates will boost earnings and result in more favorable REIT valuations</li>
<li>The physical market in Singapore is also recovering, especially in the office and residential market.  We think CICT, FCT, and UOL are well positioned to benefit from this cycle</li>
</ul>


We think Singapore REITs are positioned for a re-rating on the back of multiple catalysts: interest rate decline, accelerated M&amp;A and recovery in physical real estate market
3M SORA has declined sharply from 3.034% in January to 1.32% in November.  The steep decline in rates will boost earnings and result in more favorable REIT valuations
The physical market in Singapore is also recovering, especially in the office and residential market.  We think CICT, FCT, and UOL are well positioned to benefit from this cycle


LONG Singapore REITs: Capturing the Yield Compression Cycle and Asset Recycling Renaissance

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The upcoming Johor Bahru-Singapore Rapid Transit System and the ease of cross-border movements could impact Singapore’s retail sector as more consumers may choose to spend across the border.</li>
<li>DFI Retail CEO cited this as rationale for exiting Singapore based grocery retail business under Cold Storage and Giant's brands. Sheng Siong group said it will carefully monitor this development.</li>
<li>Singapore retail prices for branded consumer discretionary and staples are between 30%-50% higher than in Malaysia. With greater ease of commute and shipping, this price differential may not be sustainable.</li>
</ul>


The upcoming Johor Bahru-Singapore Rapid Transit System and the ease of cross-border movements could impact Singapore’s retail sector as more consumers may choose to spend across the border.
DFI Retail CEO cited this as rationale for exiting Singapore based grocery retail business under Cold Storage and Giant's brands. Sheng Siong group said it will carefully monitor this development.
Singapore retail prices for branded consumer discretionary and staples are between 30%-50% higher than in Malaysia. With greater ease of commute and shipping, this price differential may not be sustainable.


Singapore Retail Sector: Will It Be Impacted by Improved Connectivity with Malaysia?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spdr-straits-times-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35880:1" rel="noopener">SPDR Straits Times Index ETF (STTF SP)</a> will need to sell <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc-1be53f2f-f106-4f4f-b9be-5cf1341e76ae" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36111:1" rel="noopener">Emperador (EMI SP)</a> at the close of trading on 15 March.</li>
<li>Other global index trackers will need to sell <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3485:1" rel="noopener">Emperador (EMP PM)</a> at the close on 15 March.</li>
<li>There will be around US$55m to sell across both lines and varying liquidity has opened up a huge spread between the listings.</li>
</ul>


The SPDR Straits Times Index ETF (STTF SP) will need to sell Emperador (EMI SP) at the close of trading on 15 March.
Other global index trackers will need to sell Emperador (EMP PM) at the close on 15 March.
There will be around US$55m to sell across both lines and varying liquidity has opened up a huge spread between the listings.


STTF Index Rebalance: The Widening Emperador Spread

<ul>
<li>Macro Rotation Trigger: Global volatility is forcing capital into ultra-defensive assets. FCT's 99.8% occupied, necessity-driven Singapore suburban retail portfolio is the ultimate inflation-insulated safe haven.</li>
<li>Explosive Operational Metrics: Boasting a massive +6.5% rental reversion and surging Net Property Income, FCT's impenetrable pricing power ensures highly predictable, non-dilutive DPU expansion.</li>
<li>Bulletproof Balance Sheet: With zero FY26 refinancing risk, an extended 3.92-year debt maturity, and locked 40% leverage, FCT’s fortress financials eliminate downside while priming for rate-cut upside.</li>
</ul>


Macro Rotation Trigger: Global volatility is forcing capital into ultra-defensive assets. FCT's 99.8% occupied, necessity-driven Singapore suburban retail portfolio is the ultimate inflation-insulated safe haven.
Explosive Operational Metrics: Boasting a massive +6.5% rental reversion and surging Net Property Income, FCT's impenetrable pricing power ensures highly predictable, non-dilutive DPU expansion.
Bulletproof Balance Sheet: With zero FY26 refinancing risk, an extended 3.92-year debt maturity, and locked 40% leverage, FCT’s fortress financials eliminate downside while priming for rate-cut upside.


LONG FCT: The Ultimate Asian Yield Fortress Defying Global Macro Volatility

Singapore

Frasers Centrepoint Trust is a leading developer-sponsored retail real estate investment trust (REIT) that primarily invests in and owns suburban retail malls and an office building in Singapore. Its portfolio includes nine retail malls and one office property, focusing on necessity spending, food & beverage, and essential services. The company is headquartered in Singapore and was listed on the Singapore Exchange on July 5, 2006.

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Frasers Centrepoint (FCT SP)

Singapore Market Roundup (13-Oct-2026): DBS downgrades SGX to 'hold' amid slowing growth.

DBS downgrades SGX to 'hold' amid slowing growth; uSMART upgrades Hong Leong Asia to 'buy' after strong 1HFY2026 results and starts 'buy' on Toku...

Singapore Market Roundup

LONG Singapore REITs: Capturing the Yield Compression Cycle and Asset Recycling Renaissance

We think Singapore REITs are well positioned for a re-rating, on the back of steep interest rate decline, accelerated M&As and recovery in the...

Jacob Cheng

Singapore Retail Sector: Will It Be Impacted by Improved Connectivity with Malaysia?

Singapore's branded consumer retail margins and retail rental yield are at risk when easier border crossing access to Malaysia could prompt more...

Devi Subhakesan

STTF Index Rebalance: The Widening Emperador Spread

The STTF ETF will need to sell Singapore listed Emperador at the close on 15 March. Global passive portfolios will be selling Emperador in the...

Brian Freitas

LONG FCT: The Ultimate Asian Yield Fortress Defying Global Macro Volatility

Global volatility is forcing capital into ultra-defensive assets. We think FCT's 99.8% occupied, necessity-driven Singapore suburban retail...

Jacob Cheng

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